NFL · resolved market
Dolphins vs. Packers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x68c4077d998a674d04edbcbb185ec5173188a54dfa99401decb2aaa3e0f130fa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Packersof Dolphins, Packers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $797,410
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $886,028
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $797,410 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 544 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Dolphins | 5c | 95,746$5,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,256.35 | 206 | 34.5%71 W · 135 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94dc…c779backed Packers | 64c | 71,768$45,824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,944.44 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47bc…c043backed Dolphins | 32c | 63,545$20,391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,391.43 | 67 | 34.3%23 W · 44 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa715…15e2backed Dolphins | 11c | 38,399$4,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,097 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked Dolphins | 36c | 25,543$9,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,188.64 | 324 | 38%123 W · 201 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e80…59e8backed Dolphins | 38c | 22,693$8,636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,635.76 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Dolphins | 28c | 19,377$5,393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,393.3 | 246 | 52%128 W · 118 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Dolphins | 36c | 18,043$6,496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,495.54 | 251 | 37.5%94 W · 157 L | -18.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x20cc…ebc0backed Packers | 80c | 16,232$12,931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,301.17 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -7.9wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -45%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x21ed…16f3backed Packers | 64c | 15,219$9,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,479.01 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b45…ea09backed Packers | 65c | 15,138$9,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,248.43 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae76…dce5backed Dolphins | 38c | 14,681$5,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,509.95 | 273 | 39.2%107 W · 166 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb35b…fc08backed Packers | 75c | 14,292$10,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,641.59 | 178 | 23%41 W · 137 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b9…cf5ebacked Dolphins | 37c | 12,687$4,694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,694.23 | 59 | 25.4%15 W · 44 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd065…93e8backed Packers | 63c | 11,428$7,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,199.44 | 55 | 65.5%36 W · 19 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe877…bb43backed Dolphins | 18c | 11,044$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 60 | 28.3%17 W · 43 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccb…0a10backed Packers | 79c | 10,453$8,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,198.52 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x719d…4e73backed Dolphins | 21c | 8,136$1,747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,747.21 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd52c…4125backed Dolphins | 36c | 7,000$2,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,520 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe214…fcbabacked Packers | 62c | 7,000$4,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,659.98 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +158.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4741…6cf0backed Packers | 64c | 6,969$4,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,508.84 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4624…0a84backed Dolphins | 37c | 6,000$2,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,219.97 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb311…47bebacked Dolphins | 38c | 5,511$2,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,094.04 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 40cpaid | -63%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0e…113dbacked Packers | 64c | 5,000$3,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800 | 23 | 91.3%21 W · 2 L | +6.0wins | +0.26per pick | 65cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…6af8backed Dolphins | 38c | 5,000$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,899.96 | 125 | 70.4%88 W · 37 L | +12.8wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbf…bb6bbacked Dolphins | 36c | 4,435$1,592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,592.24 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3dc…581fbacked Dolphins | 1c | 4,328$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc7…8416backed Packers | 64c | 4,230$2,698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,531.58 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 62cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c80…a608backed Dolphins | 21c | 3,892$830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$829.85 | 55 | 27.3%15 W · 40 L | -5.6wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Dolphins | 19c | 3,835$729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728.73 | 76 | 27.6%21 W · 55 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa78f…3173backed Packers | 62c | 3,781$2,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,436.78 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 64cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb173…ed42backed Dolphins | 15c | 3,712$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.14 | 31 | 12.9%4 W · 27 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1eed…0c9abacked Dolphins | 17c | 3,651$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.12 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7691…dfc0backed Dolphins | 28c | 3,575$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Dolphins | 14c | 3,533$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.1 | 75 | 26.7%20 W · 55 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44f7…266fbacked Dolphins | 3c | 3,501$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.47 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 3cpaid | +12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2487…f360backed Dolphins | 31c | 3,231$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.08 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ec…3665backed Packers | 63c | 3,175$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,174.6 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Dolphins | 11c | 3,140$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.28 | 122 | 49.2%60 W · 62 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c1…1b90backed Dolphins | 3c | 3,053$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.04 | 43 | 16.3%7 W · 36 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89cd…f03bbacked Packers | 65c | 2,989$1,939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,049.54 | 74 | 56.8%42 W · 32 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe256…12f8backed Packers | 63c | 2,761$1,748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,013.12 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 67cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a8b…b1c8backed Packers | 66c | 2,600$1,716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$884 | 144 | 45.8%66 W · 78 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd7…cd86backed Dolphins | 37c | 2,599$949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$948.83 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3d…50f3backed Dolphins | 38c | 2,593$985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$985.34 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 42cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x337b…0503backed Dolphins | 37c | 2,587$957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$957.