NFL · resolved market
Jaguars vs. Bears
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfa23230e360f8272411b201f88e0cc8dd2eeda197bba8ce3b13a7a3335864b79
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bearsof Jaguars, Bears
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $221,138
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $226,246
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $221,138 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 321 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6761…a94fbacked Jaguars | 45c | 54,983$24,486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,485.75 | 120 | 51.7%62 W · 58 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Bears | 49c | 21,549$10,541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,007.68 | 251 | 37.5%94 W · 157 L | -18.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Jaguars | 49c | 11,166$5,521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,521.38 | 362 | 46.7%169 W · 193 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Bears | 59c | 10,304$6,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,269.96 | 226 | 38.9%88 W · 138 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Bears | 51c | 6,000$3,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,940 | 103 | 34%35 W · 68 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed Jaguars | 51c | 5,558$2,855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,855.33 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | -7.6wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfe91…70ffbacked Bears | 50c | 5,296$2,636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,659.64 | 137 | 51.8%71 W · 66 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6356…1885backed Bears | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500.03 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00e2…6b9ebacked Jaguars | 50c | 4,799$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,399.58 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b41…e0d3backed Bears | 51c | 4,080$2,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,018.4 | 198 | 64.6%128 W · 70 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f91…907fbacked Bears | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 128 | 43.8%56 W · 72 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f47…af93backed Jaguars | 49c | 3,940$1,930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,930.37 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Jaguars | 50c | 3,200$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 343 | 49.3%169 W · 174 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Jaguars | 51c | 2,990$1,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,525.05 | 144 | 57.6%83 W · 61 L | +11.7wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd909…fd75backed Bears | 53c | 2,793$1,486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,307.68 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3f…e089backed Jaguars | 51c | 2,679$1,379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,378.74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e1…921ebacked Bears | 72c | 2,620$1,887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.76 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb866…36d4backed Jaguars | 51c | 2,500$1,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,275 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -24%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…b428backed Bears | 45c | 2,425$1,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,345.93 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef79…96dcbacked Bears | 52c | 2,028$1,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$973.33 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +25%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ca8…0a57backed Bears | 52c | 1,819$946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$873.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +17%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8823…4c34backed Jaguars | 52c | 1,800$936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$936 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1856…1964backed Bears | 47c | 1,785$839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$945.88 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +36%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbd…af92backed Bears | 80c | 1,650$1,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.93 | 186 | 45.7%85 W · 101 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Bears | 48c | 1,558$743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$814.64 | 442 | 46.8%207 W · 235 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe41a…a42dbacked Jaguars | 47c | 1,500$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704.94 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f06…a1e8backed Jaguars | 48c | 1,465$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Jaguars | 20c | 1,367$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.44 | 217 | 13.8%30 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfae5…2306backed Bears | 52c | 1,188$618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…0850backed Jaguars | 49c | 1,188$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.17 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x292a…8c35backed Bears | 54c | 1,096$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.95 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf52f…2233backed Bears | 52c | 1,089$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.77 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +71.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Bears | 49c | 1,049$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.99 | 239 | 37.7%90 W · 149 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed Bears | 55c | 1,000$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.47 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x479c…bcbcbacked Bears | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.22per pick | 55cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ef…974cbacked Bears | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 45 | 77.8%35 W · 10 L | +5.1wins | +0.11per pick | 66cpaid | +19%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Bears | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 330 | 47.9%158 W · 172 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12ce…a6abbacked Jaguars | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.23per pick | 44cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf936…f310backed Jaguars | 7c | 1,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x128a…f49ebacked Bears | 54c | 1,000$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0deb…2549backed Bears | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d99…04f3backed Bears | 50c | 1,000$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked Bears | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 113 | 46.9%53 W · 60 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ca…9f7abacked Jaguars | 54c | 984.24$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -13%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd35d…7089backed Bears | 51c | 982.71$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.6 | 144 | 52.8%76 W · 68 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd58c…3b04backed Bears | 49c | 930.61$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.61 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e9…2758backed Bears | 51c | 920.71$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.15 | 60 | 71.7%43 W · 17 L | +11.4wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6a…8863backed Jaguars | 53c | 897.17$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Jaguars | 43c | 820.53$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.47 | 130 | 40%52 W · 78 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked Jaguars | 21c | 818.82$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.55 | 324 | 38%123 W · 201 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce5b…655fbacked Bears | 54c | 766.67$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.67 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +82.