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NFL · resolved market

Titans vs. Texans

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Titansof Titans, Texans
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$315,454
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$331,475

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $315,454 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 339 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x20cc…ebc0backed Texans75c29,344$22,046 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,045.914736.2%17 W · 30 L-7.9wins-0.17per pick53cpaid-45%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x9981…dec4backed Texans79c21,013$16,678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,677.655472.2%39 W · 15 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick68cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Titans27c19,007$5,148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,858.5544246.8%207 W · 235 L+10.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa84b…5055backed Texans68c15,314$10,460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,460.083976.9%30 W · 9 L+4.2wins+0.11per pick66cpaid+10.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xae76…dce5backed Titans21c14,051$2,951 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,100.2927339.2%107 W · 166 L-13.1wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x94dc…c779backed Titans45c13,000$5,862 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,137.77853.8%42 W · 36 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-10.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Texans2c10,885$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.24311.6%7 W · 424 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-82.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf05…70dabacked Texans64c9,973$6,401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,401.4514763.9%94 W · 53 L+12.0wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+14.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcc81…0ababacked Titans59c9,093$5,388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,704.525250%26 W · 26 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Texans61c9,038$5,513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,513.1714349%70 W · 73 L-0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe877…bb43backed Titans22c6,799$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,299.186028.3%17 W · 43 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-25.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc9c8…44fbbacked Texans8c5,774$462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461.9114837.2%55 W · 93 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-13.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b51…e165backed Texans80c5,000$3,998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,998.4830446.7%142 W · 162 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Titans35c4,472$1,549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,922.4331848.1%153 W · 165 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x986f…cac8backed Titans23c4,348$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,348.411216.7%2 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe85e…2aebbacked Texans63c4,298$2,708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,708520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick34cpaid-48.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x128e…a35bbacked Titans42c4,215$1,787 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,428.832619.2%5 W · 21 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-27.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a5e…c869backed Titans22c4,032$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,131.6211738.5%45 W · 72 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-9.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Texans46c3,989$1,838 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,837.9522638.9%88 W · 138 L-1.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-22.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd065…93e8backed Texans79c3,797$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0005565.5%36 W · 19 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+4.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Titans25c3,201$786 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,414.944226.2%11 W · 31 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x79a1…5801backed Texans69c3,117$2,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,15010768.2%73 W · 34 L+9.6wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+12%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4cc3…7552backed Titans20c2,500$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,999.9525137.5%94 W · 157 L-18.6wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-22.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Titans22c2,425$534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,891.536246.7%169 W · 193 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa55f…c3d6backed Titans20c2,259$452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,807.142751.9%14 W · 13 L+3.1wins+0.12per pick40cpaid+22%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xccf2…41b7backed Texans57c2,058$1,181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,181.313141.9%13 W · 18 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-34.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe77f…4374backed Titans33c2,035$674 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,360.313135.5%11 W · 20 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-30.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd9fe…ad85backed Texans69c2,004$1,386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,386.136758.2%39 W · 28 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a8b…b1c8backed Texans74c2,000$1,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,479.9914445.8%66 W · 78 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8bea…2becbacked Titans21c1,932$406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,526.09850%4 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+44.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xab8a…681abacked Titans37c1,900$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2003250%16 W · 16 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd52c…4125backed Texans54c1,870$1,004 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,003.87100%0 W · 10 L-3.0wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd0fd…a7dabacked Titans22c1,818$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,418.181855.6%10 W · 8 L+2.3wins+0.13per pick43cpaid+39%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc6ab…5eb9backed Texans69c1,715$1,190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1903773%27 W · 10 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick68cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3849…35ebbacked Titans76c1,431$1,094 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.88540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-48.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb173…ed42backed Titans19c1,423$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,159.943112.9%4 W · 27 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick19cpaid-54.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1ec1…fc09backed Texans79c1,399$1,106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,105.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Titans20c1,300$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,041.9810624.5%26 W · 80 L-12.6wins-0.12per pick36cpaid-40.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x7d9c…00f6backed Texans79c1,266$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0004245.2%19 W · 23 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x189c…fea3backed Texans78c1,259$982 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$982.021040%4 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-33.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe214…fcbabacked Titans21c1,259$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$994.473100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+158.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1608…a990backed Titans14c1,060$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$911.437627.6%21 W · 55 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-21.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb79…c2c6backed Titans20c1,014$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8119645.8%44 W · 52 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7b2…ece3backed Titans21c1,000$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$786.475848.3%28 W · 30 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+2.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Texans10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10033047.9%158 W · 172 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2b1…7d2abacked Texans77c1,000$770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7703644.4%16 W · 20 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-15.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd057…ae9fbacked Titans46c1,000$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54011821.2%25 W · 93 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick18cpaid+46.