TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Games Total: O/U 4.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$129,206
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$167,299

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $129,206 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 126 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xef26…05babacked Under32c6,750$2,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1501,26737.7%478 W · 789 L+35.3wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4b7…3c8bbacked Under33c5,739$1,906 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,905.7911454.4%62 W · 52 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2997…6c34backed Over58c5,714$3,334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,380.6310653.8%57 W · 49 L-7.3wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-13.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb100…6461backed Over79c5,114$4,041 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,073.336453.1%34 W · 30 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a0f…1305backed Over68c4,792$3,242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,550.341,46961.4%902 W · 567 L-20.4wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcae6…4f85backed Under27c4,094$1,114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,114.4567276.9%517 W · 155 L+87.3wins+0.13per pick64cpaid+30.2%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x04fa…9e24backed Under2c3,680$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.230%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed Under47c3,175$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,499.6827346.9%128 W · 145 L-14.2wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Under43c3,155$1,342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,341.91,63540.2%657 W · 978 L+48.7wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b63…4acdbacked Over53c2,966$1,566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,400.1427447.8%131 W · 143 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba0c…f837backed Under32c2,572$816 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$815.521857.8%126 W · 92 L+18.6wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+16%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under4c2,249$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.821350.2%107 W · 106 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-18.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41b7…f6babacked Under36c2,000$710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71021740.1%87 W · 130 L-12.7wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-20.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Under34c1,977$667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$667.071,82745.6%834 W · 993 L+26.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7771…009fbacked Under63c1,887$1,187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,187.41,00948.2%486 W · 523 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over67c1,820$1,218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$601.785046%391 W · 459 L-11.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Under47c1,774$834 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$833.821,60342.4%679 W · 924 L-18.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc75a…1ab2backed Under8c1,650$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.347889.8%77 W · 711 L+22.8wins+0.03per pick7cpaid+41.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbca8…cf14backed Over68c1,578$1,073 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$505.221,00554%543 W · 462 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf163…ca34backed Over59c1,508$890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$617.341,49248.4%722 W · 770 L+47.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2cad…eb66backed Over74c1,308$963 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.2948157.6%277 W · 204 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37b2…8681backed Under2c1,200$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2296749.8%482 W · 485 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c0f…fe01backed Under43c1,165$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50036260.5%219 W · 143 L-0.5wins0.00per pick61cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf41e…9350backed Under63c1,136$717 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$716.9411736.8%43 W · 74 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+46.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1b5a…7070backed Under45c1,000$446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$445.9514562.1%90 W · 55 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b87…75d0backed Over62c1,000$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3808951.7%46 W · 43 L+7.9wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+4.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x395f…dcacbacked Over61c983.61$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.6126245.8%120 W · 142 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5dc…ec43backed Under41c977$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.5759647.7%284 W · 312 L-10.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d29…8e90backed Under42c710.03$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30019559%115 W · 80 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Over56c700.09$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.0430661.1%187 W · 119 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8ab…f5c1backed Over45c666.82$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.7511158.6%65 W · 46 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbb11…66cbbacked Over61c650$397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.51,01955.8%569 W · 450 L+22.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f84…202ebacked Under11c648.99$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.9696347.7%459 W · 504 L+2.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab8b…87acbacked Under37c600$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22318747.1%88 W · 99 L+10.4wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0b99…8bddbacked Under22c600$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13020550.2%103 W · 102 L+15.4wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6b1e…65c1backed Over56c583.94$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.9326942.4%114 W · 155 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fd1…17ccbacked Under3c566.45$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.9960124.1%145 W · 456 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-20.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd995…2b51backed Over59c486.21$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.3519122.5%43 W · 148 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick20cpaid-22.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Under45c400$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1802,36731.9%756 W · 1,611 L+41.4wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x13c7…11d9backed Under8c399.97$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3271249.2%350 W · 362 L+14.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd795…6fcdbacked Under11c374.07$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.5531435.7%112 W · 202 L+15.5wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+0.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2f1f…aa39backed Over70c350$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10546153.6%247 W · 214 L-24.4wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-9.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x307d…9163backed Under62c320$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.41,18751.9%616 W · 571 L-15.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5498…126fbacked Under63c319.78$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002955.2%16 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52ec…a6f3backed Under7c309.09$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.4981443.5%354 W · 460 L+30.2wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x37f8…b5e5backed Under36c295.91$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.5154944.4%244 W · 305 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb29…ea29backed Under40c263.64$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.8612433.9%42 W · 82 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x04bd…39a0backed Under41c261.44$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.191,22945.1%554 W · 675 L+48.