TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

BYU vs. Wisconsin

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
BYUof BYU, Wisconsin
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$458,038
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$470,790

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $458,038 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 188 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x80a5…f9babacked Wisconsin54c75,691$41,239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41,238.928143.2%35 W · 46 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-21.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…3e11backed Wisconsin11c66,477$6,994 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,994.324134.1%14 W · 27 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-40.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x47bc…c043backed Wisconsin39c53,387$20,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,849.882634.6%9 W · 17 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-38.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5314…910cbacked BYU46c20,301$9,325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,976.0410335.9%37 W · 66 L-6.4wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-35.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6130…144abacked BYU44c15,000$6,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,400475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick45cpaid+63.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c05…36b3backed Wisconsin29c14,820$4,325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,325.21931.6%6 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-40.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e66…0401backed BYU70c9,574$6,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,894.161020%2 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick34cpaid-35.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Wisconsin3c8,125$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.678644.2%38 W · 48 L+0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-26.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked BYU46c8,048$3,695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,352.7853057.4%304 W · 226 L+33.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc79d…0203backed BYU80c7,500$6,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,500333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-58.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked BYU64c7,260$4,632 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,627.615054%27 W · 23 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-14.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Wisconsin17c6,289$1,097 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,097.4210041%41 W · 59 L+0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2379…9ac8backed BYU43c6,137$2,630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,507.031118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick26cpaid-41%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e25…d7a7backed BYU68c6,053$4,111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,941.619833.7%33 W · 65 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-28.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x49d0…8503backed Wisconsin10c5,110$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.314242.9%18 W · 24 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+151.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9f2…5cbabacked Wisconsin0c5,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10822.4%2 W · 80 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick5cpaid-88.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30ae…4318backed BYU65c5,000$3,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,7504761.7%29 W · 18 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick59cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed BYU47c4,999$2,341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,657.4142948.5%208 W · 221 L-0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ef4…412cbacked BYU59c4,988$2,935 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,052.652222.7%5 W · 17 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick32cpaid-44.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed BYU47c4,698$2,208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,490.179641.7%40 W · 56 L+0.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3fa…a26cbacked BYU48c4,165$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,165.382532%8 W · 17 L-4.7wins-0.19per pick51cpaid-34.4%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0x00e2…d56abacked BYU46c3,528$1,623 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,905.354254.8%23 W · 19 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1250…8f99backed Wisconsin29c3,291$954 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$954.512045.8%55 W · 65 L-8.3wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Wisconsin53c3,000$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,599.9939144.5%174 W · 217 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ba5…aaf1backed BYU71c2,807$1,993 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$814.118356.6%47 W · 36 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x187b…26bfbacked Wisconsin53c2,633$1,396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,395.532828.6%8 W · 20 L-5.1wins-0.18per pick47cpaid-38.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x3c82…e0cbbacked Wisconsin43c2,578$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1004052.5%21 W · 19 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick46cpaid-0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe932…0f05backed BYU77c2,000$1,540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4603046.7%14 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-30.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed BYU49c2,000$975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,024.353,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked BYU46c1,986$907 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,079.416440.6%26 W · 38 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb928…5fd7backed Wisconsin53c1,804$956 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$955.92560%3 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick67cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed BYU46c1,601$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$860.9916842.3%71 W · 97 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf730…3de2backed BYU48c1,597$761 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$836.241560%9 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0317…6289backed BYU78c1,467$1,144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.732040%8 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-30%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Wisconsin28c1,377$382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382.51,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed Wisconsin39c1,314$512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512.219238.5%74 W · 118 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x773c…cf18backed BYU54c1,313$712 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$600.8910650.9%54 W · 52 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a61…1787backed Wisconsin53c1,095$581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$580.516445.1%74 W · 90 L+8.4wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x854f…00a7backed Wisconsin24c1,027$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.923016.7%5 W · 25 L-4.4wins-0.15per pick31cpaid-68.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x20d1…a623backed Wisconsin53c1,025$543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$543.3130%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x827b…01cebacked Wisconsin51c1,019$519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519.08475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+49.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ce7…fd4abacked BYU69c1,007$695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.03475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick71cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked BYU44c970$422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$548.054632.6%15 W · 31 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-35.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe98b…780dbacked BYU75c964$722 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2421546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-27%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Wisconsin3c900$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.420548.8%100 W · 105 L+13.1wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+35.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Wisconsin26c811.09$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.4355657.4%319 W · 237 L+20.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x51dd…2f92backed BYU50c806.53$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406.532161.9%13 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick56cpaid-6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x35aa…94bcbacked Wisconsin53c805.2$429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4291225%3 W · 9 L-3.2wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-62.