MLB · resolved market
Cubs vs. Tigers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x26f0535275d1197dcfb6efebb5974e13c36e8edbe3f3727c2aed06995c56618d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cubsof Cubs, Tigers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $306,209
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $328,111
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $306,209 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 161 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd38a…8d26backed Cubs | 53c | 150,000$79,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70,499.99 | 176 | 52.8%93 W · 83 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15e0…8d86backed Tigers | 47c | 121,078$56,871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56,870.62 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Tigers | 47c | 30,488$14,329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,329.36 | 208 | 50%104 W · 104 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Cubs | 53c | 20,407$10,816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,591.31 | 279 | 48.4%135 W · 144 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef0…f7e0backed Cubs | 54c | 15,000$8,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,900 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 53cpaid | +90.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f04…2149backed Tigers | 49c | 9,999$4,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,899.51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4714…a983backed Cubs | 51c | 9,995$5,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,897.54 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +70.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Tigers | 46c | 9,371$4,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,323.15 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa365…d26ebacked Cubs | 54c | 7,407$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,407.41 | 140 | 52.9%74 W · 66 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf90d…0b4dbacked Tigers | 47c | 6,689$3,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,144 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Tigers | 47c | 5,766$2,692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,692.42 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Tigers | 38c | 5,670$2,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,155.28 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Tigers | 9c | 3,757$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.31 | 475 | 4.4%21 W · 454 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Cubs | 52c | 3,700$1,924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,776 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Tigers | 30c | 3,417$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.96 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Tigers | 2c | 3,026$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Tigers | 47c | 2,763$1,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,289 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Tigers | 48c | 2,712$1,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,301.64 | 173 | 51.4%89 W · 84 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…4d48backed Tigers | 3c | 2,570$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.58 | 248 | 8.9%22 W · 226 L | -17.8wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Cubs | 67c | 2,561$1,723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$838.62 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x079e…599dbacked Tigers | 49c | 2,238$1,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,091.59 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.28per pick | 42cpaid | -67%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Tigers | 48c | 2,022$971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970.77 | 237 | 52.7%125 W · 112 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Tigers | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939.99 | 264 | 53.8%142 W · 122 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Tigers | 46c | 1,986$914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$913.75 | 333 | 49.5%165 W · 168 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Tigers | 48c | 1,925$924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$924 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Cubs | 65c | 1,922$1,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$677.1 | 255 | 50.6%129 W · 126 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Tigers | 1c | 1,880$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.32 | 406 | 29.1%118 W · 288 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb26…94ddbacked Tigers | 3c | 1,800$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 123 | 14.6%18 W · 105 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +83.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Tigers | 2c | 1,539$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.98 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Tigers | 47c | 1,536$722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$722 | 389 | 49.1%191 W · 198 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Tigers | 47c | 1,500$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.99 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd12d…d764backed Tigers | 46c | 1,468$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.3 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -4.5wins | -0.14per pick | 65cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Tigers | 31c | 1,410$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54f2…d0e3backed Tigers | 50c | 1,194$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599 | 149 | 51.7%77 W · 72 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Cubs | 62c | 1,146$707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.55 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Tigers | 48c | 1,040$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.2 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38ba…92f7backed Cubs | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce9…7a2cbacked Tigers | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 206 | 45.1%93 W · 113 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Tigers | 48c | 999.97$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.99 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf763…414fbacked Tigers | 48c | 990.21$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.3 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65a2…962abacked Cubs | 52c | 962.54$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.02 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44dd…7153backed Tigers | 47c | 954.12$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.15 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Cubs | 77c | 921.63$709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.77 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc87f…fb1fbacked Tigers | 23c | 869.57$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Tigers | 47c | 802$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.94 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0410…6556backed Cubs | 54c | 740.74$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.74 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9304…f693backed Tigers | 18c | 704.2$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.56 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | -7.7wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Tigers | 8c | 700$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.4 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f18…77c9backed Tigers | 26c | 670.17$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 84 | 34.5%29 W · 55 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Tigers | 47c | 650$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.5 | 204 | 50.5%103 W · 101 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Tigers | 38c | 641$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.67 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…3d27backed Tigers | 18c | 638.11$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.75 | 130 | 21.5%28 W · 102 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf092…4ebabacked Cubs | 53c | 618.02$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.47 | 198 | 52.5%104 W · 94 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc40…4036backed Cubs | 72c | 557.29$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.79 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 67cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Cubs | 55c | 540.55$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.55 | 110 | 36.4%40 W · 70 L | -7.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Cubs | 70c | 523.61$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.52 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…7d12backed Tigers | 48c | 520.83$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 182 | 47.8%87 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x776d…ec4bbacked Tigers | 10c | 499.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f9f…59f3backed Cubs | 62c | 484.81$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.81 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 67cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60a1…a8e1backed Cubs | 52c | 478$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.44 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9263…1999backed Tigers | 3c | 476.23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.86 | 74 | 16.2%12 W · 62 L | +6.8wins | +0.09per pick | 7cpaid | +74.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Cubs | 53c | 471.7$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.7 | 382 | 45.5%174 W · 208 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1fd…af0dbacked Tigers | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Tigers | 6c | 423$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.34 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Tigers | 6c | 407.64$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked Tigers | 10c | 400$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +5.0wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +300.7%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Tigers | 43c | 383.33$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.75 | 540 | 48.3%261 W · 279 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Tigers | 40c | 378.95$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6b…bfacbacked Cubs | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.36 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +4.3wins | +0.22per pick | 51cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe768…9d43backed Tigers | 22c | 373$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.21 | 196 | 50.5%99 W · 97 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Cubs | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 384 | 55.7%214 W · 170 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a90…8218backed Cubs | 60c | 366.33$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.33 | 247 | 51%126 W · 121 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11f1…34e9backed Tigers | 43c | 348.84$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x773c…cf18backed Cubs | 53c | 311$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.17 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Cubs | 54c | 305.18$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.38 | 140 | 47.9%67 W · 73 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5431…d00fbacked Tigers | 34c | 300$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.4 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 40cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a9…609fbacked Tigers | 9c | 267.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.28 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b66…7554backed Cubs | 74c | 264.8$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.53 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Tigers | 47c | 251.01$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.94 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb584…4432backed Tigers | 38c | 246.87$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.81 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.29per pick | 52cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…090cbacked Cubs | 54c | 231.48$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.48 | 177 | 54.8%97 W · 80 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27be…e3a9backed Tigers | 49c | 230.84$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.11 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba2…c1a0backed Tigers | 47c | 214.89$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -6.2wins | -0.29per pick | 48cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Tigers | 46c | 208.83$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.06 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Tigers | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 171 | 36.8%63 W · 108 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf96d…81f0backed Tigers | 48c | 206.25$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Tigers | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc3b…f625backed Tigers | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 79 | 35.4%28 W · 51 L | +6.9wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Cubs | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Cubs | 51c | 194.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.25 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35fa…2bd4backed Cubs | 53c | 189$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.83 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9a…4e25backed Cubs | 53c | 188$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.36 | 159 | 44%70 W · 89 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b70…7447backed Cubs | 60c | 181.67$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.67 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf64a…27c9backed Tigers | 38c | 175.42$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.66 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa0…7894backed Cubs | 59c | 169.46$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.48 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5308…3221backed Tigers | 47c | 160$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.66 | 403 | 52.4%211 W · 192 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4dcd…b0ffbacked Tigers | 48c | 150.36$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.17 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2957…8bcabacked Tigers | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Cubs | 52c | 115.38$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.38 | 238 | 52.9%126 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda6e…c8dcbacked Tigers | 49c | 113.67$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.7 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.