Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
St. Mary's vs. Alabama
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x98921a34ef8167064185b763f5c8d373a0ac3953a16cbf3f0b3e906b497724fd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Alabamaof St. Mary's, Alabama
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $177,533
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $196,169
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $177,533 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x011f…1122backed St. Mary's | 22c | 51,969$11,488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,488.03 | 79 | 12.7%10 W · 69 L | -13.1wins | -0.17per pick | 29cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x80a5…f9babacked Alabama | 77c | 31,359$24,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,340.36 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…936fbacked Alabama | 70c | 30,000$21,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,000 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked St. Mary's | 23c | 24,614$5,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,769.62 | 103 | 35.9%37 W · 66 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed St. Mary's | 19c | 17,451$3,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,398.19 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…c95cbacked St. Mary's | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb377…f621backed St. Mary's | 31c | 7,127$2,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,188.2 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Alabama | 77c | 6,419$4,914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,505.12 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked St. Mary's | 29c | 6,300$1,849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,848.94 | 530 | 57.4%304 W · 226 L | +33.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked St. Mary's | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 82 | 2.4%2 W · 80 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -88.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Alabama | 69c | 3,667$2,536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,131.08 | 429 | 48.5%208 W · 221 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe932…0f05backed St. Mary's | 6c | 2,222$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.32 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked St. Mary's | 31c | 2,100$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x614d…1546backed Alabama | 74c | 2,000$1,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked St. Mary's | 22c | 1,935$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.42 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99cf…a86abacked St. Mary's | 17c | 1,801$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.54 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.22per pick | 37cpaid | -79.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b8…5ce5backed Alabama | 77c | 1,500$1,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed St. Mary's | 31c | 1,400$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434 | 73 | 37%27 W · 46 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed St. Mary's | 29c | 1,357$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.2 | 168 | 42.3%71 W · 97 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c05…36b3backed St. Mary's | 11c | 1,326$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.77 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x854f…00a7backed St. Mary's | 24c | 1,175$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.24 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -4.4wins | -0.15per pick | 31cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x51dd…2f92backed Alabama | 70c | 1,143$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.86 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked St. Mary's | 31c | 1,002$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.47 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | -6.8wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -26%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Alabama | 70c | 1,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x698f…ae41backed St. Mary's | 3c | 1,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf13b…2257backed Alabama | 69c | 800$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +108.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked St. Mary's | 30c | 718.92$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.51 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe544…3cfcbacked Alabama | 70c | 714.29$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.29 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked St. Mary's | 30c | 647.99$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.4 | 158 | 51.9%82 W · 76 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked St. Mary's | 30c | 600$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181 | 139 | 36.7%51 W · 88 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x699d…7b47backed St. Mary's | 7c | 590$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | +74.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Alabama | 69c | 560$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.6 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed St. Mary's | 26c | 537.74$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.12 | 556 | 57.4%319 W · 237 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef9…35cfbacked St. Mary's | 18c | 524$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.34 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -4.4wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0af8…9454backed Alabama | 70c | 357.23$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.23 | 105 | 58.1%61 W · 44 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84fb…c0bebacked St. Mary's | 6c | 333.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x019e…af1dbacked St. Mary's | 31c | 333$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.23 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6650…d38ebacked Alabama | 69c | 322.6$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.01 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb67…970abacked St. Mary's | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc80…2bc1backed Alabama | 69c | 300$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 24cpaid | +56%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…3d27backed St. Mary's | 20c | 297.51$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 171 | 22.8%39 W · 132 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed Alabama | 70c | 285.71$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.71 | 484 | 62.8%304 W · 180 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed St. Mary's | 31c | 272.45$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.46 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14a2…e231backed Alabama | 70c | 254.8$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.44 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Alabama | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 47 | 70.2%33 W · 14 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75f0…7e92backed Alabama | 70c | 189.43$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.83 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca6…4b74backed St. Mary's | 32c | 188.56$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 55 | 14.5%8 W · 47 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Alabama | 68c | 170$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.4 | 55 | 70.9%39 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…9e23backed St. Mary's | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Alabama | 69c | 151.35$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.43 | 306 | 49%150 W · 156 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e14…3003backed Alabama | 69c | 150$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.5 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79b2…4874backed St. Mary's | 31c | 129.03$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7794…8df9backed St. Mary's | 31c | 112.9$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Alabama | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 301 | 39.2%118 W · 183 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5036…416bbacked Alabama | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17f1…8f26backed Alabama | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd150…f03cbacked St. Mary's | 31c | 96.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a7c…f1a6backed Alabama | 70c | 85.71$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.71 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -43%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Alabama | 70c | 84.11$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.23 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed St. Mary's | 31c | 80.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 820 | 48.2%395 W · 425 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e75…0143backed Alabama | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -8.7wins | -0.22per pick | 45cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Alabama | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41f9…84e6backed Alabama | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 206 | 42.7%88 W · 118 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02a1…3f08backed St. Mary's | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafe1…7d0dbacked St. Mary's | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -40%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9448…be98backed Alabama | 79c | 63.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.05 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed St. Mary's | 30c | 60$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -4.5wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed Alabama | 70c | 57.14$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.14 | 247 | 59.5%147 W · 100 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0da7…ca6cbacked Alabama | 70c | 57.14$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.14 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4698…6c24backed Alabama | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 36 | 69.4%25 W · 11 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeac7…fec6backed Alabama | 69c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd8…5ddcbacked St. Mary's | 31c | 48.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed St. Mary's | 31c | 46.45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 113 | 44.2%50 W · 63 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed St. Mary's | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc7…7ca7backed Alabama | 69c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5638…224dbacked Alabama | 70c | 33.33$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.