NFL · resolved market
Chiefs vs. 49ers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe5a63ef2d9be07869ff68202359534d4b781879c32347c7e3c397a0471177fc8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chiefsof Chiefs, 49ers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $442,558
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $456,154
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $442,558 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 399 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6761…a94fbacked Chiefs | 44c | 168,748$74,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93,749.93 | 120 | 51.7%62 W · 58 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c0…3f84backed 49ers | 56c | 83,344$46,569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46,569.42 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f47…af93backed 49ers | 55c | 82,407$45,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45,042.21 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3e…41ccbacked Chiefs | 46c | 23,000$10,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,420 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -45%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5611…cc26backed 49ers | 54c | 19,000$10,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,260 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…5a82backed 49ers | 54c | 16,666$9,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,999.52 | 57 | 24.6%14 W · 43 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6356…1885backed Chiefs | 45c | 15,069$6,781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,287.98 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff3…88e9backed Chiefs | 46c | 10,520$4,839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,680.8 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x155e…60e3backed 49ers | 54c | 10,480$5,659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,659.2 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed 49ers | 39c | 9,597$3,769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,768.74 | 144 | 57.6%83 W · 61 L | +11.7wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…5781backed 49ers | 55c | 9,091$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff9…bb89backed Chiefs | 67c | 6,903$4,603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,299.64 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbd…af92backed 49ers | 48c | 6,605$3,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,192.18 | 186 | 45.7%85 W · 101 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe86a…4e1abacked 49ers | 31c | 6,404$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.56 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed 49ers | 35c | 5,971$2,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,065.57 | 226 | 38.9%88 W · 138 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb91f…e659backed Chiefs | 46c | 5,100$2,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,751 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd35d…7089backed Chiefs | 59c | 5,043$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,043.36 | 144 | 52.8%76 W · 68 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed6…e8aabacked 49ers | 55c | 4,364$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400.44 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0bf…40aabacked 49ers | 56c | 4,308$2,412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,412.49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf22c…9050backed Chiefs | 58c | 4,126$2,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,737.6 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd909…fd75backed Chiefs | 57c | 4,085$2,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,750.61 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x953b…f969backed 49ers | 54c | 4,000$2,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,160 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4258…b969backed Chiefs | 76c | 3,584$2,711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$872.51 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 49cpaid | +89.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc43f…c86dbacked Chiefs | 45c | 3,446$1,551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,895.3 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bdb…4a63backed 49ers | 56c | 3,446$1,929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,929.27 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a68…003abacked 49ers | 53c | 2,815$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked 49ers | 6c | 2,639$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.23 | 333 | 28.5%95 W · 238 L | +16.7wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb033…bedbbacked Chiefs | 54c | 2,500$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150.08 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed 49ers | 51c | 2,482$1,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,265.66 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +71.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked Chiefs | 51c | 2,397$1,234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,163.35 | 324 | 38%123 W · 201 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf59e…39cfbacked Chiefs | 45c | 2,330$1,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,281.65 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae76…dce5backed 49ers | 57c | 2,194$1,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,247.73 | 273 | 39.2%107 W · 166 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Chiefs | 46c | 2,174$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,173.91 | 362 | 46.7%169 W · 193 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5faf…27bbbacked Chiefs | 78c | 2,027$1,578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.38 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75e0…fe50backed 49ers | 37c | 2,016$743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$743.35 | 109 | 60.6%66 W · 43 L | +7.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked 49ers | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked 49ers | 46c | 1,831$842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$842 | 442 | 46.8%207 W · 235 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Chiefs | 45c | 1,500$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$824.99 | 247 | 38.1%94 W · 153 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x858a…b00dbacked 49ers | 7c | 1,404$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.54 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x79a1…5801backed Chiefs | 60c | 1,323$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.75 | 107 | 68.2%73 W · 34 L | +9.6wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +12%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef3…3d1bbacked Chiefs | 45c | 1,294$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.05 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40d5…acd1backed 49ers | 48c | 1,233$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.26 | 233 | 51.9%121 W · 112 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a8b…b1c8backed 49ers | 55c | 1,200$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657.18 | 144 | 45.8%66 W · 78 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb129…e61abacked Chiefs | 79c | 1,190$937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.35 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae24…07c2backed Chiefs | 57c | 1,165$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.8 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02cb…ae38backed Chiefs | 61c | 1,144$699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.19 | 28 | 75%21 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c56…dfa1backed 49ers | 26c | 1,088$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.46 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ef…974cbacked Chiefs | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.83 | 45 | 77.8%35 W · 10 L | +5.1wins | +0.11per pick | 66cpaid | +19%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xffc0…8c5ebacked 49ers | 59c | 1,063$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.01 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Chiefs | 44c | 1,028$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.26 | 130 | 40%52 W · 78 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…46d7backed 49ers | 7c | 1,001$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.62 | 256 | 43.8%112 W · 144 L | +14.