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa0…6382backed Dolphins | 38c | 2,514$966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$966.31 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…feb3backed Packers | 63c | 2,502$1,576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$925.8 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Dolphins | 36c | 2,500$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.99 | 106 | 24.5%26 W · 80 L | -12.6wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3af0…77ebbacked Dolphins | 36c | 2,476$891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$891.36 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Dolphins | 38c | 2,379$904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$904.05 | 42 | 26.2%11 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccf2…41b7backed Packers | 73c | 2,200$1,616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.59 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…a821backed Dolphins | 4c | 2,100$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.78 | 128 | 42.2%54 W · 74 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Packers | 61c | 2,000$1,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.94 | 285 | 56.5%161 W · 124 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27f2…702cbacked Packers | 73c | 1,931$1,402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.02 | 93 | 59.1%55 W · 38 L | -6.8wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a67…dc7cbacked Packers | 63c | 1,905$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.76 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x565b…fa9bbacked Packers | 74c | 1,872$1,382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.87 | 46 | 73.9%34 W · 12 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 66cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Dolphins | 4c | 1,853$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.47 | 431 | 1.6%7 W · 424 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -82.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b02…f3d9backed Dolphins | 36c | 1,757$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628.51 | 211 | 51.2%108 W · 103 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd75d…6337backed Dolphins | 6c | 1,738$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Packers | 64c | 1,734$1,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.24 | 127 | 60.6%77 W · 50 L | +9.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Dolphins | 1c | 1,700$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 112 | 8%9 W · 103 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | +413.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc88…681abacked Packers | 64c | 1,660$1,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.96 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.18per pick | 45cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac6…a6cebacked Dolphins | 38c | 1,659$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb8…9ab0backed Packers | 63c | 1,587$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1db1…35a9backed Packers | 64c | 1,563$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.5 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a12…e9c0backed Packers | 64c | 1,563$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.5 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Dolphins | 4c | 1,527$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.16 | 333 | 28.5%95 W · 238 L | +16.7wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93b0…69c8backed Packers | 63c | 1,510$952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.87 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04eb…36a7backed Packers | 64c | 1,445$925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.31 | 193 | 61.7%119 W · 74 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f84…dd89backed Dolphins | 35c | 1,437$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 29cpaid | -80.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0b8…9272backed Dolphins | 38c | 1,380$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.21 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe327…ec05backed Packers | 64c | 1,261$807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.91 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5d…19bdbacked Packers | 63c | 1,245$784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.62 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed Dolphins | 36c | 1,226$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.41 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x576b…7336backed Dolphins | 5c | 1,210$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.5 | 65 | 18.5%12 W · 53 L | -7.3wins | -0.11per pick | 30cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa8cd…3cf2backed Dolphins | 36c | 1,200$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.96 | 44 | 20.5%9 W · 35 L | -6.2wins | -0.14per pick | 35cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf930…e346backed Packers | 64c | 1,172$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.88 | 214 | 54.7%117 W · 97 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdeff…edeabacked Dolphins | 38c | 1,127$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c15…fe9ebacked Packers | 64c | 1,016$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.63 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +55%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea3e…b956backed Packers | 73c | 1,012$734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.94 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked Dolphins | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 75 | 41.3%31 W · 44 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed Packers | 64c | 1,000$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.99 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Packers | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 330 | 47.9%158 W · 172 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…4583backed Packers | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc21d…4ed8backed Dolphins | 3c | 999.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb92d…f84bbacked Packers | 62c | 999.99$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06a2…0acbbacked Dolphins | 18c | 999.98$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179 | 284 | 33.1%94 W · 190 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb1…73eebacked Packers | 62c | 999.97$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07a3…d687backed Packers | 63c | 999.97$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.99 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +4.2wins | +0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Packers | 62c | 999.96$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.98 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x552b…4bd3backed Packers | 66c | 998.57$662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.41 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…11cdbacked Dolphins | 36c | 998.38$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa98c…acb2backed Dolphins | 17c | 989.77$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.26 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab15…dd2fbacked Dolphins | 2c | 899.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 7cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3615…beeebacked Packers | 63c | 882.35$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.47 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe81f…aa42backed Dolphins | 39c | 882.33$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.11 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3064…d5e1backed Dolphins | 18c | 873.9$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2800…2081backed Packers | 64c | 869.25$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.93 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa273…7786backed Dolphins | 28c | 865.75$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.41 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.