NHL · resolved market
KHL: Severstal Cherepovets vs. Torpedo
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe8ea45387d3362709b07125f21ba0f4dc800228ba39694698797aec7b6171ada
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Torpedoof Severstal Cherepovets, Torpedo
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,735
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,735 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2448…86d3backed Torpedo | 38c | 659$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.58 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33ec…09e2backed Severstal Cherepovets | 62c | 592$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.04 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.44per pick | 64cpaid | -73%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x54f6…ab70backed Torpedo | 38c | 519$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.78 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1145…e384backed Severstal Cherepovets | 62c | 448$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.76 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x824d…4a68backed Torpedo | 39c | 407$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.27 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.39per pick | 56cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x197d…8314backed Severstal Cherepovets | 61c | 275$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.75 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…a528backed Torpedo | 39c | 260$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3438…dd93backed Torpedo | 39c | 256$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2270…2d8cbacked Torpedo | 39c | 254$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.94 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0284…cfebbacked Torpedo | 38c | 245$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.9 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9412…ecdbbacked Torpedo | 39c | 240$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14f0…b9c6backed Torpedo | 39c | 236$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.96 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e16…900dbacked Severstal Cherepovets | 61c | 230$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.3 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0633…0d5fbacked Torpedo | 39c | 212$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.32 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.6wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +118.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a9…f5dfbacked Severstal Cherepovets | 61c | 205$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.05 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x466e…5482backed Torpedo | 39c | 203$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.83 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x339c…99a9backed Severstal Cherepovets | 61c | 190$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.9 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -51%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf40…695dbacked Torpedo | 39c | 181$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.41 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe489…8fd8backed Severstal Cherepovets | 61c | 173$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.53 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a04…9200backed Severstal Cherepovets | 62c | 166$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Torpedo | 46c | 160$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.8 | 155 | 60%93 W · 62 L | +13.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x999b…9a18backed Severstal Cherepovets | 61c | 154$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.94 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8143…760dbacked Severstal Cherepovets | 61c | 152$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.72 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dad…4e35backed Severstal Cherepovets | 62c | 150$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Severstal Cherepovets | 58c | 147.62$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.62 | 418 | 42.8%179 W · 239 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa995…75f5backed Severstal Cherepovets | 61c | 139$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.79 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Torpedo | 41c | 137.18$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.94 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc025…a11abacked Severstal Cherepovets | 61c | 136$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.96 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dae…556dbacked Severstal Cherepovets | 61c | 135$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad13…e913backed Severstal Cherepovets | 61c | 132$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.52 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0203…8ed6backed Severstal Cherepovets | 62c | 126$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab06…3617backed Torpedo | 38c | 118$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.16 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8018…125dbacked Severstal Cherepovets | 61c | 118$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab30…379fbacked Severstal Cherepovets | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe52e…ac6dbacked Torpedo | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Severstal Cherepovets | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 454 | 47.8%217 W · 237 L | -17.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20a8…d960backed Torpedo | 49c | 98.15$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.58 | 366 | 62%227 W · 139 L | +39.1wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Severstal Cherepovets | 19c | 89$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.27 | 314 | 48.7%153 W · 161 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff05…f971backed Severstal Cherepovets | 59c | 86.22$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee5…8306backed Severstal Cherepovets | 61c | 74$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea6a…3ee2backed Torpedo | 77c | 67.06$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.65 | 524 | 51%267 W · 257 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x365e…437bbacked Severstal Cherepovets | 62c | 59$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.58 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Severstal Cherepovets | 63c | 58.41$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.6 | 425 | 58.6%249 W · 176 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d43…c212backed Severstal Cherepovets | 61c | 55$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f8c…1e4dbacked Severstal Cherepovets | 61c | 42$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1403…6c62backed Severstal Cherepovets | 61c | 39$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Severstal Cherepovets | 61c | 35$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.35 | 920 | 49.7%457 W · 463 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc916…5403backed Severstal Cherepovets | 58c | 22.38$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.98 | 139 | 54%75 W · 64 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.