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xbae4…c085backed Wisconsin6c711.74$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.312729.6%8 W · 19 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked BYU48c648$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.9615851.9%82 W · 76 L-8.4wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Wisconsin27c624.69$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.3960551.4%311 W · 294 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e1b…7ccabacked Wisconsin54c580.15$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.28250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked BYU47c564.67$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.421,39144.1%613 W · 778 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9320…95ddbacked Wisconsin51c500$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2541553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96c6…34a2backed BYU47c500$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2654450%22 W · 22 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+43.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdae0…e1ecbacked BYU72c446.74$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.511100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x17f1…8f26backed Wisconsin29c428.68$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.41936.8%7 W · 12 L-2.4wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-43.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf59b…1cacbacked Wisconsin14c427.52$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6060%0 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6f67…9e23backed Wisconsin12c416.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501822.2%4 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick26cpaid-41.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6650…d38ebacked Wisconsin52c416.6$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.638151.9%42 W · 39 L+5.1wins+0.06per pick46cpaid-1.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x20e9…6371backed BYU48c412.26$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.37366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+16.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x11d7…52e1backed BYU66c402.32$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.583652.8%19 W · 17 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2388…a491backed Wisconsin19c386.41$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.021315.4%2 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick21cpaid-48.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3541…c96dbacked BYU79c381.01$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.01825%2 W · 6 L0.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-21%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19f8…98f9backed Wisconsin53c377.36$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20048462.8%304 W · 180 L-0.5wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d8d…7e4fbacked Wisconsin53c377.36$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+19.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x17e5…3d19backed BYU46c363.22$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.142254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+11.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed BYU77c362.34$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.342657.7%15 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e57…85f5backed BYU48c355.37$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.79366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+16.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e7f…1bd6backed Wisconsin37c337.91$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.032055%11 W · 9 L+3.1wins+0.16per pick39cpaid+46.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0a3f…3aa3backed BYU48c333.75$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.553342.4%14 W · 19 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe21…527ebacked Wisconsin53c316.66$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.83333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-52.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6fcc…2d54backed BYU48c312.5$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.5560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x57b9…7726backed BYU47c300$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1591428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick41cpaid-43.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f58…9c6abacked BYU78c300$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$651040%4 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.21per pick61cpaid-47.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb869…c4c6backed Wisconsin40c300$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1211040%4 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-27.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b90…3d27backed BYU49c296.62$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.5917122.8%39 W · 132 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-27.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x03ed…c077backed BYU48c289.52$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.551275%9 W · 3 L+2.6wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+42.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2920…80bebacked Wisconsin53c265.6$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1402568%17 W · 8 L+3.5wins+0.14per pick54cpaid+21.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x62b2…85d5backed BYU46c250$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1351631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-32.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf655…7ea4backed BYU47c249.99$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.58232.9%27 W · 55 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick29cpaid-27.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe87c…de2bbacked BYU49c227.23$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.64366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+15.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x094e…f10bbacked Wisconsin51c216.19$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.262123.8%5 W · 16 L-4.8wins-0.23per pick47cpaid-59.1%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Wisconsin35c214.29$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751363.7%5 W · 131 L-8.2wins-0.06per pick10cpaid-60.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked BYU48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.338463.1%53 W · 31 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7096…e019backed BYU48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.331070%7 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick71cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x755c…7741backed Wisconsin52c208.32$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.332931%9 W · 20 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-20.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd40…73a2backed Wisconsin20c203.45$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40419.8%4 W · 37 L-3.7wins-0.09per pick19cpaid-67.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed BYU41c202$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.183748.6%18 W · 19 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Wisconsin53c200$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1062,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x581d…24c3backed Wisconsin53c200$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1051216.7%2 W · 10 L-3.1wins-0.26per pick42cpaid-62.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2741…0865backed Wisconsin9c200$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181827.8%5 W · 13 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d01…102ebacked Wisconsin53c200$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e14…3003backed Wisconsin23c199.99$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$464932.7%16 W · 33 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick28cpaid-27.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb3cc…a23abacked BYU60c199.99$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-19.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd761…8e1dbacked BYU78c199.11$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.81683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick77cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e12…7348backed Wisconsin47c192.68$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$902564%16 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+7.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x41f9…84e6backed Wisconsin52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020642.7%88 W · 118 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe3ee…373ebacked Wisconsin38c188.74$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.7213456.7%76 W · 58 L+0.4wins0.00per pick56cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Wisconsin53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10057448.3%277 W · 297 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.