CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: paiN vs ShindeN (BO3) - FERJEE In House Playoffs

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xce293349b20848e94a66d91da4049dbd5be79cc32c5d90766dc0b7987d509a1b

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: paiNof paiN, ShindeN
Resolved: Mar 29, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: CS2every record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $35,954
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $44,158

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,954 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in CS2
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x7c5a…ff9fbacked paiN	74c	11,956$8,883 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,072.8	45	48.9%22 W · 23 L	-2.2wins	-0.05per pick	54cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed ShindeN	26c	3,500$900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$900	1,408	33.7%475 W · 933 L	+43.0wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x478e…0c83backed ShindeN	25c	3,012$753 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$753	12	50%6 W · 6 L	+0.6wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked paiN	72c	2,814$2,037 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$777.1	844	54.3%458 W · 386 L	+4.6wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1ae…f001backed ShindeN	26c	1,830$476 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$475.8	116	37.9%44 W · 72 L	+5.2wins	+0.05per pick	33cpaid	+11.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd500…4568backed paiN	75c	1,641$1,234 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$407.43	28	53.6%15 W · 13 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed ShindeN	25c	1,333$333 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$333.33	5,810	37.8%2,196 W · 3,614 L	+78.9wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2148…ae1dbacked ShindeN	25c	1,112$283 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$282.88	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.7wins	-0.13per pick	33cpaid	-57%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa04d…1488backed ShindeN	27c	1,000$270 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$270	27	22.2%6 W · 21 L	-3.2wins	-0.12per pick	34cpaid	-38%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa07d…9a01backed ShindeN	21c	937.6$194 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$193.85	439	33.7%148 W · 291 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	34cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked ShindeN	27c	899.99$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240	1,573	35.3%556 W · 1,017 L	+22.5wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x17cd…7423backed ShindeN	25c	847.93$216 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$215.84	461	43.4%200 W · 261 L	+2.3wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x236b…26b7backed ShindeN	28c	820$227 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$227.37	330	44.5%147 W · 183 L	+7.8wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed ShindeN	18c	779.85$143 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$143.36	567	32.5%184 W · 383 L	-30.0wins	-0.05per pick	38cpaid	-36.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x26ac…a735backed ShindeN	26c	769.23$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	244	29.5%72 W · 172 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	30cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x24ca…5829backed ShindeN	26c	500$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130	333	52.6%175 W · 158 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed ShindeN	14c	479$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.2	5,262	31.3%1,647 W · 3,615 L	-381.6wins	-0.07per pick	39cpaid	-37.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed paiN	75c	462$347 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$115.5	392	39.8%156 W · 236 L	-6.5wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe692…ea10backed ShindeN	4c	399.99$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	176	17%30 W · 146 L	-6.3wins	-0.04per pick	21cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x08ce…f301backed paiN	75c	397$298 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$99.25	84	36.9%31 W · 53 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc006…3c94backed ShindeN	25c	388.21$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97	57	38.6%22 W · 35 L	-6.6wins	-0.12per pick	50cpaid	-26.7%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4fab…708bbacked ShindeN	25c	384$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96	386	36%139 W · 247 L	-4.8wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86a0…c66dbacked paiN	76c	375.86$285 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$91.11	18	55.6%10 W · 8 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	58cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf48e…428fbacked ShindeN	17c	301.26$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	111	47.7%53 W · 58 L	-6.2wins	-0.06per pick	53cpaid	-9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed paiN	79c	289.04$228 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.51	6,466	42.9%2,777 W · 3,689 L	-78.0wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe564…221abacked ShindeN	23c	259.59$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61	1,078	32%345 W · 733 L	-7.5wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed ShindeN	22c	259$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.98	463	44.5%206 W · 257 L	-14.8wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed paiN	75c	210$157 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.59	604	51%308 W · 296 L	+8.9wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa23f…7f29backed ShindeN	27c	206$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.62	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+1.6wins	+0.23per pick	49cpaid	+36.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3b1f…6500backed ShindeN	18c	200$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	296	47.6%141 W · 155 L	-13.7wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbe96…4a6dbacked paiN	75c	200$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50	10	60%6 W · 4 L	-0.6wins	-0.06per pick	66cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked paiN	75c	194.08$146 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.52	1,714	46.7%801 W · 913 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed paiN	77c	186.23$143 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.87	4,038	48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L	-23.9wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed ShindeN	20c	163.09$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.95	2,102	16.8%353 W · 1,749 L	-286.5wins	-0.14per pick	30cpaid	-47.2%equal weight	35-0.13 edge/pick