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0113…6f26backed Texans71c984.54$696 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$696.271650%8 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-18.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x719d…4e73backed Texans71c946.78$676 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$676.292119%4 W · 17 L-2.8wins-0.14per pick33cpaid-74.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Titans21c877.43$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$696.9477052.7%406 W · 364 L+24.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xad46…f468backed Titans32c875.57$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$595.852142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc910…5e8dbacked Titans27c836.67$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611.51553.3%8 W · 7 L+3.2wins+0.21per pick32cpaid+53.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe59b…488ebacked Titans20c831.86$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$665.3614022.9%32 W · 108 L-12.8wins-0.09per pick32cpaid-28.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xff3e…c6e3backed Texans60c815.62$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.622638.5%10 W · 16 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-28.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa8cd…3cf2backed Titans21c786.95$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$621.694420.5%9 W · 35 L-6.2wins-0.14per pick35cpaid-40.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7e8b…4f21backed Titans23c780.95$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$602.094660.9%28 W · 18 L+6.6wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+23.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa3b7…44c6backed Titans22c636.36$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$496.36633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick35cpaid+9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a67…dc7cbacked Texans57c635.48$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.26956.5%39 W · 30 L+5.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+4.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc6fe…b77fbacked Texans78c625.41$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.827541.3%31 W · 44 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-14.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf930…e346backed Titans22c605$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$471.921454.7%117 W · 97 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e33…e00ebacked Titans34c581.48$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.48825%2 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x18bb…b65fbacked Titans22c579.98$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452.39366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.43per pick23cpaid+236.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xac97…a99ebacked Titans21c579.21$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$457.5839242.6%167 W · 225 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Texans78c543.14$423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$423.2610738.3%41 W · 66 L-5.9wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-20.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Texans73c510.53$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372.4138459.9%230 W · 154 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc6a1…9fd5backed Titans46c510$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275944.4%4 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f33…200ebacked Titans80c500$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-58.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2fb4…2794backed Texans69c488.01$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.3214139%55 W · 86 L-0.2wins0.00per pick39cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ef6…eb68backed Titans22c454.55$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.553930.8%12 W · 27 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x49a7…2261backed Titans22c454.55$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.55560%3 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.29per pick31cpaid+112.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…33ccbacked Texans79c443.04$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick68cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce10…902bbacked Titans23c428.8$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.84665.2%30 W · 16 L+4.8wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+29.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x43f9…3e7ebacked Titans50c400$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.9250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4889…e2d8backed Titans22c383$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.743447.1%16 W · 18 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x630f…db81backed Texans80c375.2$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3004868.8%33 W · 15 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xecbe…42ffbacked Texans6c371.31$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.6433328.5%95 W · 238 L+16.7wins+0.05per pick24cpaid+19.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8e26…b14abacked Texans79c370.16$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2938762.1%54 W · 33 L+5.7wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+8.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Titans25c368.73$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.7952828.6%151 W · 377 L+1.8wins0.00per pick28cpaid-27.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b14…d18cbacked Texans79c339.15$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.933351.5%17 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb0ff…ca90backed Titans21c338.1$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.1933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e1b…7ccabacked Texans79c316.46$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25013655.9%76 W · 60 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74f1…16a8backed Titans25c316.36$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.8221713.8%30 W · 187 L-16.1wins-0.07per pick21cpaid-50.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x93d0…0c2ebacked Texans60c301.44$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18213255.3%73 W · 59 L+10.5wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xdf3b…38dbbacked Texans40c300$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1205558.2%32 W · 23 L+6.1wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+24.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xbd94…0b01backed Titans21c299.87$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.8916139.1%63 W · 98 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd5ce…e4dabacked Texans52c288.95$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick43cpaid+5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa945…8201backed Texans80c280$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick66cpaid-51%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe6d1…5c0dbacked Titans21c280$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.2560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+54.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed Texans73c260.42$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.495056%28 W · 22 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6678…d4b6backed Texans80c250.84$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20018144.8%81 W · 100 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0b69…e32abacked Titans22c250$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1951163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+17.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe34…cf4cbacked Titans19c250$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.53630.6%11 W · 25 L-3.0wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-32.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd7a0…ed74backed Texans80c250$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001681.3%13 W · 3 L+3.1wins+0.19per pick62cpaid+28.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x3f3b…1d77backed Texans77c242.09$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.415530.9%17 W · 38 L-4.2wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-46.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8337…e5c1backed Texans71c228.52$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.8666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bf1…58a9backed Texans79c227.78$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18030%0 W · 3 L-1.9wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x94f1…b9e7backed Texans57c225.63$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.922055%11 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+55.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Texans59c224.78$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.62650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2a3…8c00backed Texans80c205$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.9475%3 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick77cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa34d…1de4backed Titans22c200.01$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.341147.9%9 W · 105 L-10.2wins-0.09per pick17cpaid-62.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.