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed 49ers | 5c | 1,000$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed Chiefs | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb77e…d65dbacked Chiefs | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -44%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Chiefs | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 330 | 47.9%158 W · 172 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5e2…25f7backed Chiefs | 57c | 1,000$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.5 | 133 | 48.1%64 W · 69 L | +8.3wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked Chiefs | 46c | 999.93$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.96 | 113 | 46.9%53 W · 60 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked 49ers | 55c | 945.33$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.93 | 397 | 54.4%216 W · 181 L | +26.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…971fbacked Chiefs | 48c | 912.24$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.24 | 147 | 50.3%74 W · 73 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xceea…8c07backed Chiefs | 46c | 901.49$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.37 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd6…27d3backed 49ers | 38c | 900.49$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.11 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef5…1622backed 49ers | 13c | 887.91$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.72 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0094…4551backed Chiefs | 66c | 832.97$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.99 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b70…7447backed Chiefs | 52c | 816.55$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.62 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…4583backed 49ers | 55c | 800$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e91…b801backed 49ers | 46c | 730.38$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.67 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0054…7f85backed Chiefs | 63c | 723.03$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.87 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad1d…5bf5backed Chiefs | 56c | 714.29$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.29 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb7…05f6backed 49ers | 57c | 706.18$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.52 | 101 | 44.6%45 W · 56 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe54b…d268backed Chiefs | 45c | 700.4$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.22 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.19per pick | 57cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78da…9d47backed Chiefs | 60c | 690.41$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.66 | 21 | 81%17 W · 4 L | +4.6wins | +0.22per pick | 59cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x69ea…ba4abacked Chiefs | 53c | 654.78$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.78 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7106…fb79backed 49ers | 45c | 650$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.3 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe932…0f05backed 49ers | 15c | 611.14$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.78 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x535b…8501backed 49ers | 25c | 602.2$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe897…513ebacked 49ers | 39c | 595$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.95 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1388…339abacked 49ers | 23c | 555$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.65 | 101 | 42.6%43 W · 58 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed 49ers | 23c | 533.47$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.09 | 217 | 13.8%30 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd20…6209backed Chiefs | 45c | 526.67$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.67 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb492…b7edbacked Chiefs | 46c | 521.74$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.74 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Chiefs | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 221 | 42.1%93 W · 128 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…fd55backed 49ers | 53c | 500$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 168 | 32.1%54 W · 114 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Chiefs | 44c | 500$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 119 | 45.4%54 W · 65 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x442b…5410backed Chiefs | 46c | 500$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x89f2…0659backed 49ers | 57c | 499.99$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dec…c5b2backed 49ers | 48c | 476.17$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.7 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4b6…bb1cbacked Chiefs | 45c | 475.8$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.8 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33dc…9661backed 49ers | 57c | 447.32$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.94 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0fa…a8c3backed Chiefs | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.44 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b41…e0d3backed 49ers | 55c | 444$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.2 | 198 | 64.6%128 W · 70 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd08…58c0backed 49ers | 23c | 435.43$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93d0…0c2ebacked Chiefs | 46c | 435$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.9 | 132 | 55.3%73 W · 59 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe483…b5a0backed Chiefs | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.78 | 134 | 53.7%72 W · 62 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac29…fa88backed Chiefs | 47c | 421.19$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.19 | 286 | 59.4%170 W · 116 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…1787backed Chiefs | 53c | 409.91$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.64 | 88 | 39.8%35 W · 53 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…a99ebacked Chiefs | 46c | 400$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 392 | 42.6%167 W · 225 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf936…f310backed Chiefs | 46c | 400$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab74…3996backed Chiefs | 45c | 385.8$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.05 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f85…ea15backed 49ers | 32c | 360.56$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x534d…84fbbacked 49ers | 43c | 347.26$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -24%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.