College Football · resolved market
Northern Illinois vs. Fresno State
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x59b45c55d718be46d23cfb0dc06d72f825fd8eb4fcfda3e55d65c088300e784f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Northern Illinoisof Northern Illinois, Fresno State
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $156,103
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $181,379
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $156,103 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 246 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7418…59e2backed Fresno State | 44c | 12,250$5,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,374.57 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb3…f525backed Fresno State | 6c | 8,880$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.45 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 60cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a87…4e00backed Northern Illinois | 57c | 7,090$4,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,053.38 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Fresno State | 40c | 4,797$1,933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,933.14 | 203 | 41.9%85 W · 118 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1638…339bbacked Fresno State | 40c | 4,546$1,819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,818.55 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +99%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Northern Illinois | 26c | 4,273$1,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,140.84 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f3…d82cbacked Northern Illinois | 58c | 3,681$2,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,563.7 | 48 | 68.8%33 W · 15 L | +5.1wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6b…1262backed Northern Illinois | 58c | 3,446$2,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,437.15 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe59d…fe58backed Northern Illinois | 55c | 3,300$1,815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,485 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 70cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x964b…167abacked Fresno State | 67c | 2,684$1,806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,805.93 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Northern Illinois | 33c | 2,075$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,385.94 | 309 | 49.5%153 W · 156 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35aa…94bcbacked Northern Illinois | 59c | 2,038$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$837.37 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Northern Illinois | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.99 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7432…794bbacked Northern Illinois | 65c | 1,936$1,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$683.97 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8769…48ecbacked Northern Illinois | 59c | 1,850$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe77f…4374backed Northern Illinois | 46c | 1,600$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$871.89 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcede…d9ebbacked Northern Illinois | 46c | 1,600$736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$864 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ab…5eb9backed Northern Illinois | 65c | 1,534$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.27 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Northern Illinois | 60c | 1,500$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.99 | 98 | 43.9%43 W · 55 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1d…c4c8backed Northern Illinois | 21c | 1,473$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,162.66 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 18cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Fresno State | 40c | 1,312$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.7 | 190 | 51.6%98 W · 92 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc558…e8ccbacked Fresno State | 64c | 1,240$793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$793.2 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5b…50c9backed Fresno State | 41c | 1,116$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.73 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked Fresno State | 42c | 1,031$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.97 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -3.7wins | -0.17per pick | 30cpaid | -77.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1802…a3afbacked Fresno State | 51c | 1,001$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.26 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb511…01dabacked Fresno State | 69c | 1,000$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.22per pick | 67cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Fresno State | 43c | 999.94$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.97 | 398 | 47.7%190 W · 208 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Fresno State | 44c | 986.24$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.39 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a67…dc7cbacked Northern Illinois | 59c | 955.44$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.86 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe4f…5241backed Fresno State | 32c | 945.79$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.04 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.22per pick | 43cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x89cd…f03bbacked Northern Illinois | 58c | 900.76$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.76 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…d748backed Northern Illinois | 54c | 840.77$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.02 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +129.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Fresno State | 6c | 837$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.91 | 237 | 0.8%2 W · 235 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -98.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bb…9702backed Northern Illinois | 59c | 760.08$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.08 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc54a…4b6fbacked Northern Illinois | 54c | 658.88$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.7 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cd…0516backed Fresno State | 43c | 549.8$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.77 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | -5.0wins | -0.23per pick | 32cpaid | -73.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x163e…d18cbacked Northern Illinois | 40c | 501.53$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.12 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 53cpaid | +62.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c8…44fbbacked Fresno State | 41c | 500$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Northern Illinois | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe897…513ebacked Northern Illinois | 58c | 489.94$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.77 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…79a4backed Fresno State | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1501…6623backed Northern Illinois | 61c | 449.89$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.46 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4e…6d89backed Fresno State | 39c | 449.89$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 38cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd926…4755backed Northern Illinois | 61c | 415.56$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8200…f63dbacked Fresno State | 39c | 415.56$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Fresno State | 60c | 415.19$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.99 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -8.0wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x25de…794bbacked Northern Illinois | 61c | 414.88$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.8 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0be6…0d75backed Fresno State | 41c | 402.78$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a38…cb24backed Northern Illinois | 62c | 402.68$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.18 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec0…a0eabacked Northern Illinois | 62c | 399.06$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.01 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69f5…9328backed Fresno State | 40c | 392.14$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb83f…0917backed Northern Illinois | 60c | 392.14$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.86 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d69…9829backed Fresno State | 42c | 390.19$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.88 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec6f…928fbacked Northern Illinois | 25c | 367.96$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.73 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 29cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Northern Illinois | 57c | 352.07$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed Fresno State | 57c | 352.01$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e26…b14abacked Northern Illinois | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200e…e239backed Northern Illinois | 58c | 350$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5007…f0c3backed Northern Illinois | 64c | 345.63$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.69 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeecf…4270backed Northern Illinois | 59c | 344.53$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +68.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d45…b661backed Northern Illinois | 56c | 342.1$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.21 | 55 | 20%11 W · 44 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b2…66d8backed Northern Illinois | 38c | 300$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.7wins | +0.30per pick | 59cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9b14…d18cbacked Fresno State | 48c | 300$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Fresno State | 38c | 291.12$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.63 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6afa…8f06backed Northern Illinois | 55c | 281$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.56 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 48cpaid | +34%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Northern Illinois | 22c | 257.69$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.25 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc57d…d9a4backed Northern Illinois | 61c | 251.18$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x868b…03c5backed Fresno State | 39c | 251.18$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 38cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…bb39backed Northern Illinois | 56c | 250$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.17 | 118 | 39%46 W · 72 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Fresno State | 42c | 250$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.38 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56b8…2ee0backed Fresno State | 39c | 237.15$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.49 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0715…b17bbacked Northern Illinois | 61c | 237.15$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.49 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…cae9backed Fresno State | 79c | 233.95$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…a30cbacked Northern Illinois | 35c | 219.05$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.59 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +3.3wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc95c…cef3backed Northern Illinois | 58c | 214.99$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.03 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -5.1wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9b70…7447backed Northern Illinois | 57c | 213.89$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7116…fe13backed Fresno State | 40c | 212.5$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Fresno State | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.51 | 188 | 58%109 W · 79 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37cd…5b44backed Northern Illinois | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Fresno State | 47c | 195$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.65 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7794…03e6backed Fresno State | 28c | 185.94$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd14f…d46dbacked Fresno State | 72c | 179.94$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dbe…1ff9backed Fresno State | 59c | 170.34$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2088…9c55backed Fresno State | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Fresno State | 50c | 140$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5de…8ed4backed Northern Illinois | 30c | 133.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.33 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe06c…62aebacked Fresno State | 25c | 132.04$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Northern Illinois | 39c | 125$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.25 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +3.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +81.3%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…1790backed Fresno State | 77c | 122.99$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.5 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Northern Illinois | 48c | 111$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.72 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c12…7765backed Fresno State | 78c | 102.56$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf25d…f21cbacked Fresno State | 75c | 100$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 74cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904b…429cbacked Fresno State | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75b4…5aabbacked Northern Illinois | 39c | 97$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.48 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5679…d458backed Northern Illinois | 61c | 93.82$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.45 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d99…cf63backed Northern Illinois | 45c | 90.97$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.03 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf845…810ebacked Fresno State | 75c | 90.08$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…e019backed Fresno State | 42c | 85.25$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.73 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed2…9eb7backed Northern Illinois | 60c | 84.83$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.03 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb337…5589backed Northern Illinois | 54c | 81.35$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.35 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -4.5wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.