NBA · resolved market
Rockets vs. Spurs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe3757d807778593b587fc8c10b81af6d7d9e5179f7e84f8088f352b5dfb0ded1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spursof Rockets, Spurs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,807
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,230
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,807 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Rockets | 7c | 6,180$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.34 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcef8…1f8dbacked Rockets | 4c | 3,921$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.82 | 57 | 14%8 W · 49 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Rockets | 5c | 2,120$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8da9…7120backed Spurs | 47c | 1,500$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27ca…c635backed Rockets | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6761…a94fbacked Spurs | 45c | 1,370$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$753.57 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Rockets | 41c | 1,304$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.78 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x738d…4df6backed Rockets | 18c | 1,166$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209 | 45 | 24.4%11 W · 34 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b1…ff78backed Rockets | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0952…786dbacked Spurs | 49c | 609.88$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.04 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8025…ef54backed Rockets | 55c | 609.09$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13a6…ee95backed Rockets | 8c | 575.69$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.98 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20c9…db91backed Rockets | 55c | 485.44$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.99 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcfcc…632fbacked Spurs | 48c | 485.42$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.42 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbd…af92backed Rockets | 52c | 455.44$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.83 | 84 | 36.9%31 W · 53 L | -10.5wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…a99ebacked Spurs | 45c | 366.92$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.81 | 122 | 47.5%58 W · 64 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x205f…0189backed Rockets | 38c | 340$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.2 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Spurs | 75c | 235$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.85 | 360 | 57.5%207 W · 153 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Spurs | 45c | 209.49$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.22 | 337 | 52.5%177 W · 160 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Spurs | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6807…391ebacked Rockets | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Rockets | 6c | 176$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 344 | 25.6%88 W · 256 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c9…bb9ebacked Spurs | 42c | 162.14$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc136…0c3bbacked Rockets | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60b9…f457backed Spurs | 47c | 149.97$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.49 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87c5…4fa3backed Spurs | 49c | 142.86$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.86 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -5.0wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfa…12a3backed Rockets | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 73 | 37%27 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1702…2eeabacked Spurs | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca5…0266backed Rockets | 60c | 94.78$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdb9…0e56backed Spurs | 51c | 80$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8801…e382backed Rockets | 54c | 70$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked Spurs | 45c | 66.81$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.74 | 162 | 42%68 W · 94 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b70…7447backed Rockets | 56c | 64.29$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.25per pick | 54cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe800…e861backed Spurs | 80c | 60$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0190…c434backed Rockets | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c79…15dbbacked Rockets | 37c | 43.24$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5726…09acbacked Rockets | 52c | 39.98$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb5…14b1backed Rockets | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb43…f400backed Rockets | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x354d…c5abbacked Spurs | 50c | 28.08$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.04 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 69cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcab1…b2b1backed Rockets | 55c | 25.68$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -4.1wins | -0.17per pick | 65cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0615…5c47backed Rockets | 45c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 138 | 23.2%32 W · 106 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Spurs | 43c | 24$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.68 | 853 | 47.9%409 W · 444 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x354b…e49cbacked Spurs | 72c | 20.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e8…2688backed Rockets | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 59 | 32.2%19 W · 40 L | -9.7wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.