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7236…c20dbacked Under8c251.09$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.2429335.2%103 W · 190 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Under10c250$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2544843.8%196 W · 252 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf0a…320abacked Under9c250$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.533251.5%171 W · 161 L+33.0wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+17.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked Under62c239.66$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.591,61148.4%780 W · 831 L+24.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb61…58ffbacked Under9c222.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick30cpaid-46.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x05f9…f351backed Under16c221$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.4615153.6%81 W · 70 L+17.3wins+0.11per pick42cpaid+23.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x6dc0…699abacked Under8c220.3$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.456317.2%97 W · 466 L-16.4wins-0.03per pick20cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd7d5…d4d3backed Over54c220$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.27656.6%43 W · 33 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x32f0…564cbacked Over38c204.33$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.7236331.1%113 W · 250 L+0.7wins0.00per pick31cpaid-13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0599…3490backed Over59c203.39$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.395367.9%36 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick67cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc76e…caa5backed Under8c199.99$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1631352.4%164 W · 149 L+1.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc57a…fe9fbacked Over59c192.68$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7914044.3%62 W · 78 L+7.7wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf91e…7e0bbacked Under64c190.63$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12270752.9%374 W · 333 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4425…12efbacked Under49c185$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.7516540.6%67 W · 98 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf06…c9ffbacked Over61c181.97$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.9763551.8%329 W · 306 L+39.0wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+22.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x217a…5dfabacked Over40c175$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10547557.7%274 W · 201 L-27.6wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-10.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5624…b5c4backed Under28c170.71$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4828851%147 W · 141 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa179…8645backed Under29c154.99$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.517038.2%65 W · 105 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a07…923fbacked Under46c152.17$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7035164.1%225 W · 126 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbafa…02e0backed Under19c137.95$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2680750.8%410 W · 397 L+48.4wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8ee1…377abacked Under44c136.36$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$605756.1%32 W · 25 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid+5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2627…13b4backed Under18c135.56$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251850%9 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x868b…1eb0backed Under39c132.54$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.6910550.5%53 W · 52 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce16…d66fbacked Under42c128.07$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.2825639.5%101 W · 155 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0cd9…2a08backed Under11c111.91$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.4339239%153 W · 239 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae72…f49dbacked Under42c111.36$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4738335%134 W · 249 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf459…7a53backed Under45c110.68$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5021655.1%119 W · 97 L+0.6wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Over58c106.71$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.9435545.4%161 W · 194 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x198b…f2ecbacked Over58c100$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4210561%64 W · 41 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+0.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x97a6…159ebacked Over40c100$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$609424.5%23 W · 71 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0969…b289backed Over58c99.99$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4239750.1%199 W · 198 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf859…a183backed Under36c99.98$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.991,21352.3%635 W · 578 L+33.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb2ed…2a85backed Over42c99.97$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.9886758.1%504 W · 363 L+16.8wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x727d…1589backed Over71c97.62$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.4913544.4%60 W · 75 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9fa…b505backed Over62c97.04$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.047352.1%38 W · 35 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d27…cb4abacked Under49c94.27$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.19757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+13.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ade…e692backed Under40c90.5$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.5922654.4%123 W · 103 L+20.9wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+17.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked Under60c87$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.278549.9%392 W · 393 L+12.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbea4…2effbacked Over74c76$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.77933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-31.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f85…87d5backed Over70c75.14$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.342646.2%12 W · 14 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-25%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed Under57c65$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.9350643.1%218 W · 288 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4b2…4ab2backed Under42c60$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.1366445.6%303 W · 361 L+14.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8b8…61dcbacked Under43c59.95$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.7852151.8%270 W · 251 L-10.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid+0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x75a4…3ff7backed Under34c58.9$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208269.5%57 W · 25 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick66cpaid+11.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c30…d531backed Under68c55.88$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3813951.8%72 W · 67 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1315…a84abacked Under63c50$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.58747.1%41 W · 46 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid+5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8add…fc2abacked Under67c49.99$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.52740.7%11 W · 16 L-3.6wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-9.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4a05…754abacked Under59c49$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.911030%3 W · 7 L-2.5wins-0.25per pick55cpaid-42.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe49d…c3dbbacked Under40c47.5$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1963547.9%304 W · 331 L-16.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5db0…73f1backed Over44c45.53$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.534660.9%28 W · 18 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick61cpaid+4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ddf…1b96backed Over55c45.45$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.453151.6%16 W · 15 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x97b1…2146backed Over35c45.3$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.35422.2%12 W · 42 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-30.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.