TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Lions vs. Vikings

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Lionsof Lions, Vikings
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$151,693
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$152,207

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $151,693 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 256 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2ff0…46e3backed Lions54c14,503$7,799 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,704.0814457.6%83 W · 61 L+11.7wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x75e0…fe50backed Lions75c9,522$7,179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,343.8110960.6%66 W · 43 L+7.8wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+1.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9f47…af93backed Vikings52c7,899$4,107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,107.375846.6%27 W · 31 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd909…fd75backed Vikings31c6,121$1,908 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,908.042871.4%20 W · 8 L+3.1wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+11.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe877…bb43backed Vikings44c6,087$2,675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,674.66028.3%17 W · 43 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-25.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Vikings27c5,635$1,496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,496.0922638.9%88 W · 138 L-1.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-22.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5fc8…39efbacked Vikings52c5,000$2,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,60014248.6%69 W · 73 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6761…a94fbacked Lions48c4,664$2,218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,446.0712051.7%62 W · 58 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Lions44c3,906$1,722 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,183.6844246.8%207 W · 235 L+10.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xae76…dce5backed Vikings52c3,820$1,998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,998.3527339.2%107 W · 166 L-13.1wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0054…7f85backed Lions43c2,974$1,279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,695.233743.2%16 W · 21 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x09bb…f8b1backed Vikings67c2,619$1,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7503161.3%19 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick61cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Lions48c2,083$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,083.3336246.7%169 W · 193 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf59e…39cfbacked Vikings48c2,000$955 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9557847.4%37 W · 41 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+18.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd244…f24cbacked Vikings52c1,923$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0006237.1%23 W · 39 L-8.3wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-28.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x5685…a0b3backed Vikings54c1,857$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00020%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xee16…37f0backed Vikings63c1,700$1,066 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,066.110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6be…fcfebacked Vikings53c1,500$795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79524738.1%94 W · 153 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid+10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe477…bb6cbacked Lions39c1,210$469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$741.3450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a8b…b1c8backed Lions46c1,200$552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$647.9614445.8%66 W · 78 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x32f4…c885backed Vikings2c1,140$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2031032.6%101 W · 209 L-8.9wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x28b6…4eddbacked Vikings1c1,104$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.664334.9%15 W · 28 L+0.2wins0.00per pick34cpaid-18.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc64d…a1c9backed Lions45c1,075$484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$591.256233.9%21 W · 41 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-20.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1729…e0efbacked Lions47c1,064$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.831136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-39.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Lions42c1,064$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$613.6713040%52 W · 78 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-18.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5eb7…05f6backed Lions45c1,000$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$550.0110144.6%45 W · 56 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b51…e165backed Lions48c1,000$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52030446.7%142 W · 162 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Lions49c1,000$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51033047.9%158 W · 172 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x128a…f49ebacked Lions48c1,000$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5202955.2%16 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xffc0…8c5ebacked Lions80c935.46$748 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.091136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-50.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd42f…047dbacked Vikings51c906.33$463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$463.0932438%123 W · 201 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x477f…19aabacked Vikings53c860$456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455.81662.5%10 W · 6 L+2.6wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+10%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9b70…7447backed Vikings53c823.78$437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$437.292171.4%15 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick63cpaid+15%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x40d5…acd1backed Lions43c821.41$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$471.4123351.9%121 W · 112 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6356…1885backed Lions46c690.49$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372.876350.8%32 W · 31 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8e71…3838backed Lions33c591.98$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.485038%19 W · 31 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick32cpaid-2.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a2…4ff7backed Vikings77c539.72$418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$417.521942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-35.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd8a4…75c1backed Vikings56c531.77$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30018658.1%108 W · 78 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x738d…4df6backed Lions69c531.35$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.23425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-64%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfcb0…c865backed Lions28c500$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36011945.4%54 W · 65 L+0.3wins0.00per pick45cpaid-13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89f2…0659backed Lions48c500$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2605550.9%28 W · 27 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93d0…0c2ebacked Vikings53c500$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26513255.3%73 W · 59 L+10.5wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8b9d…8b0dbacked Lions80c487.5$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.5475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa34e…895ebacked Lions33c476.57$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.482630.8%8 W · 18 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick25cpaid+16.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd398…46d7backed Lions55c470.15$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.6225643.8%112 W · 144 L+14.6wins+0.06per pick38cpaid-11.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbd08…58c0backed Vikings22c458.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002133.3%7 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-27.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74f1…16a8backed Vikings21c442.71$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.7221713.8%30 W · 187 L-16.1wins-0.07per pick21cpaid-50.