NHL · resolved market
Penguins vs. Panthers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4c4fdabe035b5ef8fadc38e00383ecadf81b37131f3664ea9e198de238b77208
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Panthersof Penguins, Panthers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $53,644
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $65,701
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,644 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 125 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7239…6591backed Panthers | 52c | 4,311$2,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,066.82 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Panthers | 67c | 3,763$2,523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,239.49 | 279 | 58.8%164 W · 115 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Penguins | 29c | 3,704$1,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,076.27 | 377 | 38.7%146 W · 231 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Penguins | 45c | 3,514$1,572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,571.55 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Panthers | 46c | 1,992$914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,078.39 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac90…1882backed Panthers | 71c | 1,502$1,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.58 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Panthers | 72c | 1,500$1,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415 | 245 | 46.1%113 W · 132 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfc…b032backed Penguins | 29c | 1,500$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Panthers | 71c | 1,400$994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Penguins | 29c | 1,381$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.44 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x360c…38f8backed Penguins | 30c | 1,362$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.48 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.31per pick | 48cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3420…1856backed Panthers | 70c | 1,362$953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.48 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Panthers | 50c | 1,242$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.22 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Penguins | 37c | 963.98$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.34 | 133 | 48.1%64 W · 69 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Penguins | 27c | 946.38$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.79 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…b4f9backed Penguins | 70c | 843.33$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.47 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.43per pick | 63cpaid | -74%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Penguins | 30c | 828.31$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.49 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7709…5852backed Penguins | 62c | 806.45$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Penguins | 48c | 778.74$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.45 | 236 | 42.8%101 W · 135 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Panthers | 72c | 657.16$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.45 | 584 | 67.5%394 W · 190 L | +93.1wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xe98b…780dbacked Penguins | 49c | 618.19$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.21per pick | 59cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e87…8befbacked Panthers | 71c | 563.38$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.38 | 134 | 57.5%77 W · 57 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2967…4517backed Penguins | 70c | 530$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Panthers | 70c | 509.11$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.64 | 493 | 51.3%253 W · 240 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Penguins | 30c | 499.87$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.09 | 543 | 49.5%269 W · 274 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4acf…e8dcbacked Panthers | 70c | 485.01$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.5 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe31a…adffbacked Panthers | 71c | 469.01$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.01 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…5b60backed Penguins | 30c | 464$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.2 | 642 | 42.2%271 W · 371 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Panthers | 54c | 461.13$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.13 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Penguins | 29c | 460.09$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.43 | 228 | 42.5%97 W · 131 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9c…503bbacked Panthers | 64c | 450.33$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.94 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x094e…f10bbacked Panthers | 70c | 444$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.2 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b41…e0d3backed Panthers | 71c | 345$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.05 | 244 | 57.4%140 W · 104 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Penguins | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Penguins | 29c | 325.11$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.53 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb868…a94ebacked Penguins | 34c | 295.51$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.32per pick | 47cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d2…317bbacked Panthers | 70c | 284.94$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.48 | 156 | 63.5%99 W · 57 L | +17.0wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea5…2af9backed Panthers | 71c | 281.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.69 | 154 | 56.5%87 W · 67 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x931f…d15dbacked Panthers | 71c | 281.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.69 | 128 | 59.4%76 W · 52 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Penguins | 23c | 260$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.8 | 372 | 54.3%202 W · 170 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8c…726cbacked Penguins | 24c | 200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Panthers | 65c | 171.45$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.01 | 148 | 44.6%66 W · 82 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5755…d1babacked Penguins | 73c | 167$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.91 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -2.0wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Penguins | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb377…f621backed Penguins | 29c | 159.46$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.24 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc87…d45bbacked Penguins | 31c | 156.97$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.66 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -52%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ccf…34e6backed Panthers | 70c | 150$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec16…07f9backed Penguins | 68c | 144.65$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.28 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b70…7447backed Penguins | 49c | 142.94$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Penguins | 53c | 136.79$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.94 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Penguins | 29c | 136.21$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 764 | 50.4%385 W · 379 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x261c…6b74backed Penguins | 31c | 132.48$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.07 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb299…4a62backed Panthers | 52c | 130$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 731 | 57.5%420 W · 311 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98b4…5d76backed Panthers | 65c | 129.99$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.1 | 301 | 55.1%166 W · 135 L | +17.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Panthers | 70c | 127.86$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.36 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Panthers | 40c | 125$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 205 | 40.5%83 W · 122 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Penguins | 33c | 121.21$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 309 | 46.3%143 W · 166 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…13c9backed Panthers | 71c | 120$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.8 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Panthers | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 669 | 51%341 W · 328 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Panthers | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 351 | 54.1%190 W · 161 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Penguins | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 508 | 57.7%293 W · 215 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Penguins | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 818 | 46%376 W · 442 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa27b…5d5cbacked Panthers | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab3c…5093backed Penguins | 31c | 97$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.07 | 86 | 27.9%24 W · 62 L | -6.9wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Panthers | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 331 | 45%149 W · 182 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Penguins | 30c | 91.7$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.51 | 348 | 45.4%158 W · 190 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Penguins | 30c | 83.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 419 | 54.4%228 W · 191 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Penguins | 54c | 80$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.4 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x080d…9874backed Panthers | 70c | 76.99$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.1 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +35%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0c8…3cbbbacked Panthers | 70c | 76.64$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.99 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b6c…cee2backed Penguins | 31c | 76.48$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.71 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 41cpaid | -76.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd2…a281backed Panthers | 70c | 75.09$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.53 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +70.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62f7…a210backed Panthers | 70c | 75.06$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.52 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.27per pick | 54cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa61d…22f6backed Penguins | 29c | 74$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.46 | 305 | 49.2%150 W · 155 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd80…d6c0backed Panthers | 70c | 72.2$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.66 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1060…a32dbacked Penguins | 31c | 70.97$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7b2…7c50backed Panthers | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf07b…60a3backed Panthers | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd47…8277backed Panthers | 46c | 66.19$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.99 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x183f…3bfebacked Panthers | 70c | 65.27$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.58 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x635d…5025backed Penguins | 30c | 65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 79 | 36.7%29 W · 50 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x63d0…605dbacked Penguins | 31c | 64.35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13de…0f8cbacked Panthers | 70c | 59.01$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.7 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef89…73e2backed Panthers | 71c | 56.34$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.34 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9448…be98backed Panthers | 72c | 55.2$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 154 | 70.1%108 W · 46 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd121…54c7backed Panthers | 57c | 52.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.56 | 173 | 63%109 W · 64 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33dc…415ebacked Penguins | 30c | 52.18$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.65 | 157 | 30.6%48 W · 109 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7df9…bcfabacked Penguins | 31c | 46.1$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.29 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa37d…9526backed Penguins | 31c | 45.68$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.16 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0755…b1fdbacked Panthers | 70c | 43.66$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.1 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +4.3wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Penguins | 27c | 42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 297 | 48.8%145 W · 152 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd32d…3c32backed Panthers | 39c | 40.75$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.95 | 116 | 55.2%64 W · 52 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x575d…064dbacked Penguins | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ca…81febacked Panthers | 70c | 39.06$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.55 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf04f…a8c4backed Penguins | 30c | 38.84$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.65 | 164 | 37.2%61 W · 103 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27b0…bfd9backed Penguins | 31c | 37.39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.59 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf05e…1030backed Penguins | 31c | 36.48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.31 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed Panthers | 70c | 35.55$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.55 | 979 | 55.5%543 W · 436 L | +21.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed Penguins | 80c | 35$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 317 | 44.2%140 W · 177 L | +14.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d9…f950backed Penguins | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.