MLB · resolved market
Dodgers vs. Cardinals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x35f42c4455dda828715972aff7099b8114b59b875fbc7298896e711490f289b9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cardinalsof Dodgers, Cardinals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $240,456
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $232,181
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $240,456 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 207 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe8e1…77bfbacked Cardinals | 37c | 37,469$13,727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,742.72 | 155 | 53.5%83 W · 72 L | +11.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc605…d372backed Dodgers | 66c | 34,041$22,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,299.95 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | -15.3wins | -0.18per pick | 60cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Dodgers | 36c | 25,081$9,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,070.24 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Dodgers | 66c | 20,057$13,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,236.64 | 279 | 48.4%135 W · 144 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Dodgers | 33c | 19,307$6,441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,440.57 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Cardinals | 42c | 13,981$5,931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,049.53 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Cardinals | 34c | 11,671$3,968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,702.75 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadd6…47efbacked Dodgers | 61c | 6,921$4,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,248.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe768…9d43backed Dodgers | 39c | 5,891$2,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,306.72 | 196 | 50.5%99 W · 97 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Dodgers | 37c | 5,582$2,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,044.46 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf90d…0b4dbacked Cardinals | 43c | 4,641$2,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,639.7 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Cardinals | 45c | 3,847$1,741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,106.47 | 9,862 | 46.4%4,579 W · 5,283 L | +40.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae36…8fb5backed Cardinals | 54c | 3,754$2,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,710.53 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +7.3wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Dodgers | 64c | 3,660$2,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,335.07 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Cardinals | 35c | 3,258$1,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,120.11 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Dodgers | 60c | 2,797$1,691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,690.79 | 255 | 50.6%129 W · 126 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9a…4e25backed Dodgers | 64c | 2,186$1,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,399.04 | 159 | 44%70 W · 89 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Cardinals | 36c | 2,150$774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,375.96 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6771…b783backed Dodgers | 4c | 2,040$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.51 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08ad…208ebacked Cardinals | 37c | 1,896$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,194.65 | 217 | 40.1%87 W · 130 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Cardinals | 37c | 1,737$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,095.42 | 311 | 45.7%142 W · 169 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Dodgers | 48c | 1,666$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 110 | 36.4%40 W · 70 L | -7.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc40…4036backed Dodgers | 62c | 1,586$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989.78 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 67cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Cardinals | 36c | 1,500$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$967.09 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Cardinals | 35c | 1,500$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$969.96 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x343c…741dbacked Dodgers | 63c | 1,400$882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$881.99 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Cardinals | 36c | 1,400$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$895.94 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38ba…92f7backed Dodgers | 61c | 1,384$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 95 | 46.3%44 W · 51 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Dodgers | 63c | 1,270$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.1 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bc…e520backed Cardinals | 37c | 1,230$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$774.9 | 279 | 53.4%149 W · 130 L | +16.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Cardinals | 37c | 1,081$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.01 | 1,012 | 51.2%518 W · 494 L | +37.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a44…d80abacked Cardinals | 35c | 1,031$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.79 | 197 | 42.6%84 W · 113 L | -13.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Dodgers | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Cardinals | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Cardinals | 36c | 920.99$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.3 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Cardinals | 35c | 900$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585 | 204 | 50.5%103 W · 101 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Dodgers | 35c | 899$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.82 | 995 | 49.9%497 W · 498 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Cardinals | 34c | 887.78$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.93 | 5,235 | 56.8%2,972 W · 2,263 L | +130.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25cc…3601backed Cardinals | 36c | 879.55$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.27 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80f8…6713backed Cardinals | 61c | 823.39$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.39 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Dodgers | 63c | 811.19$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.48 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Dodgers | 64c | 781.25$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 382 | 45.5%174 W · 208 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…136abacked Dodgers | 15c | 777.32$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fae…3488backed Dodgers | 51c | 745.61$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.26 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca94…336ebacked Dodgers | 67c | 733.56$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.36 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Dodgers | 63c | 701.95$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.23 | 277 | 51.3%142 W · 135 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Cardinals | 38c | 687.84$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.48 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Dodgers | 42c | 687.18$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.96 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Dodgers | 39c | 680.6$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.95 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Cardinals | 42c | 679.92$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.02 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae09…fa6dbacked Cardinals | 35c | 652$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.8 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1fd…af0dbacked Dodgers | 55c | 573.56$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.46 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Dodgers | 54c | 552.79$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.75 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Cardinals | 36c | 544.97$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.52 | 959 | 50.1%480 W · 479 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11f1…34e9backed Dodgers | 69c | 532.7$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.46 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Cardinals | 36c | 513.12$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.4 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf092…4ebabacked Dodgers | 52c | 417.31$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217 | 199 | 52.8%105 W · 94 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…f6b8backed Cardinals | 35c | 390$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.6 | 209 | 54.5%114 W · 95 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Cardinals | 37c | 389.4$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.4 | 1,219 | 40.4%493 W · 726 L | -33.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…4d48backed Dodgers | 21c | 382$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.97 | 248 | 8.9%22 W · 226 L | -17.8wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e17…e4d4backed Dodgers | 61c | 354.81$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.61 | 160 | 55.6%89 W · 71 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Dodgers | 57c | 348.77$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.48 | 513 | 34.5%177 W · 336 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcd…6bddbacked Cardinals | 51c | 338.02$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.09 | 175 | 58.9%103 W · 72 L | +9.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b70…7447backed Dodgers | 57c | 320.07$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.44 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Cardinals | 37c | 297.3$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.3 | 394 | 36%142 W · 252 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Cardinals | 46c | 288$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.45 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Cardinals | 36c | 286.11$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.11 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…b3aabacked Dodgers | 64c | 284.67$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182 | 259 | 54.1%140 W · 119 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Dodgers | 32c | 268.02$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.87 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac46…ca4abacked Cardinals | 40c | 251.38$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.83 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9727…e068backed Dodgers | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 34cpaid | +132.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe880…de2dbacked Dodgers | 55c | 250$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.5 | 84 | 54.8%46 W · 38 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x766c…2377backed Dodgers | 56c | 246.01$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73b8…aa92backed Dodgers | 55c | 219.66$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 389 | 51.2%199 W · 190 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ce…13eebacked Dodgers | 56c | 212.62$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.01 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -6.1wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Cardinals | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 171 | 36.8%63 W · 108 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Cardinals | 37c | 200$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 3,314 | 46.3%1,533 W · 1,781 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Dodgers | 62c | 199.98$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.99 | 475 | 4.4%21 W · 454 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Dodgers | 38c | 198.79$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.96 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Dodgers | 57c | 196.42$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.96 | 540 | 48.3%261 W · 279 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1892…4cf5backed Dodgers | 65c | 195.38$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…3a83backed Cardinals | 36c | 194.44$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.44 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | +9.2wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…090cbacked Dodgers | 65c | 192.31$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 177 | 54.8%97 W · 80 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…bd6abacked Dodgers | 64c | 187.5$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | -8.4wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Dodgers | 50c | 181.51$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.75 | 329 | 32.2%106 W · 223 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfa…d8d2backed Dodgers | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb09…0f04backed Cardinals | 37c | 164.2$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.2 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb2c…b96cbacked Dodgers | 64c | 163.94$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Dodgers | 61c | 161.93$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.63 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05be…d651backed Dodgers | 65c | 157.5$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.75 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Dodgers | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c90…f36cbacked Dodgers | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 229 | 58.5%134 W · 95 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Dodgers | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Cardinals | 57c | 155.5$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.86 | 4,197 | 50.2%2,106 W · 2,091 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cee…b72abacked Cardinals | 35c | 152.23$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.95 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +8.8wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba2…c1a0backed Dodgers | 65c | 151.07$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.19 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -6.2wins | -0.29per pick | 48cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce9…7a2cbacked Cardinals | 40c | 150$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 206 | 45.1%93 W · 113 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ca…a847backed Cardinals | 37c | 144.89$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3560…8494backed Cardinals | 39c | 140$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79a9…4f3dbacked Cardinals | 38c | 136.92$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.89 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.