TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Suns vs. Lakers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Lakersof Suns, Lakers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$74,104
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$76,072

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,104 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 142 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2ff0…46e3backed Lakers54c9,520$5,156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,364.1547656.5%269 W · 207 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd398…c487backed Lakers54c9,261$4,985 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,275.651250%6 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6761…a94fbacked Suns46c8,721$4,008 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,007.679248.9%45 W · 47 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb492…b7edbacked Suns55c8,340$4,586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,586.131931.6%6 W · 13 L-3.5wins-0.18per pick50cpaid-50.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Lakers69c6,200$4,303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,896.8370147.8%335 W · 366 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Lakers37c4,215$1,542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,672.8361532.2%198 W · 417 L-21.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-32.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb033…bedbbacked Suns70c3,002$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,099.9910058%58 W · 42 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xab15…dd2fbacked Suns8c2,863$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.924712.8%6 W · 41 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick10cpaid-37.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99c2…ef35backed Lakers37c2,013$746 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,26714233.1%47 W · 95 L-7.8wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-19.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x79ee…ae97backed Lakers48c1,655$794 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$860.484837.5%18 W · 30 L-4.9wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-23.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2335…d7d5backed Suns47c1,553$730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$729.99757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+22.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Lakers36c1,474$528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$946.771,09035.8%390 W · 700 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Lakers34c1,288$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$848.6365642.5%279 W · 377 L-2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd10…0d30backed Lakers65c1,132$739 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.991540%6 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-37.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba48…6d5fbacked Lakers52c1,130$588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$542.511338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-33.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf2ff…1a3abacked Suns47c1,130$531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$531.11060%6 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+23.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x205f…0189backed Lakers30c1,041$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$728.495747.4%27 W · 30 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa8f7…039abacked Suns48c1,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48016242%68 W · 94 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Lakers54c1,000$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4601,29044%567 W · 723 L+35.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Lakers17c925.25$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$768.181,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10b1…ff78backed Lakers66c837.18$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.18633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-43.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb07f…8b4abacked Suns43c793.94$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.4510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd8c6…9211backed Lakers52c724.16$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.6514847.3%70 W · 78 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96ee…e7dabacked Lakers54c584.7$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.96475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.34per pick41cpaid+74.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x09eb…0dfbbacked Suns46c575.02$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.51250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-25.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb4e0…b310backed Lakers55c546.2$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.79977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.18per pick60cpaid+31.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf318…0cdcbacked Suns45c520.28$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.13425%1 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick20cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5eb7…05f6backed Lakers27c511.85$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$373.654623.9%11 W · 35 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-24%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x089b…2193backed Suns45c505.42$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.3927731.4%87 W · 190 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c47…970ebacked Suns60c498.58$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001361.5%8 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick71cpaid-11.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc229…b12fbacked Suns46c468.99$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.74540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid+68.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5be6…64f9backed Lakers67c447.32$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.625100%5 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+66.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc390…715cbacked Suns36c415.12$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1508347%39 W · 44 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8767…a37fbacked Suns49c409.55$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.861618.8%3 W · 13 L-4.3wins-0.27per pick45cpaid-56.9%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xd623…2727backed Suns46c393.29$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.91250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-29.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf52f…2233backed Suns48c388.33$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.4450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x892a…89d8backed Lakers58c382.76$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.761540%6 W · 9 L-2.6wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-30.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x34d6…8d72backed Suns49c382.02$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1871457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+20.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5380…28debacked Suns36c365.63$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.8514852.7%78 W · 70 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12d5…dc6dbacked Suns46c351.97$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.91250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe663…6462backed Suns7c348.65$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.566747.8%32 W · 35 L-3.7wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9ba2…18a5backed Lakers26c338.34$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.359130.8%28 W · 63 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick26cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2800…2081backed Lakers66c330.72$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.143951.3%20 W · 19 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-17.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x98a7…d3fdbacked Suns67c328.62$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.521136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.17per pick53cpaid-36.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe804…a681backed Suns46c317.68$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.13333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-48.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8cc1…13cebacked Suns46c309.06$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.17250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-29.