Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Yangon Galacticos vs Cloud Dawning (BO3) - EPL World Series Southeast Asia Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2ae84feeef5fb9803302745dc8d8a9cf6cc730e3c6beb0705b754a32898e2690
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yangon Galacticosof Yangon Galacticos, Cloud Dawning
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,835
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,835 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9a42…4930backed Cloud Dawning | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 37cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6996…cf9abacked Cloud Dawning | 3c | 1,407$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.55 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4361…9408backed Cloud Dawning | 14c | 499.95$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.83 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 45cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x73dd…d555backed Cloud Dawning | 31c | 462$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.22 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0633…0d5fbacked Cloud Dawning | 24c | 446$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.04 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xada8…f97cbacked Cloud Dawning | 18c | 421$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.78 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…387ebacked Cloud Dawning | 9c | 418.1$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.45 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f7…9acebacked Cloud Dawning | 32c | 413$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…90d3backed Yangon Galacticos | 69c | 406$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.86 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.22per pick | 55cpaid | +28%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6c7f…012bbacked Cloud Dawning | 11c | 398$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Cloud Dawning | 9c | 390.29$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.48 | 98 | 37.8%37 W · 61 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c55…14bbbacked Cloud Dawning | 13c | 373$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.49 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3429…a098backed Cloud Dawning | 25c | 346$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc025…a11abacked Yangon Galacticos | 76c | 341$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.84 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +90.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2270…2d8cbacked Cloud Dawning | 6c | 332$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Cloud Dawning | 6c | 323.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.37 | 616 | 9.7%60 W · 556 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9072…efb8backed Yangon Galacticos | 68c | 309$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.88 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +171.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x860e…a06dbacked Cloud Dawning | 17c | 299.99$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.31 | 164 | 40.2%66 W · 98 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54f6…ab70backed Cloud Dawning | 13c | 299$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.87 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc78…ce73backed Cloud Dawning | 9c | 297$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.73 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.16per pick | 60cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2112…38e9backed Yangon Galacticos | 75c | 253$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae0…5c53backed Cloud Dawning | 36c | 236$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb80…4b74backed Yangon Galacticos | 34c | 219$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.54 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8018…125dbacked Cloud Dawning | 16c | 207$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdcc…e679backed Cloud Dawning | 6c | 206$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.36 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb86…ed65backed Cloud Dawning | 18c | 205$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.9 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Cloud Dawning | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 653 | 37.2%243 W · 410 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc38…d22bbacked Yangon Galacticos | 79c | 199.98$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 59cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ce…594bbacked Cloud Dawning | 42c | 197$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab06…3617backed Cloud Dawning | 11c | 188$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.6 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -41%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…a528backed Cloud Dawning | 20c | 170$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bcf…04fcbacked Yangon Galacticos | 80c | 169.36$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.26 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedf4…e54bbacked Cloud Dawning | 18c | 152$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.36 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c34…4d80backed Cloud Dawning | 66c | 143$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2073…3af0backed Yangon Galacticos | 58c | 141$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.22 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9412…ecdbbacked Cloud Dawning | 12c | 127$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2fd…8664backed Yangon Galacticos | 64c | 119$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.84 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaaaa…6849backed Cloud Dawning | 24c | 118$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b49…8789backed Yangon Galacticos | 64c | 116$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc4c…e05fbacked Yangon Galacticos | 80c | 113$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x466e…5482backed Yangon Galacticos | 76c | 105$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f32…b46cbacked Yangon Galacticos | 68c | 104$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1403…6c62backed Yangon Galacticos | 76c | 102$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.48 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0a…7858backed Cloud Dawning | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24ac…f6b4backed Cloud Dawning | 20c | 97.73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 82 | 29.3%24 W · 58 L | -7.9wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xce2f…5cb9backed Yangon Galacticos | 71c | 97.2$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x886e…98e0backed Yangon Galacticos | 75c | 92$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x155b…d7babacked Cloud Dawning | 23c | 90.84$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.54 | 149 | 62.4%93 W · 56 L | +21.8wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Cloud Dawning | 21c | 78.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.79 | 410 | 37.3%153 W · 257 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…97d6backed Cloud Dawning | 66c | 76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked Cloud Dawning | 21c | 71.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 305 | 43%131 W · 174 L | +18.2wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x69b7…ae1dbacked Yangon Galacticos | 69c | 64.49$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.99 | 74 | 71.6%53 W · 21 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba6…2a7ebacked Cloud Dawning | 33c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee5…8306backed Yangon Galacticos | 80c | 57$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b29…9fe0backed Yangon Galacticos | 69c | 56$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.36 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a9…f5dfbacked Yangon Galacticos | 58c | 47.29$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa74…3067backed Cloud Dawning | 36c | 45.93$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.53 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c75…aad5backed Yangon Galacticos | 74c | 40.66$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed Yangon Galacticos | 64c | 32.24$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.47 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefff…2d98backed Yangon Galacticos | 64c | 31.39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.39 | 164 | 45.7%75 W · 89 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9570…55a7backed Yangon Galacticos | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c19…859cbacked Yangon Galacticos | 63c | 19.17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.17 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked Yangon Galacticos | 75c | 15.45$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.93 | 48 | 20.8%10 W · 38 L | -7.3wins | -0.15per pick | 36cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5d4b…11d1backed Yangon Galacticos | 76c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Yangon Galacticos vs Cloud Dawning (BO3) - EPL World Series Southeast Asia Group Stagethis page
- Dota 2: Yangon Galacticos vs Cloud Dawning - Game 1 WinnerYangon Galacticos won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.