MLB · resolved market
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Boston Red Sox
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9ec5d7a174d7ef74def4731b713a96978e9713659b4c86e67cca6f3877182479
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Boston Red Soxof Philadelphia Phillies, Boston Red Sox
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $763,059
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $757,581
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $763,059 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 317 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Philadelphia Phillies | 47c | 408,258$191,491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191,491.38 | 210 | 40%84 W · 126 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Boston Red Sox | 53c | 226,589$120,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106,490.71 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Boston Red Sox | 54c | 90,220$48,472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,748.11 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc1…b33cbacked Boston Red Sox | 65c | 42,056$27,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,789.72 | 262 | 57.3%150 W · 112 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Philadelphia Phillies | 47c | 30,000$14,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,100 | 983 | 49.8%490 W · 493 L | -18.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Boston Red Sox | 54c | 20,906$11,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,721.06 | 3,509 | 51%1,789 W · 1,720 L | +53.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Philadelphia Phillies | 46c | 15,000$6,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,899.96 | 771 | 53.8%415 W · 356 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Boston Red Sox | 55c | 15,000$8,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,749.9 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 30c | 14,396$4,252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,251.8 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Boston Red Sox | 54c | 10,893$5,885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,007.72 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Boston Red Sox | 53c | 10,000$5,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,700 | 124 | 57.3%71 W · 53 L | +7.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Boston Red Sox | 54c | 10,000$5,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,600 | 550 | 52.4%288 W · 262 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 46c | 10,000$4,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,599.89 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Boston Red Sox | 53c | 9,152$4,896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,256.6 | 5,471 | 50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Philadelphia Phillies | 45c | 8,889$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 379 | 53.6%203 W · 176 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Philadelphia Phillies | 6c | 8,472$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.38 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c20…66a9backed Boston Red Sox | 65c | 7,499$4,885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,614.6 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Philadelphia Phillies | 16c | 7,316$1,179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,179.12 | 310 | 39%121 W · 189 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Philadelphia Phillies | 35c | 6,234$2,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,176.13 | 2,149 | 50.2%1,079 W · 1,070 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Boston Red Sox | 63c | 5,674$3,582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,092.34 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2734…6d9ebacked Boston Red Sox | 54c | 5,556$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,555.56 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Boston Red Sox | 61c | 5,090$3,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,006.52 | 3,041 | 48%1,461 W · 1,580 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Boston Red Sox | 54c | 5,063$2,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,352.64 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Philadelphia Phillies | 16c | 5,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c55…97d4backed Philadelphia Phillies | 47c | 4,728$2,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,222 | 136 | 55.1%75 W · 61 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Boston Red Sox | 55c | 4,721$2,614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,106.96 | 4,515 | 48.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L | -46.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82c1…c2c6backed Boston Red Sox | 53c | 3,445$1,826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,619.29 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Boston Red Sox | 56c | 3,221$1,813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,407.88 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Boston Red Sox | 57c | 3,202$1,813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,388.78 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Boston Red Sox | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Boston Red Sox | 55c | 2,914$1,614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300.18 | 900 | 53.6%482 W · 418 L | +24.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Boston Red Sox | 54c | 2,711$1,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,245.86 | 1,527 | 51.1%780 W · 747 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 29c | 2,521$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$721.38 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Boston Red Sox | 53c | 2,500$1,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,175 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 41c | 2,389$972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$972.14 | 609 | 41.4%252 W · 357 L | -22.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Boston Red Sox | 55c | 2,338$1,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,052.06 | 172 | 48.8%84 W · 88 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4eef…3fcbbacked Boston Red Sox | 52c | 2,132$1,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,023.36 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8644…ad01backed Boston Red Sox | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Philadelphia Phillies | 38c | 1,996$753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752.65 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Philadelphia Phillies | 33c | 1,856$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.04 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed Boston Red Sox | 53c | 1,647$871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$775.08 | 299 | 48.8%146 W · 153 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 46c | 1,620$739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.42 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Boston Red Sox | 65c | 1,561$1,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.01 | 8,594 | 52.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L | +508.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce99…637ebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 45c | 1,556$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.19 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Philadelphia Phillies | 44c | 1,500$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.96 | 624 | 47.6%297 W · 327 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Philadelphia Phillies | 45c | 1,477$665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664.69 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Boston Red Sox | 70c | 1,326$929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.02 | 367 | 59.1%217 W · 150 L | +26.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Boston Red Sox | 55c | 1,200$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 874 | 53%463 W · 411 L | +16.