Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
New Mexico vs. Michigan State
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x839b3dbc61e324773fc3aee7756d5498aed0c19696e6949b3946500da68607fa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Michigan Stateof New Mexico, Michigan State
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $195,995
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $217,566
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $195,995 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x011f…1122backed New Mexico | 26c | 26,624$6,922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,922.23 | 79 | 12.7%10 W · 69 L | -13.1wins | -0.17per pick | 29cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…936fbacked New Mexico | 12c | 24,911$2,989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,989.32 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Michigan State | 74c | 24,786$18,462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,324.45 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked New Mexico | 29c | 16,793$4,816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,815.68 | 103 | 35.9%37 W · 66 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed New Mexico | 40c | 13,446$5,429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,428.92 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c05…36b3backed Michigan State | 67c | 9,944$6,687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,257.37 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b8…5ce5backed Michigan State | 68c | 8,000$5,435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,565.33 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49d0…8503backed Michigan State | 59c | 7,500$4,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,075 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +151.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80a5…f9babacked New Mexico | 24c | 6,745$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Michigan State | 68c | 6,557$4,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,102.75 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Michigan State | 73c | 5,255$3,838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,417.73 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked New Mexico | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 82 | 2.4%2 W · 80 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -88.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked New Mexico | 26c | 4,929$1,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,291.89 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…3e11backed New Mexico | 27c | 4,253$1,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,151 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Michigan State | 74c | 3,950$2,903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,046.5 | 160 | 53.8%86 W · 74 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35aa…94bcbacked Michigan State | 60c | 3,820$2,284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,536 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.2wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…ba09backed New Mexico | 17c | 3,097$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.06 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Michigan State | 73c | 2,800$2,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764 | 429 | 48.5%208 W · 221 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x134a…9e42backed Michigan State | 73c | 2,704$1,974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked New Mexico | 10c | 2,690$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.4 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe932…0f05backed Michigan State | 59c | 2,547$1,507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed New Mexico | 29c | 2,500$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735 | 96 | 41.7%40 W · 56 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked New Mexico | 27c | 2,442$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.3 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7ea4backed Michigan State | 73c | 2,226$1,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.02 | 82 | 32.9%27 W · 55 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked New Mexico | 27c | 1,852$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 250 | 43.2%108 W · 142 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00e2…d56abacked Michigan State | 72c | 1,846$1,329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.89 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11fc…f8c4backed New Mexico | 27c | 1,789$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…2db4backed New Mexico | 1c | 1,635$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.35 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked New Mexico | 26c | 1,559$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.36 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe98b…780dbacked New Mexico | 52c | 1,433$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -27%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1186…051bbacked Michigan State | 74c | 1,337$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.67 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x854f…00a7backed New Mexico | 26c | 1,083$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.43 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -4.4wins | -0.15per pick | 31cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Michigan State | 66c | 1,020$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.24 | 556 | 57.4%319 W · 237 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x698f…ae41backed New Mexico | 46c | 1,005$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe4f…5241backed New Mexico | 32c | 995.15$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.6 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed New Mexico | 20c | 980$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 391 | 44.5%174 W · 217 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed New Mexico | 27c | 841$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.36 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -5.6wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x51dd…2f92backed Michigan State | 74c | 813.03$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.23 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed New Mexico | 25c | 799.99$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 168 | 42.3%71 W · 97 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Michigan State | 59c | 700$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 61 | 27.9%17 W · 44 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x014a…c77ebacked New Mexico | 31c | 650.72$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed New Mexico | 24c | 633.12$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.95 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked New Mexico | 26c | 600.98$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.25 | 158 | 51.9%82 W · 76 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd47…8277backed New Mexico | 38c | 544.7$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.34 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b1…7d2abacked New Mexico | 44c | 540$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -4.3wins | -0.23per pick | 49cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba8…61b7backed New Mexico | 24c | 505.79$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.62 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +1,052.