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1b…7b38backed Bears | 48c | 764.33$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.45 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc229…b12fbacked Bears | 52c | 740.61$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.49 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 62cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4135…ece5backed Jaguars | 16c | 729.99$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.6 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbb…2ebdbacked Jaguars | 50c | 692$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x828d…e57fbacked Bears | 52c | 684.44$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.44 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb456…f437backed Jaguars | 49c | 680.94$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x438a…62e5backed Jaguars | 49c | 624.95$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.23 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb49…97a0backed Jaguars | 48c | 547.92$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04a…824ebacked Jaguars | 53c | 530$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.9 | 41 | 24.4%10 W · 31 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cd…238dbacked Bears | 51c | 518.92$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.27 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.6wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…fd55backed Bears | 36c | 500$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 168 | 32.1%54 W · 114 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f6…8afbbacked Bears | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7d…4feabacked Jaguars | 53c | 468.09$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.09 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ab…d141backed Bears | 49c | 438.78$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d6…6f49backed Jaguars | 53c | 437.74$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40d5…acd1backed Bears | 48c | 425.85$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.01 | 233 | 51.9%121 W · 112 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4083…965cbacked Jaguars | 52c | 425.35$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…4ed0backed Jaguars | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb8…43f6backed Bears | 53c | 400$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +25%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x541e…e793backed Jaguars | 46c | 400$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb65d…3757backed Bears | 56c | 400$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33b1…6b93backed Jaguars | 48c | 397.92$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb07f…8b4abacked Bears | 52c | 378.59$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.72 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x487f…30babacked Jaguars | 52c | 340$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.8 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf64…7e54backed Bears | 48c | 340$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.8 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Bears | 49c | 327.62$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.09 | 139 | 42.4%59 W · 80 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ee…22abbacked Bears | 52c | 325.12$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.06 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d71…351cbacked Jaguars | 46c | 323.91$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xceea…8c07backed Jaguars | 43c | 318.44$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.61 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf866…75dcbacked Bears | 51c | 313.73$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.73 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf930…e346backed Bears | 48c | 312.5$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.5 | 214 | 54.7%117 W · 97 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc498…24e3backed Jaguars | 49c | 306.12$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddfd…6bbabacked Bears | 54c | 304.5$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d45…6b60backed Jaguars | 48c | 304.17$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e91…b801backed Jaguars | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x089b…2193backed Bears | 50c | 293.78$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.89 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93d0…0c2ebacked Bears | 55c | 289.99$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.46 | 132 | 55.3%73 W · 59 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf318…0cdcbacked Bears | 52c | 289.78$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.09 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39fd…b730backed Bears | 52c | 285.29$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb508…cb11backed Bears | 52c | 284.19$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.41 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Jaguars | 25c | 267.41$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.1 | 528 | 28.6%151 W · 377 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x614b…797fbacked Jaguars | 35c | 259.62$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5e2…25f7backed Jaguars | 57c | 250$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.5 | 133 | 48.1%64 W · 69 L | +8.3wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb86d…31c5backed Jaguars | 48c | 250$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9693…07c3backed Bears | 56c | 244.64$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.64 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c83…865bbacked Bears | 52c | 244.61$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79a1…5801backed Bears | 41c | 243.55$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.55 | 107 | 68.2%73 W · 34 L | +9.6wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +12%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3cd…5da7backed Bears | 52c | 235.2$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe51d…429cbacked Bears | 52c | 232.69$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.69 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.