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2b41…e0d3backed Vikings54c435$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.919864.6%128 W · 70 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0104…3886backed Lions47c423.83$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.63250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe0fa…a8c3backed Lions24c416.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.671747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c83…865bbacked Vikings55c400$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9ee…22abbacked Vikings55c399.97$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.99366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+36.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f7e…1776backed Vikings38c392.31$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb07f…8b4abacked Vikings55c388.23$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.53366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+30.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x88f4…874abacked Lions48c372.94$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.931747.1%8 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3d89…fa53backed Vikings54c362.8$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.91250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c78…dbaebacked Vikings55c353.59$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.51250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd999…24c4backed Vikings75c350$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick65cpaid-58.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe897…513ebacked Vikings8c330.71$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256354%34 W · 29 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Vikings27c320.98$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.4452828.6%151 W · 377 L+1.8wins0.00per pick28cpaid-27.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f85…d745backed Lions48c312.5$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.513260.6%80 W · 52 L+7.1wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+1.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9693…07c3backed Lions48c302.08$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.0811949.6%59 W · 60 L+5.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b89…b2aabacked Vikings25c300$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$765738.6%22 W · 35 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Lions47c299.98$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.9929356%164 W · 129 L+14.0wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1156…f8adbacked Lions47c299.94$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.14650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x13a6…ee95backed Lions32c285.68$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.363033.3%10 W · 20 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+27.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c4c…178dbacked Vikings54c275.3$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.66250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08e2…e186backed Lions46c275$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.257448.6%36 W · 38 L+5.2wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+11.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xeaf0…1179backed Lions30c274.6$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.852740.7%11 W · 16 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick34cpaid-8.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa710…4173backed Lions43c269.84$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.8116036.3%58 W · 102 L+7.3wins+0.05per pick32cpaid-1.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7616…cdfcbacked Lions46c269.47$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.47616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick27cpaid-64.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb49…97a0backed Lions48c262.5$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.54339.5%17 W · 26 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9c0…4583backed Vikings53c256.16$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.366157.4%35 W · 26 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe41a…a42dbacked Lions49c255$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.055036%18 W · 32 L0.0wins0.00per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c67…bb39backed Lions44c250$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.7320246%93 W · 109 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2fb4…2794backed Lions46c243.28$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.3714139%55 W · 86 L-0.2wins0.00per pick39cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0355…4c8cbacked Vikings21c238.1$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503243.8%14 W · 18 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-14.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfebd…3b87backed Vikings54c234$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.36250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4124…fe54backed Lions54c232.19$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.194261.9%26 W · 16 L+3.7wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+7.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2137…0677backed Lions49c229.89$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.2120440.7%83 W · 121 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick37cpaid-17%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x576b…7336backed Vikings54c223.7$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.86518.5%12 W · 53 L-7.3wins-0.11per pick30cpaid-50.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdd7d…6022backed Vikings55c220.07$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.04250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1566…bb2bbacked Lions47c218$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.54333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-29.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x14e4…dd4cbacked Vikings52c215$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.8540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b60…6e88backed Lions49c214.29$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.29475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+41.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ef3…ce62backed Vikings52c211.54$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-31.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf3b…38dbbacked Lions36c210$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.85558.2%32 W · 23 L+6.1wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+24.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xcea2…afafbacked Lions49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.083253.1%17 W · 15 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x81e0…611dbacked Lions49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.083452.9%18 W · 16 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8229…dfbfbacked Lions48c200$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1042740.7%11 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Lions48c200$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10441540.2%167 W · 248 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-19.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf318…0cdcbacked Vikings53c199.99$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+37.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4e91…b801backed Lions22c199.99$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.995034%17 W · 33 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-4.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Vikings76c199.99$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.9930743.6%134 W · 173 L-1.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x901d…9c8ebacked Vikings53c197.74$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.8966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick56cpaid-1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a0e…433dbacked Vikings53c189$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.175766.7%38 W · 19 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xec6f…928fbacked Lions47c188.99$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.171346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8861…499ebacked Vikings53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick47cpaid+7.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3462…d3d2backed Vikings54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002777.8%21 W · 6 L+4.1wins+0.15per pick63cpaid+20%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc82e…2284backed Vikings54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-26.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.