NFL · resolved market
Colts vs. Vikings
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x869e83a48153e35b1e1a7c2219a578b336fd63ca69570b0c51507697a2841a59
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vikingsof Colts, Vikings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $504,799
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $509,718
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $504,799 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 294 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6761…a94fbacked Vikings | 67c | 169,938$113,874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56,063.44 | 120 | 51.7%62 W · 58 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e80…59e8backed Colts | 32c | 132,340$42,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,288.27 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked Colts | 22c | 82,082$18,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,161.24 | 324 | 38%123 W · 201 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47bc…c043backed Colts | 25c | 32,350$8,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,055.11 | 67 | 34.3%23 W · 44 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…5781backed Colts | 29c | 25,825$7,608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,607.72 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Vikings | 71c | 19,154$13,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,583.93 | 362 | 46.7%169 W · 193 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Colts | 29c | 14,734$4,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,272.82 | 251 | 37.5%94 W · 157 L | -18.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2093…6d4dbacked Vikings | 70c | 11,750$8,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,514.93 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 69cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf22c…9050backed Vikings | 68c | 9,350$6,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,021.96 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Vikings | 71c | 8,620$6,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,499.8 | 139 | 42.4%59 W · 80 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7562…38e1backed Colts | 29c | 7,770$2,255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,254.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Colts | 31c | 7,615$2,327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,327.11 | 442 | 46.8%207 W · 235 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b9…cf5ebacked Vikings | 57c | 7,429$4,243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,186.03 | 59 | 25.4%15 W · 44 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94dc…c779backed Vikings | 71c | 7,000$4,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,030 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Colts | 29c | 5,893$1,727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,726.69 | 226 | 38.9%88 W · 138 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5faf…27bbbacked Vikings | 71c | 5,853$4,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,697.38 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb4…2794backed Colts | 29c | 5,357$1,552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,551.95 | 141 | 39%55 W · 86 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed Colts | 19c | 5,314$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x881b…28acbacked Vikings | 71c | 5,308$3,769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,539.26 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf296…5638backed Vikings | 71c | 5,000$3,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,450 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +3.4wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ec…3665backed Colts | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b95…136fbacked Vikings | 69c | 3,708$2,557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150.99 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3168…6734backed Colts | 32c | 3,211$1,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020.55 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd057…ae9fbacked Colts | 18c | 3,210$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.49 | 118 | 21.2%25 W · 93 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Vikings | 73c | 3,160$2,319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$841.39 | 285 | 56.5%161 W · 124 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b41…e0d3backed Vikings | 72c | 3,011$2,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832.98 | 198 | 64.6%128 W · 70 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Colts | 12c | 2,700$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.19 | 333 | 28.5%95 W · 238 L | +16.7wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04eb…36a7backed Vikings | 72c | 2,700$1,944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756 | 193 | 61.7%119 W · 74 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b4…e0febacked Colts | 21c | 2,438$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd244…f24cbacked Colts | 21c | 2,381$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -8.3wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3cfa…a0dabacked Vikings | 49c | 2,033$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,033.54 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +5.4wins | +0.36per pick | 44cpaid | +111.7%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x18cb…7364backed Colts | 30c | 2,011$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30e4…5102backed Colts | 29c | 1,888$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.55 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72e8…687ebacked Vikings | 68c | 1,800$1,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Colts | 32c | 1,716$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.18 | 106 | 39.6%42 W · 64 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0113…6f26backed Vikings | 71c | 1,514$1,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.03 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a8b…b1c8backed Colts | 24c | 1,507$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.5 | 144 | 45.8%66 W · 78 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0054…7f85backed Colts | 49c | 1,500$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Vikings | 71c | 1,499$1,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.55 | 144 | 57.6%83 W · 61 L | +11.7wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d9…ad02backed Vikings | 72c | 1,463$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.22 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ef…974cbacked Vikings | 71c | 1,408$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.45 | 45 | 77.8%35 W · 10 L | +5.1wins | +0.11per pick | 66cpaid | +19%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b3b5backed Colts | 25c | 1,400$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbd…af92backed Colts | 44c | 1,390$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.56 | 186 | 45.7%85 W · 101 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac34…b0fcbacked Vikings | 73c | 1,361$993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.37 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -4.2wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed Colts | 36c | 1,352$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.16 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Colts | 29c | 1,346$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.34 | 103 | 34%35 W · 68 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…28e5backed