TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Bengals vs. Giants

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Bengalsof Bengals, Giants
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$241,743
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$240,234

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $241,743 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 240 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4cc3…7552backed Giants34c36,650$12,516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,515.5425137.5%94 W · 157 L-18.6wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-22.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xfdf1…c324backed Giants35c28,240$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,0002152.4%11 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd42f…047dbacked Giants26c25,211$6,441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,441.2932438%123 W · 201 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5c0…3f84backed Bengals65c23,145$14,996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,149.576950.7%35 W · 34 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5eb7…05f6backed Bengals64c11,489$7,353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,135.8710144.6%45 W · 56 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6356…1885backed Giants35c9,529$3,335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,335.326350.8%32 W · 31 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe9ee…d947backed Giants24c6,471$1,546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,546.361010%1 W · 9 L-2.9wins-0.29per pick39cpaid-82.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Bengals75c6,278$4,713 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,565.1822638.9%88 W · 138 L-1.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-22.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf22c…9050backed Giants26c4,246$1,091 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0912842.9%12 W · 16 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-28.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5102…9c6ebacked Giants24c4,243$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick20cpaid+19%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x79a1…5801backed Bengals73c4,007$2,941 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,065.8210768.2%73 W · 34 L+9.6wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+12%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8823…4c34backed Bengals67c3,369$2,243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,126.422050%10 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Giants29c3,191$915 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$915.3244246.8%207 W · 235 L+10.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x458d…694cbacked Giants36c2,752$991 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$990.7920%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Bengals64c2,735$1,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$984.5736246.7%169 W · 193 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4b6…bb1cbacked Giants15c2,719$411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411.032240.9%9 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-17.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd35d…7089backed Bengals70c2,651$1,857 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$794.4414452.8%76 W · 68 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3195…a94fbacked Bengals64c2,633$1,685 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$948.053455.9%19 W · 15 L+3.0wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1dbd…af92backed Giants35c2,498$862 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$861.7618645.7%85 W · 101 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d84…1344backed Giants35c2,400$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$849.7312827.3%35 W · 93 L-5.8wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-38.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x75e0…fe50backed Giants27c1,644$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$443.5510960.6%66 W · 43 L+7.8wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+1.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb27e…1961backed Bengals74c1,506$1,114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.56683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick70cpaid+20.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f2a…2aaebacked Bengals65c1,503$977 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$525.973411.8%4 W · 30 L-8.1wins-0.24per pick36cpaid-69.2%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0xd3a6…fd55backed Giants30c1,500$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45516832.1%54 W · 114 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70c3…f9acbacked Giants36c1,480$533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$532.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe932…0f05backed Bengals64c1,446$925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.519754.6%53 W · 44 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x905f…ad6bbacked Giants21c1,399$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.76922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.25per pick48cpaid-59.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Giants13c1,335$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.6110639.6%42 W · 64 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3168…6734backed Bengals66c1,253$822 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$430.676944.9%31 W · 38 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04eb…36a7backed Bengals66c1,160$766 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.419361.7%119 W · 74 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x74f1…16a8backed Giants23c1,119$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.221713.8%30 W · 187 L-16.1wins-0.07per pick21cpaid-50.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc229…b12fbacked Bengals76c1,099$839 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.41887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.26per pick62cpaid+46.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Bengals64c1,089$697 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.0434349.3%169 W · 174 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a8b…b1c8backed Giants43c1,053$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$447.9514445.8%66 W · 78 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b51…e165backed Giants39c1,000$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.2830446.7%142 W · 162 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf59e…39cfbacked Bengals70c1,000$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3007847.4%37 W · 41 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+18.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa8f7…039abacked Giants36c999.98$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.9911346.9%53 W · 60 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4b9…cf5ebacked Giants19c987.38$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.015925.4%15 W · 44 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-37.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xabd7…c531backed Bengals78c849.99$661 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1892560%15 W · 10 L+2.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+7.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Giants19c825.28$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.2952828.6%151 W · 377 L+1.8wins0.00per pick28cpaid-27.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1f9…1245backed Giants35c821.43$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2854454.5%24 W · 20 L+4.6wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+29.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xdb49…97a0backed Giants37c810.38$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.844339.5%17 W · 26 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf13b…d7fcbacked Bengals64c799.48$512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.81757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x828d…e57fbacked Giants37c791.89$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4ef…974cbacked Bengals66c757.58$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.584577.8%35 W · 10 L+5.1wins+0.11per pick66cpaid+19%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5380…28debacked Bengals65c750$484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2667054.3%38 W · 32 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+1.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Bengals69c700$484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21622142.1%93 W · 128 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b41…e0d3backed Bengals65c684$446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.1219864.6%128 W · 70 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd08…58c0backed Giants31c671.43$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2102133.3%7 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-27.