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f0b…5577backed Philadelphia Phillies | 45c | 1,111$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 296 | 49.7%147 W · 149 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Philadelphia Phillies | 47c | 1,088$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.36 | 1,797 | 50.4%906 W · 891 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Boston Red Sox | 53c | 1,038$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.73 | 192 | 46.9%90 W · 102 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Boston Red Sox | 67c | 1,017$683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.01 | 529 | 55.6%294 W · 235 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Boston Red Sox | 55c | 1,005$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.25 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Boston Red Sox | 80c | 1,000$796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.69 | 475 | 89.1%423 W · 52 L | +84.9wins | +0.18per pick | 71cpaid | +25%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…971fbacked Boston Red Sox | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.09 | 328 | 50.3%165 W · 163 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfef5…4e98backed Philadelphia Phillies | 40c | 897.02$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.39 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 31c | 881.01$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.32 | 791 | 47.9%379 W · 412 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6db5…e279backed Philadelphia Phillies | 41c | 867.06$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.65 | 141 | 52.5%74 W · 67 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c76…862dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 18c | 866.14$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.95 | 103 | 43.7%45 W · 58 L | -9.9wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Boston Red Sox | 54c | 835.07$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.08 | 208 | 48.1%100 W · 108 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Boston Red Sox | 78c | 785.16$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.94 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Philadelphia Phillies | 38c | 783.5$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.47 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdba…e7a2backed Boston Red Sox | 57c | 771.33$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.12 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99eb…0464backed Boston Red Sox | 54c | 766$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.52 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 61cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Boston Red Sox | 54c | 734$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.64 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Philadelphia Phillies | 43c | 697.68$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 399 | 48.1%192 W · 207 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Philadelphia Phillies | 45c | 675$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.75 | 2,375 | 47.3%1,123 W · 1,252 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77ad…ba8abacked Philadelphia Phillies | 37c | 664.77$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.38 | 64 | 15.6%10 W · 54 L | -8.0wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 44c | 624.77$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.22 | 161 | 32.3%52 W · 109 L | -10.9wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Philadelphia Phillies | 39c | 621.35$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.21 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Philadelphia Phillies | 45c | 597$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.65 | 452 | 53.8%243 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…9e5ebacked Boston Red Sox | 54c | 589$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.94 | 467 | 49.5%231 W · 236 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Boston Red Sox | 55c | 586.91$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.03 | 540 | 48.3%261 W · 279 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c6…d14dbacked Boston Red Sox | 55c | 583.98$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.79 | 84 | 41.7%35 W · 49 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Philadelphia Phillies | 23c | 583.36$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.11 | 6,305 | 48.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Boston Red Sox | 59c | 581.77$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.53 | 507 | 51.7%262 W · 245 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d9…c125backed Boston Red Sox | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.56 | 218 | 56%122 W · 96 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87af…c990backed Philadelphia Phillies | 45c | 555.56$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 327 | 42.2%138 W · 189 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd3…5896backed Philadelphia Phillies | 46c | 539.96$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.38 | 174 | 46%80 W · 94 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Philadelphia Phillies | 11c | 505$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.43 | 707 | 35.1%248 W · 459 L | -31.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25d8…a71fbacked Boston Red Sox | 58c | 500$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 180 | 67.8%122 W · 58 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8165…59d0backed Boston Red Sox | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Philadelphia Phillies | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa917…4e8dbacked Boston Red Sox | 54c | 482$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.72 | 286 | 47.2%135 W · 151 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Boston Red Sox | 54c | 481.48$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.48 | 135 | 61.5%83 W · 52 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Philadelphia Phillies | 45c | 446$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.7 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Philadelphia Phillies | 34c | 403.82$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.06 | 620 | 49.2%305 W · 315 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9958…b9acbacked Boston Red Sox | 54c | 400$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 146 | 57.5%84 W · 62 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf05d…ac5ebacked Boston Red Sox | 54c | 361.28$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.19 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e0…457fbacked Boston Red Sox | 54c | 350$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161 | 319 | 49.5%158 W · 161 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 23c | 349.18$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.94 | 1,149 | 48.9%562 W · 587 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb74f…030abacked Boston Red Sox | 54c | 336$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.56 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6a…9888backed Boston Red Sox | 55c | 335$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.18 | 790 | 49.2%389 W · 401 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Philadelphia Phillies | 45c | 320$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 1,418 | 43.4%616 W · 802 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Philadelphia Phillies | 44c | 311.63$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.9 | 499 | 42.9%214 W · 285 L | -31.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf58…2bf4backed Boston Red Sox | 55c | 310.78$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.82 | 401 | 48.1%193 W · 208 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Boston Red Sox | 54c | 300$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 354 | 49.2%174 W · 180 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12f7…4ae3backed Philadelphia Phillies | 11c | 300$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe23d…3c72backed Philadelphia Phillies | 11c | 300$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +253.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c47…7a9fbacked Boston Red Sox | 56c | 300$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 119 | 48.7%58 W · 61 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Boston Red Soxthis page
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 10.5Under won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 12.5Under won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 4.5Under won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 6.5Under won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 7.5Under won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5Under won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-2.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-3.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-2.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Philadelphia Phillies vs. Boston Red SoxNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.