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b8e…66bfbacked Michigan State | 62c | 500.76$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.28 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed New Mexico | 26c | 500$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 69 | 34.8%24 W · 45 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked New Mexico | 26c | 499.39$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.6 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed New Mexico | 16c | 474.71$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.21 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51d6…d072backed Michigan State | 74c | 425$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.5 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd4…ce48backed Michigan State | 74c | 422.78$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.92 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49b2…ffd0backed New Mexico | 13c | 412$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.24 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Michigan State | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaad5…ac2ebacked New Mexico | 6c | 377.6$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.66 | 97 | 45.4%44 W · 53 L | +8.8wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6650…d38ebacked Michigan State | 73c | 370.38$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe544…3cfcbacked Michigan State | 74c | 370.14$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.24 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Michigan State | 71c | 339.37$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.37 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +3.5wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdf72…723abacked Michigan State | 74c | 301.46$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.39 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x049a…b22abacked Michigan State | 60c | 300$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 33cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc80…2bc1backed Michigan State | 72c | 300$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 24cpaid | +56%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd3…7214backed New Mexico | 21c | 280.95$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.02 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed Michigan State | 74c | 271.45$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.57 | 484 | 62.8%304 W · 180 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Michigan State | 73c | 270$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.9 | 98 | 33.7%33 W · 65 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40b3…6159backed Michigan State | 74c | 268.13$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.13 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.7wins | +0.38per pick | 47cpaid | +135.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x37e5…316dbacked New Mexico | 13c | 247.27$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.15 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91b0…f0b6backed Michigan State | 74c | 240$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.4 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4698…6c24backed Michigan State | 74c | 227.4$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.4 | 36 | 69.4%25 W · 11 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x094e…f10bbacked New Mexico | 26c | 222$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.61 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -4.8wins | -0.23per pick | 47cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca6…4b74backed New Mexico | 28c | 214.29$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 55 | 14.5%8 W · 47 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab96…ae06backed New Mexico | 48c | 200$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x96c6…34a2backed New Mexico | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc828…66b7backed New Mexico | 22c | 195.9$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.95 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -3.4wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed New Mexico | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 78 | 60.3%47 W · 31 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5f…7df9backed New Mexico | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd40…73a2backed New Mexico | 28c | 168$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 41 | 9.8%4 W · 37 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 19cpaid | -67.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8053…2a8ebacked New Mexico | 40c | 161.2$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 42 | 26.2%11 W · 31 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b69…e32abacked New Mexico | 44c | 156.7$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.95 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0af8…9454backed Michigan State | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 105 | 58.1%61 W · 44 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c54…cc1ebacked Michigan State | 74c | 135$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.1 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.23per pick | 65cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb956…c475backed Michigan State | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.19per pick | 33cpaid | -73.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked New Mexico | 25c | 113.08$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.27 | 530 | 57.4%304 W · 226 L | +33.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…3d27backed New Mexico | 31c | 111.11$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 171 | 22.8%39 W · 132 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75f0…7e92backed New Mexico | 47c | 106.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed New Mexico | 27c | 100.1$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.03 | 306 | 49%150 W · 156 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed New Mexico | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 301 | 39.2%118 W · 183 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Michigan State | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 47 | 70.2%33 W · 14 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked New Mexico | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 139 | 36.7%51 W · 88 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17f1…8f26backed New Mexico | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2388…a491backed New Mexico | 20c | 99.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…bb92backed New Mexico | 27c | 99.11$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.03 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed New Mexico | 27c | 91.9$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.81 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79b2…4874backed Michigan State | 74c | 81.08$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.08 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed New Mexico | 28c | 80$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96d0…00b5backed Michigan State | 76c | 78.95$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Michigan State | 75c | 78.51$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.63 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x635d…5025backed Michigan State | 73c | 65$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.55 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed New Mexico | 33c | 64.59$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.15 | 247 | 59.5%147 W · 100 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf04f…a8c4backed New Mexico | 26c | 55.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2591…b527backed New Mexico | 21c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.