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd398…46d7backed Giants25c659.47$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.8825643.8%112 W · 144 L+14.6wins+0.06per pick38cpaid-11.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfb51…742dbacked Bengals62c659.41$409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.581758.8%10 W · 7 L-0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2e9…2758backed Bengals64c625$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2256071.7%43 W · 17 L+11.4wins+0.19per pick53cpaid+42.7%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x69bb…fcb2backed Bengals64c624.74$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.913100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+102.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0db4…cc65backed Bengals64c588.12$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.724100%4 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+87.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2376…30f5backed Giants37c569.11$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21010452.9%55 W · 49 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c67…bb39backed Bengals65c550$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19020246%93 W · 109 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e91…0042backed Bengals66c534.68$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.79650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-21.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0547…9926backed Giants29c513.92$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.195754.4%31 W · 26 L+3.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x089b…2193backed Giants37c500$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-33.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b3d…8db7backed Giants24c500$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11916439.6%65 W · 99 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x200a…d498backed Bengals64c500$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.15per pick63cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Giants39c495.7$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1958035%28 W · 52 L-4.5wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc1a4…229ebacked Bengals64c470$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.22100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick67cpaid+50.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc390…715cbacked Bengals64c468.75$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.757058.6%41 W · 29 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9f85…d745backed Bengals66c454.55$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.5513260.6%80 W · 52 L+7.1wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+1.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x47bc…c043backed Giants12c453.2$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.386734.3%23 W · 44 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-25.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Bengals65c450$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15938459.9%230 W · 154 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84c6…0c95backed Giants26c426.56$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.44728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-42.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc31…971fbacked Giants24c416.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014750.3%74 W · 73 L+7.0wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa3ed…0bb4backed Giants37c410.11$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.748321.7%18 W · 65 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick28cpaid-31.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd561…9423backed Bengals65c400$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14010467.3%70 W · 34 L+9.5wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+7.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x067f…a821backed Giants23c400$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9012842.2%54 W · 74 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-22.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfcb0…c865backed Bengals64c399.99$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14411945.4%54 W · 65 L+0.3wins0.00per pick45cpaid-13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe3c5…e38abacked Giants18c399.99$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$722152.4%11 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x901d…9c8ebacked Bengals64c396.09$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.59966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick56cpaid-1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc338…dc01backed Bengals65c396$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.6333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-48.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x423a…4f1dbacked Bengals64c390.63$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.631050%5 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefcd…e2ebbacked Giants26c385.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f41…03e7backed Giants19c383.86$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.5837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204e…4236backed Giants34c378.03$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.533511.4%4 W · 31 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick7cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x32f4…c885backed Giants13c357.98$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.2631032.6%101 W · 209 L-8.9wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Bengals66c354.54$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.5429356%164 W · 129 L+14.0wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbdd1…0c4fbacked Giants26c342.7$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.979136.3%33 W · 58 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-31.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8b5…c663backed Giants37c324.32$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12060%0 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd9fb…f97abacked Bengals64c312.97$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.671346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5e1…9897backed Bengals64c312.5$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.51553.3%8 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd74e…c62bbacked Bengals64c311.99$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.31633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-52.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x47dc…eec9backed Bengals73c310.99$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.495671.4%40 W · 16 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick66cpaid+5.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc82e…2284backed Bengals65c307.69$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.692445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-26.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x57fa…51c4backed Giants30c304.67$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.733256.3%18 W · 14 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Bengals67c300$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9913040%52 W · 78 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-18.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe897…513ebacked Giants13c300$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.56354%34 W · 29 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4b23…8278backed Giants31c275$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.256758.2%39 W · 28 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b30…962abacked Bengals71c264.34$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.34333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick56cpaid-53.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xad1d…5bf5backed Giants22c263.74$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.83728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-46.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93d0…0c2ebacked Bengals64c250$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9013255.3%73 W · 59 L+10.5wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7c8e…d47abacked Bengals75c250$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.52100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+48.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0232…9391backed Bengals64c249.98$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.9910256.9%58 W · 44 L-0.5wins0.00per pick57cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd0a…63abbacked Giants20c245.18$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.992437.5%9 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-27.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0094…4551backed Bengals68c242.94$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.742466.7%16 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.