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5eb2…6dbebacked Lakers53c299.98$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.491376.9%10 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.12per pick65cpaid+17.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd9c0…4583backed Lakers53c299.98$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.9913857.2%79 W · 59 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f65…4682backed Suns46c284.33$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.79250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-27.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x02cb…ae38backed Suns66c275$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.5610462.5%65 W · 39 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc6c9…bb9ebacked Suns46c274.99$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.256152.5%32 W · 29 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe3d2…6db8backed Suns46c272.45$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.33250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-29.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd7d…6022backed Suns46c245.91$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x786f…dee8backed Suns46c243.36$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c78…dbaebacked Suns46c239.44$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.1410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e8c…d21ebacked Suns46c239.41$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.1310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc86a…2e35backed Suns46c236.83$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.94250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-29.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x242f…286ebacked Suns46c235.44$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.31442.9%6 W · 8 L-2.8wins-0.20per pick63cpaid-32.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x60f4…af08backed Suns46c231.28$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.39250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-29.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac9e…7af8backed Suns46c228.38$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.05250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde90…e651backed Suns48c224.59$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.47250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-29.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c79…15dbbacked Lakers54c224.06$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.073661.1%22 W · 14 L+3.2wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+11.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6c4c…178dbacked Suns46c222.7$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.44250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x201b…ebbdbacked Suns46c221.92$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.08250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb9a…3e9cbacked Suns46c221.61$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.94250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x033c…5eacbacked Suns49c221.16$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.371844.4%8 W · 10 L+1.8wins+0.10per pick34cpaid+23.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed Suns46c219.99$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.22045%9 W · 11 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+26.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x78ee…b7aebacked Suns46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ca8…0a57backed Suns46c217.26$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.94250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24e6…b54dbacked Suns46c217.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.86250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf969…c271backed Suns46c210.4$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.78250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-29.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74f1…16a8backed Suns50c201.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.1511719.7%23 W · 94 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-35.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd0a…63abbacked Lakers10c200$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1804434.1%15 W · 29 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+34.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8233…32fabacked Lakers55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd82f…d94abacked Lakers54c192.59$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.591100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c05…0c07backed Suns50c192.36$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.18250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb456…f437backed Lakers55c188.35$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.76580%4 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.34per pick46cpaid+85.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2376…30f5backed Lakers54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.198359%49 W · 34 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick55cpaid-6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c4b…f1e6backed Lakers57c182.79$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.65856.9%33 W · 25 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd04a…824ebacked Suns56c179.73$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.656829.4%20 W · 48 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2fb4…2794backed Lakers31c168.17$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.2816443.3%71 W · 93 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5730…a3f3backed Suns48c166.67$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick39cpaid-71.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd968…bd18backed Suns54c165.25$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.898334.9%29 W · 54 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x89a5…4908backed Lakers52c154.17$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.17366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+32.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x208d…362dbacked Suns61c150.22$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.51546.7%7 W · 8 L-2.6wins-0.18per pick64cpaid-27%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xaeab…7afebacked Lakers36c150$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.61040%4 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick34cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6807…391ebacked Lakers56c150$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$661560%9 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b3a…16fbbacked Suns45c150$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.517846.1%82 W · 96 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x269d…e0c2backed Suns56c143.98$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.631127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.20per pick47cpaid-52.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x13a6…ee95backed Suns13c126.59$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.574729.8%14 W · 33 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc63d…a322backed Lakers53c120$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.4333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick58cpaid-37.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb037…a49ebacked Suns53c112.96$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6020%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf65e…3850backed Suns47c106.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5024336.2%88 W · 155 L-0.7wins0.00per pick36cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ef7…ff8abacked Suns48c104.27$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501560%9 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x957e…da1ebacked Suns48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501560%9 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c5c…2d34backed Suns48c103.37$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick45cpaid-46.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4e1b…7ccabacked Lakers54c101.07$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.0715149%74 W · 77 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7439…40d2backed Lakers56c100.64$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.2824844%109 W · 139 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32ee…6c29backed Suns50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.8wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-26.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe4e2…0187backed Lakers51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4929355.3%162 W · 131 L+1.5wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.