Lol · resolved market
LoL: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming vs DetonatioN FocusMe - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9dc136611c16c6502c8ed737a9454479ebe81fc38a811ddb8d5d98fe5808c7e1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gamingof Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming, DetonatioN FocusMe
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,925
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,226
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,925 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked DetonatioN FocusMe | 23c | 2,694$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626.72 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed DetonatioN FocusMe | 7c | 1,200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 1,806 | 39.1%707 W · 1,099 L | -30.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…c691backed DetonatioN FocusMe | 23c | 1,177$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.24 | 198 | 39.9%79 W · 119 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…527ebacked Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 68c | 1,104$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.23 | 1,295 | 45.1%584 W · 711 L | +49.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb404…f61bbacked DetonatioN FocusMe | 34c | 821$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.16 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +58.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75f0…7e92backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 73c | 820.18$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.18 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdca…66ebbacked Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 71c | 563.73$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.73 | 960 | 57.4%551 W · 409 L | +22.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 54c | 551.02$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.72 | 2,825 | 41.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L | -14.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ced…0feebacked Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 74c | 540.83$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.83 | 769 | 55%423 W · 346 L | -13.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f6…a31cbacked DetonatioN FocusMe | 21c | 505$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.1 | 207 | 39.6%82 W · 125 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed DetonatioN FocusMe | 27c | 501.53$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.53 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x968f…2a1fbacked Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 73c | 441.21$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.21 | 226 | 46.5%105 W · 121 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3532…3711backed DetonatioN FocusMe | 28c | 409.29$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.6 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x307d…9163backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 78c | 402$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.03 | 1,183 | 52%615 W · 568 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e86…2db2backed DetonatioN FocusMe | 6c | 400$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 246 | 29.7%73 W · 173 L | -18.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked DetonatioN FocusMe | 29c | 399.99$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 2,004 | 58.2%1,166 W · 838 L | +86.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…2a08backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 80c | 360$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.65 | 392 | 39%153 W · 239 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed DetonatioN FocusMe | 5c | 350$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.85 | 1,517 | 3.3%50 W · 1,467 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0de…4949backed DetonatioN FocusMe | 21c | 330.99$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.37 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked DetonatioN FocusMe | 30c | 300$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 355 | 45.4%161 W · 194 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed DetonatioN FocusMe | 29c | 300$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 179 | 42.5%76 W · 103 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked DetonatioN FocusMe | 23c | 262.21$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.44 | 1,592 | 34%541 W · 1,051 L | -79.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed DetonatioN FocusMe | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1,056 | 28.5%301 W · 755 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1412…b6debacked Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 75c | 198.3$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.32 | 141 | 53.9%76 W · 65 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc998…f060backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 72c | 181.17$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.98 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | -9.8wins | -0.11per pick | 59cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 75c | 161$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.25 | 431 | 48%207 W · 224 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 70c | 158.48$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.57 | 1,731 | 44.2%765 W · 966 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd198…8797backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 80c | 147$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.12 | 183 | 62.3%114 W · 69 L | +12.4wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd68e…8048backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 73c | 146.23$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.73 | 493 | 66.7%329 W · 164 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65e0…e51dbacked DetonatioN FocusMe | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 431 | 38.1%164 W · 267 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde2a…6bfebacked DetonatioN FocusMe | 21c | 110$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.6 | 722 | 34.1%246 W · 476 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b75…3fd1backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 58c | 106.92$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.13 | 941 | 34.5%325 W · 616 L | +33.6wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked DetonatioN FocusMe | 35c | 87$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.34 | 1,158 | 42.6%493 W · 665 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 53c | 71.71$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.98 | 1,728 | 29.5%509 W · 1,219 L | -123.2wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5559…2bd2backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 62c | 64.86$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.86 | 211 | 41.2%87 W · 124 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked DetonatioN FocusMe | 17c | 63.36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.94 | 395 | 7.1%28 W · 367 L | -122.2wins | -0.31per pick | 38cpaid | -74.1%equal weight | 18-0.29 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked DetonatioN FocusMe | 32c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.68 | 2,341 | 40.3%943 W · 1,398 L | -61.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 51c | 57$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.82 | 2,905 | 38.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L | -118.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8aa…0ae3backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 78c | 51.28$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 444 | 70%311 W · 133 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2091…b4f8backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 1,175 | 47.4%557 W · 618 L | +42.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x113d…a76bbacked Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 72c | 44.49$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.49 | 95 | 65.3%62 W · 33 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd087…f341backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 69c | 43.35$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.35 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2249…3005backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 79c | 41.69$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.78 | 284 | 58.5%166 W · 118 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b05…25dfbacked Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 74c | 30.42$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.91 | 202 | 45%91 W · 111 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 2,311 | 39.4%910 W · 1,401 L | -83.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a70…18f0backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 61c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 175 | 42.3%74 W · 101 L | -11.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc1e0…70f8backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 71c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 59 | 71.2%42 W · 17 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfa8…cd1ebacked Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 791 | 56.1%444 W · 347 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…8a58backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 67c | 22.94$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.57 | 1,136 | 63.1%717 W · 419 L | +51.0wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming vs DetonatioN FocusMe - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- First Blood in Game 2?Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming won
- Game Handicap: SHG (-1.5) vs DetonatioN FocusMe (+1.5)Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming vs DetonatioN FocusMe (BO3) - LCP Regular SeasonFukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming won
- LoL: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming vs DetonatioN FocusMe - Game 1 WinnerFukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.