CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: paiN vs ShindeN - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6cb3a7eb670f487cc653da3168c24854592d484a044b60533878f17d9a4b127d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- paiNof paiN, ShindeN
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,193
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,815
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,193 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x18bb…e5cdbacked ShindeN | 29c | 6,000$1,739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,739.33 | 307 | 26.4%81 W · 226 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…d748backed paiN | 54c | 4,895$2,659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,236.49 | 573 | 58.8%337 W · 236 L | +16.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c93…33d5backed paiN | 32c | 2,314$738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,575.79 | 484 | 37.6%182 W · 302 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +42%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed ShindeN | 17c | 894.65$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.1 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed ShindeN | 52c | 883.38$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.65 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed ShindeN | 8c | 861.28$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.51 | 567 | 32.5%184 W · 383 L | -30.0wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed ShindeN | 40c | 861$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.3 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked paiN | 77c | 828.93$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.11 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6bb…6b39backed ShindeN | 3c | 600$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 88 | 38.6%34 W · 54 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked ShindeN | 13c | 500$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.88 | 535 | 45%241 W · 294 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x969f…cbdcbacked ShindeN | 53c | 494.44$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.24 | 627 | 38.8%243 W · 384 L | -31.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed ShindeN | 30c | 448.04$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.41 | 467 | 49.7%232 W · 235 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa900…5acebacked ShindeN | 3c | 400$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 159 | 35.2%56 W · 103 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed ShindeN | 44c | 388.65$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.44 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x523e…3128backed ShindeN | 50c | 375$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.5 | 155 | 44.5%69 W · 86 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf48e…428fbacked ShindeN | 70c | 371.75$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.56 | 111 | 47.7%53 W · 58 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked ShindeN | 22c | 335.53$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.1 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4687…8d42backed ShindeN | 52c | 320.15$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.69 | 529 | 47.1%249 W · 280 L | -14.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked paiN | 68c | 299.87$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.72 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac06…f93dbacked paiN | 50c | 284.7$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.6 | 113 | 45.1%51 W · 62 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd43f…0bb0backed paiN | 64c | 281.11$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.6 | 381 | 31%118 W · 263 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5410…dcc7backed ShindeN | 42c | 259.17$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.85 | 109 | 35.8%39 W · 70 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed ShindeN | 8c | 208$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.88 | 84 | 36.9%31 W · 53 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed ShindeN | 36c | 194.44$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 372 | 32.5%121 W · 251 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…526dbacked paiN | 31c | 160.06$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.84 | 224 | 44.6%100 W · 124 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7044…2eb6backed paiN | 67c | 150$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 158 | 57.6%91 W · 67 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked paiN | 67c | 149.54$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.35 | 609 | 53.4%325 W · 284 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked paiN | 62c | 142.76$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.68 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde1f…d634backed ShindeN | 66c | 134.54$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.14 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed ShindeN | 40c | 131.5$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.06 | 623 | 50.9%317 W · 306 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked paiN | 41c | 115.34$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.05 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked ShindeN | 72c | 111$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.08 | 543 | 46.2%251 W · 292 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadaf…aefdbacked paiN | 60c | 102.5$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 840 | 37.9%318 W · 522 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed paiN | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.79 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3be…f543backed paiN | 51c | 98.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.57 | 229 | 52%119 W · 110 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed ShindeN | 25c | 85.78$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.8 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked ShindeN | 70c | 85$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.92 | 388 | 58.2%226 W · 162 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad46…df49backed ShindeN | 34c | 77.67$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.58 | 96 | 31.3%30 W · 66 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked paiN | 20c | 75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 700 | 36.1%253 W · 447 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed ShindeN | 30c | 73.64$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.07 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed paiN | 43c | 70.54$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.89 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe27c…79e0backed paiN | 52c | 67.6$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.6 | 231 | 61.5%142 W · 89 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac76…c542backed paiN | 32c | 60$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.56 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3032…2c71backed ShindeN | 70c | 59.41$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.59 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd18d…768cbacked paiN | 65c | 58.46$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.46 | 110 | 47.3%52 W · 58 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked ShindeN | 45c | 54$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.24 | 497 | 45.9%228 W · 269 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked ShindeN | 74c | 50$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.2 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc0…ac69backed paiN | 78c | 39.36$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.51 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -4.4wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked ShindeN | 71c | 33$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.43 | 489 | 48.7%238 W · 251 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked paiN | 44c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.95 | 295 | 55.3%163 W · 132 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4010…77d4backed paiN | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 230 | 57%131 W · 99 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c50…89b6backed ShindeN | 62c | 26.32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 180 | 61.7%111 W · 69 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d87…d456backed paiN | 65c | 26.15$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.15 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff5…46a2backed paiN | 45c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdf…b8a0backed paiN | 77c | 23.88$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.49 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ca6…3841backed paiN | 54c | 21.15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 112 | 41.1%46 W · 66 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0e0…d131backed ShindeN | 54c | 20.37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed paiN | 80c | 16.09$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.22 | 958 | 49.8%477 W · 481 L | -17.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaccf…ffc6backed ShindeN | 68c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: paiN vs ShindeN - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: paiN vs ShindeN (BO3) - FERJEE In House PlayoffspaiN won
- Counter-Strike: paiN vs ShindeN - Map 1 WinnerpaiN won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.