NFL · resolved market
Ravens vs. Chargers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9e0273e66a75f2093622cc94329c4c0f6f66c99b4b09668b0f22c50740582b7b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ravensof Ravens, Chargers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $851,292
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $946,764
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $851,292 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 605 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xae76…dce5backed Chargers | 47c | 97,882$45,906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45,906.42 | 273 | 39.2%107 W · 166 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94dc…c779backed Ravens | 54c | 83,680$45,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,466.26 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a7…e661backed Chargers | 42c | 70,800$29,548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,548 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bea…2becbacked Ravens | 58c | 62,137$36,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,842.13 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20cc…ebc0backed Ravens | 68c | 61,395$41,493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,901.84 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -7.9wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -45%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Chargers | 30c | 55,380$16,652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,651.89 | 206 | 34.5%71 W · 135 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47bc…c043backed Chargers | 36c | 27,823$10,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,003.45 | 67 | 34.3%23 W · 44 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked Chargers | 41c | 22,695$9,265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,264.75 | 324 | 38%123 W · 201 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Chargers | 41c | 20,000$8,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,199.93 | 251 | 37.5%94 W · 157 L | -18.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…c487backed Ravens | 60c | 16,294$9,811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,483.01 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -8.7wins | -0.19per pick | 54cpaid | -37%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Chargers | 40c | 10,000$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 103 | 34%35 W · 68 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96a4…4d01backed Ravens | 52c | 9,868$5,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,714.38 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -80.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Chargers | 59c | 9,038$5,364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,364.35 | 143 | 49%70 W · 73 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Chargers | 8c | 8,953$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675.32 | 333 | 28.5%95 W · 238 L | +16.7wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ec…3665backed Chargers | 59c | 8,474$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,999.64 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e1…69a4backed Ravens | 51c | 8,360$4,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,060.12 | 58 | 29.3%17 W · 41 L | -9.2wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x76fc…2270backed Ravens | 59c | 6,841$4,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,804.7 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.14per pick | 60cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x552b…4bd3backed Chargers | 32c | 6,318$2,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,027.5 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79a1…5801backed Ravens | 58c | 6,209$3,623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,586.41 | 107 | 68.2%73 W · 34 L | +9.6wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +12%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b9…cf5ebacked Chargers | 22c | 6,125$1,364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,364.46 | 59 | 25.4%15 W · 44 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe661…3cffbacked Chargers | 43c | 5,216$2,241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,240.9 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.19per pick | 35cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5ed7…537abacked Ravens | 72c | 5,215$3,732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,482.78 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc64d…a1c9backed Chargers | 2c | 5,122$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.8 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Chargers | 41c | 5,000$2,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,050 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15a6…bf5dbacked Ravens | 58c | 5,000$2,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,099.98 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +6.1wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xeeca…9826backed Ravens | 35c | 4,799$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,098.9 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe799…3d4dbacked Ravens | 58c | 4,500$2,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,890 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…311cbacked Chargers | 42c | 4,348$1,826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,826.07 | 51 | 23.5%12 W · 39 L | -8.1wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd065…93e8backed Ravens | 52c | 4,088$2,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,960.79 | 55 | 65.5%36 W · 19 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75e0…fe50backed Ravens | 71c | 3,913$2,795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,117.79 | 109 | 60.6%66 W · 43 L | +7.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84b0…4940backed Chargers | 42c | 3,563$1,497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,496.58 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.23per pick | 54cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x41ba…dfbbbacked Ravens | 58c | 3,448$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,448.28 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef5…7e05backed Ravens | 58c | 3,368$1,954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,414.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed Chargers | 51c | 3,330$1,705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,705.29 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd35d…7089backed Chargers | 66c | 3,030$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 144 | 52.8%76 W · 68 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Chargers | 42c | 3,010$1,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,269.03 | 107 | 38.3%41 W · 66 L | -5.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5faf…27bbbacked Chargers | 42c | 3,000$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c1…1b90backed Chargers | 11c | 2,845$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.73 | 43 | 16.3%7 W · 36 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d99…d5c2backed Chargers | 42c | 2,807$1,179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,178.93 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbf…bb6bbacked Ravens | 59c | 2,710$1,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,111.15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb349…0a63backed Ravens | 53c | 2,699$1,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,255.