Colts | 30c | 1,110$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffc0…8c5ebacked Colts | 33c | 1,105$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.91 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13a6…ee95backed Colts | 17c | 1,073$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.12 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe799…3d4dbacked Colts | 30c | 1,050$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Vikings | 51c | 1,045$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.74 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe566…e01dbacked Colts | 30c | 1,003$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffb1…88d3backed Vikings | 68c | 1,003$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Colts | 31c | 1,000$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 343 | 49.3%169 W · 174 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…4583backed Colts | 28c | 1,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x565b…fa9bbacked Vikings | 79c | 1,000$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 46 | 73.9%34 W · 12 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 66cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…6af8backed Vikings | 70c | 1,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 125 | 70.4%88 W · 37 L | +12.8wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x576b…7336backed Colts | 21c | 1,000$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.4 | 65 | 18.5%12 W · 53 L | -7.3wins | -0.11per pick | 30cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4258…b969backed Colts | 14c | 1,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 49cpaid | +89.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Colts | 30c | 999.95$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.98 | 330 | 47.9%158 W · 172 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e9…2758backed Vikings | 73c | 886.2$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.27 | 60 | 71.7%43 W · 17 L | +11.4wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf59e…39cfbacked Vikings | 48c | 794.68$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.23 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe897…513ebacked Vikings | 75c | 792.89$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.22 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf58…4984backed Colts | 29c | 757.6$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…bb39backed Vikings | 65c | 749.99$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.49 | 202 | 46%93 W · 109 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e60…1da8backed Colts | 7c | 696.14$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Vikings | 41c | 692.11$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.09 | 130 | 40%52 W · 78 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89f2…0659backed Colts | 29c | 689.66$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2b…ed08backed Colts | 31c | 643.74$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.56 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6596…91e2backed Colts | 32c | 627.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3558…91e7backed Colts | 32c | 625$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0616…0f99backed Colts | 24c | 600$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 30cpaid | -74%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…a99ebacked Colts | 29c | 599.96$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.63 | 392 | 42.6%167 W · 225 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2376…30f5backed Colts | 33c | 597.93$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 104 | 52.9%55 W · 49 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6678…d4b6backed Vikings | 55c | 584.79$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.79 | 181 | 44.8%81 W · 100 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x892a…89d8backed Vikings | 71c | 563.38$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.38 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34d6…8d72backed Vikings | 73c | 547.95$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.95 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.35per pick | 63cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x21ed…16f3backed Colts | 53c | 518.41$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.76 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44a2…8276backed Vikings | 52c | 508.08$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe25b…0f1bbacked Colts | 31c | 502.65$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.67 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b6d…ec40backed Colts | 17c | 500$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93d0…0c2ebacked Colts | 31c | 500$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 132 | 55.3%73 W · 59 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…a821backed Vikings | 70c | 499.99$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 128 | 42.2%54 W · 74 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x049a…b22abacked Colts | 9c | 499.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42dd…48b7backed Colts | 7c | 496.02$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.48 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 20cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…715cbacked Vikings | 52c | 482.1$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.1 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x78da…9d47backed Vikings | 57c | 441.27$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.93 | 21 | 81%17 W · 4 L | +4.6wins | +0.22per pick | 59cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5199…382bbacked Vikings | 71c | 408.83$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 104 | 63.5%66 W · 38 L | +10.6wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8140…b92fbacked Vikings | 67c | 404.92$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.92 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33cc…a0b6backed Vikings | 60c | 400$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Vikings | 70c | 399.99$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119 | 384 | 59.9%230 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98b4…5d76backed Vikings | 68c | 399.99$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.75 | 254 | 53.9%137 W · 117 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a4…75c1backed Vikings | 72c | 396.82$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.11 | 186 | 58.1%108 W · 78 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f85…d745backed Vikings | 72c | 382.49$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.1 | 132 | 60.6%80 W · 52 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc0…e009backed Vikings | 71c | 350.79$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.22 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf930…e346backed Colts | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 214 | 54.7%117 W · 97 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xceea…8c07backed Vikings | 69c | 343.06$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.35 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1999…fedbbacked Colts | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Colts | 41c | 331.19$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.53 | 76 | 27.6%21 W · 55 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb299…4a62backed Vikings | 67c | 325.34$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.09 | 375 | 56.3%211 W · 164 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.