0x0b45…ac9fbacked ShindeN	22c	152$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.84	389	42.4%165 W · 224 L	-15.5wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6fc0…8f18backed ShindeN	27c	144$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.88	169	46.7%79 W · 90 L	+4.2wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb580…9b95backed ShindeN	22c	140$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.09	247	47%116 W · 131 L	+2.5wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-11%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked ShindeN	11c	128.64$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.61	406	35.7%145 W · 261 L	-33.0wins	-0.08per pick	44cpaid	-31%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6aa7…db93backed paiN	68c	125$85 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40	218	67%146 W · 72 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	67cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked paiN	75c	120$90 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30	543	48.6%264 W · 279 L	-5.6wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf47d…f295backed ShindeN	21c	115.62$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.78	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-2.4wins	-0.35per pick	63cpaid	-63.9%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x8359…5944backed ShindeN	10c	113$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.3	697	32%223 W · 474 L	-46.0wins	-0.07per pick	39cpaid	-32.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed paiN	78c	100.86$79 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.19	510	55.9%285 W · 225 L	+19.4wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x58f2…692ebacked ShindeN	26c	100$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	171	50.3%86 W · 85 L	-7.1wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xced8…221ebacked ShindeN	27c	100$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27	700	38.9%272 W · 428 L	-29.5wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1248…8db1backed ShindeN	26c	100$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	35	48.6%17 W · 18 L	+1.4wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed ShindeN	24c	94.95$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.79	540	32.4%175 W · 365 L	-7.9wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x133a…f9d1backed ShindeN	26c	80$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.8	392	37.2%146 W · 246 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xad89…e006backed ShindeN	25c	80$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	390	40.8%159 W · 231 L	+30.7wins	+0.08per pick	33cpaid	+21.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2bc0…ac69backed ShindeN	21c	78.54$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.77	42	35.7%15 W · 27 L	-4.4wins	-0.10per pick	46cpaid	-39.6%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf6bb…288cbacked ShindeN	25c	77.2$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.3	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	-2.0wins	-0.13per pick	60cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0a86…713dbacked ShindeN	26c	76.88$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.99	42	28.6%12 W · 30 L	-3.9wins	-0.09per pick	38cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed paiN	75c	64.4$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.1	2,061	50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L	-18.7wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0862…dc29backed ShindeN	24c	63$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.26	486	35.4%172 W · 314 L	-18.3wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf11a…1002backed ShindeN	24c	61$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.64	275	48.7%134 W · 141 L	+9.9wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x382d…eb3abacked ShindeN	20c	60$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	252	50.4%127 W · 125 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd18c…bae2backed ShindeN	25c	54.88$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.72	25	48%12 W · 13 L	+0.9wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39e4…f089backed ShindeN	25c	52$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	317	38.8%123 W · 194 L	-1.1wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x00d2…fe64backed ShindeN	27c	51$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.77	68	45.6%31 W · 37 L	-2.4wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2045…c77cbacked paiN	72c	50$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14	34	55.9%19 W · 15 L	-2.3wins	-0.07per pick	63cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2920…a1d3backed paiN	77c	48.05$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.05	265	64.2%170 W · 95 L	+6.7wins	+0.03per pick	62cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2497…a8f7backed ShindeN	25c	40$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-1.4wins	-0.18per pick	31cpaid	-80.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed paiN	77c	35$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.05	1,546	33.8%523 W · 1,023 L	-73.9wins	-0.05per pick	39cpaid	-33.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x529c…053ebacked paiN	77c	33.1$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.61	29	65.5%19 W · 10 L	+0.7wins	+0.03per pick	63cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1a8…6764backed paiN	77c	30.09$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.92	18	72.2%13 W · 5 L	+2.3wins	+0.13per pick	59cpaid	+26.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked paiN	69c	28.99$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.99	336	57.1%192 W · 144 L	-12.6wins	-0.04per pick	61cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7125…a5aabacked paiN	80c	25$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-4.9wins	-0.55per pick	77cpaid	-71.9%equal weight	34-0.15 edge/pick
0xbe53…2dbabacked paiN	73c	20$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.4	1,274	71.5%911 W · 363 L	+3.3wins	0.00per pick	71cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed paiN	75c	18.97$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.66	872	44.8%391 W · 481 L	-17.6wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd77…ef21backed paiN	69c	15$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.65	123	68.3%84 W · 39 L	+8.3wins	+0.07per pick	62cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Counter-Strike: paiN vs ShindeN (BO3) - FERJEE In House Playoffsthis page
Counter-Strike: paiN vs ShindeN - Map 1 WinnerpaiN won
Counter-Strike: paiN vs ShindeN - Map 2 WinnerpaiN won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Counter-Strike: paiN vs ShindeN (BO3) - FERJEE In House Playoffs

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event