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +87%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a8b…b1c8backed Ravens | 42c | 2,634$1,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,529.14 | 144 | 45.8%66 W · 78 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51c2…2b13backed Ravens | 58c | 2,593$1,504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,089.23 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +4.1wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x128e…a35bbacked Chargers | 49c | 2,500$1,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,215 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Ravens | 57c | 2,487$1,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,070.03 | 285 | 56.5%161 W · 124 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c0…3f84backed Ravens | 60c | 2,377$1,426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$950.63 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4400…65bbbacked Ravens | 60c | 2,166$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$866.35 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Ravens | 45c | 2,150$967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,182.23 | 76 | 27.6%21 W · 55 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce54…90bcbacked Ravens | 59c | 2,097$1,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$859.94 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4851…16dbbacked Ravens | 70c | 2,059$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618.27 | 212 | 51.9%110 W · 102 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…4106backed Chargers | 41c | 2,000$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -28%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc7…8416backed Ravens | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$859.99 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 62cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Chargers | 42c | 1,994$831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$830.92 | 442 | 46.8%207 W · 235 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…6af8backed Ravens | 49c | 1,978$973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,005.76 | 125 | 70.4%88 W · 37 L | +12.8wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x54c2…e299backed Ravens | 59c | 1,969$1,153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$815.71 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac6…a6cebacked Chargers | 43c | 1,967$846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$846 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c8…44fbbacked Chargers | 40c | 1,873$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.32 | 148 | 37.2%55 W · 93 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5c5…3ae5backed Ravens | 80c | 1,837$1,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.25 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3275…e7fcbacked Chargers | 11c | 1,836$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed Ravens | 58c | 1,800$1,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756 | 147 | 57.1%84 W · 63 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf442…ccf8backed Ravens | 59c | 1,750$1,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$717.53 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x575d…0cedbacked Ravens | 57c | 1,744$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744.27 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 68cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7691…dfc0backed Ravens | 59c | 1,696$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695.83 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a67…dc7cbacked Ravens | 59c | 1,605$947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658.08 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde97…e43ebacked Chargers | 33c | 1,605$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.67 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd645…43f6backed Ravens | 72c | 1,603$1,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5d0…1185backed Chargers | 43c | 1,578$679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$678.67 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbb…4352backed Chargers | 41c | 1,553$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636.72 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa727…8289backed Ravens | 62c | 1,516$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.31 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3ff…d6f9backed Chargers | 43c | 1,508$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648.61 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72e8…687ebacked Chargers | 42c | 1,500$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc88…681abacked Chargers | 43c | 1,470$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.18per pick | 45cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a4f…79fbbacked Ravens | 59c | 1,469$867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.49 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c9…b44ebacked Chargers | 55c | 1,413$771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$771.39 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd057…ae9fbacked Chargers | 5c | 1,375$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.74 | 118 | 21.2%25 W · 93 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0c4…1b32backed Ravens | 59c | 1,334$787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.94 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa3…f82dbacked Ravens | 37c | 1,329$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$836.99 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8823…4c34backed Chargers | 41c | 1,224$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.91 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0b8…9272backed Ravens | 60c | 1,201$721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.37 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f1…b624backed Chargers | 42c | 1,190$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcabf…c2d7backed Ravens | 58c | 1,178$683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.59 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…cf42backed Chargers | 43c | 1,163$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x565b…fa9bbacked Ravens | 60c | 1,150$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.97 | 46 | 73.9%34 W · 12 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 66cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d31…2cbfbacked Ravens | 58c | 1,140$661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.63 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +3.6wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Chargers | 37c | 1,122$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.57 | 528 | 28.6%151 W · 377 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Chargers | 24c | 1,079$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.41 | 75 | 26.7%20 W · 55 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76c6…5a68backed Ravens | 60c | 1,042$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.44 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa0…6382backed Ravens | 59c | 1,036$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.84 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Ravens | 51c | 1,014$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.89 | 226 | 38.9%88 W · 138 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf930…e346backed Ravens | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 214 | 54.7%117 W · 97 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed Ravens | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0e…113dbacked Ravens | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 23 | 91.3%21 W · 2 L | +6.0wins | +0.26per pick | 65cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…edbdbacked Ravens | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 109 | 37.6%41 W · 68 L | +6.0wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +52%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Ravens | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 330 | 47.9%158 W · 172 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09df…5ca9backed Chargers | 40c | 999.97$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.99 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +4.2wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x07a3…d687backed Ravens | 59c | 999.97$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.99 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +4.2wins | +0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4f67…0df6backed Chargers | 22c | 966.66$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.77 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x705e…bbd7backed Chargers | 42c | 964.99$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +60.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ef…974cbacked Ravens | 54c | 926.43$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.43 | 45 | 77.8%35 W · 10 L | +5.1wins | +0.11per pick | 66cpaid | +19%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x827b…1eedbacked Chargers | 18c | 908.15$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161 | 123 | 33.3%41 W · 82 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.