Belgium vs. Senegal: Senegal O/U 4.5 Corners

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1b0975339cd6ae36cff0346797193b590f7b1a708593cde64cbc799285498f8c

Rebuilt 21 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Jul 1, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $27,722
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $27,940

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,722 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xaf1a…ba1ebacked Under	51c	6,500$3,315 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,184.99	343	57.7%198 W · 145 L	+26.2wins	+0.08per pick	50cpaid	+15.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa23f…7f29backed Over	48c	6,391$3,068 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,067.55	157	45.9%72 W · 85 L	+4.0wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7a2…ae70backed Over	48c	4,109$1,972 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,972.43	89	32.6%29 W · 60 L	-10.7wins	-0.12per pick	45cpaid	-30.7%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over	42c	3,684$1,563 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,562.61	2,307	37.6%867 W · 1,440 L	-16.7wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under	51c	2,500$1,275 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,225	864	52.7%455 W · 409 L	+26.7wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over	46c	2,273$1,043 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,042.94	2,171	38.2%829 W · 1,342 L	-36.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe7e…6d00backed Over	49c	2,041$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	316	44.9%142 W · 174 L	+10.3wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd02a…4771backed Over	49c	2,041$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	40	52.5%21 W · 19 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under	57c	1,835$1,047 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$788.69	1,559	52.4%817 W · 742 L	+97.8wins	+0.06per pick	46cpaid	+14.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under	52c	1,762$908 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$854.14	2,805	55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L	+70.4wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5183…d4dabacked Under	52c	1,650$858 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$792.18	105	49.5%52 W · 53 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd604…cb5fbacked Under	51c	1,252$639 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$613.53	335	55.5%186 W · 149 L	+19.0wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+17.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under	55c	1,241$676 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$564.47	3,077	47%1,447 W · 1,630 L	-11.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under	54c	1,228$663 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$565.12	3,213	47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L	-7.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Over	49c	888$435 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$435.12	431	45.2%195 W · 236 L	+6.8wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x72a6…cfefbacked Over	44c	820.64$361 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$361.08	89	41.6%37 W · 52 L	-7.2wins	-0.08per pick	50cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x00da…d262backed Under	56c	633.93$355 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$278.93	80	45%36 W · 44 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over	44c	614$270 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$269.97	2,804	46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L	-27.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7de3…d59bbacked Under	53c	600$321 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$279	1,206	50.2%606 W · 600 L	+44.5wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf66e…14b7backed Under	59c	549$321 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$227.72	770	51.3%395 W · 375 L	+29.1wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Under	52c	500$260 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$240	206	38.8%80 W · 126 L	-4.6wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x113f…ae4dbacked Under	54c	357.99$195 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$163.2	174	48.9%85 W · 89 L	+9.5wins	+0.05per pick	43cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed Under	67c	325$216 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$108.83	791	49.2%389 W · 402 L	+28.2wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe3e0…708fbacked Under	53c	325$172 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$152.75	48	58.3%28 W · 20 L	+3.4wins	+0.07per pick	51cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x12dc…f3dfbacked Over	64c	312.5$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	14	50%7 W · 7 L	-1.0wins	-0.07per pick	57cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x189e…5aaebacked Under	58c	299$173 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$126.39	415	51.8%215 W · 200 L	+21.6wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x00ad…4fd1backed Under	56c	273.02$153 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$120.13	12	75%9 W · 3 L	+3.5wins	+0.29per pick	46cpaid	+58.5%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Over	45c	271.3$121 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120.88	1,795	44.2%794 W · 1,001 L	-12.9wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-13%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x403c…7f06backed Under	52c	250$130 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$120	331	54.4%180 W · 151 L	+25.9wins	+0.08per pick	47cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9dff…7fecbacked Under	52c	219.81$114 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$105.51	139	56.8%79 W · 60 L	+9.8wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	+18.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed Under	52c	206.48$107 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$99.74	465	50.3%234 W · 231 L	+5.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd842…775bbacked Over	49c	204$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.96	85	50.6%43 W · 42 L	-2.3wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Under	51c	200$102 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$98	977	42%410 W · 567 L	-6.5wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf555…b36bbacked Over	44c	200$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88	88	46.6%41 W · 47 L	+4.3wins	+0.05per pick	42cpaid	+10.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under	51c	198.38$101 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$97.2	1,204	48.9%589 W · 615 L	+18.2wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x09da…50bcbacked Under	62c	194.58$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$74.75	455	48.6%221 W · 234 L	+10.5wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	-1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb42…6e09backed Under	52c	169.23$88 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.23	624	52.7%329 W · 295 L	+10.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1617…d790backed Under	52c	158.29$82 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75.98	248	43.1%107 W · 141 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc593…ea8cbacked Under	58c	155$89 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$65.69	373	52.5%196 W · 177 L	+16.2wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2bf3…4f00backed Under	62c	128.8$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.91	480	55.2%265 W · 215 L	+12.2wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3f6…bab8backed Under	53c	120.13$64 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.46	48	56.3%27 W · 21 L	+1.8wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x806a…62d7backed Over	44c	114.89$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	41	46.3%19 W · 22 L	+3.4wins	+0.08per pick	38cpaid	+30.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb116…c4e1backed Over	48c	104.17$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	149	53%79 W · 70 L	+4.0wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over	46c	100.08$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e79…9076backed Over	44c	90.91$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	413	39%161 W · 252 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc730…c568backed Under	54c	89.15$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.03	660	56.8%375 W · 285 L	+34.2wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+10.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc8e6…d96bbacked Over	29c	80$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.2	33	21.2%7 W · 26 L	-2.6wins	-0.08per pick	29cpaid	-34.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e2f…f9babacked Under	52c	77.42$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.16	377	47.7%180 W · 197 L	+2.7wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39b2…157cbacked Under	55c	72.68$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.71	170	47.6%81 W · 89 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under	54c	72.03$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.32	3,286	49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L	+6.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6912…c24ebacked Over	44c	65.91$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29	131	25.2%33 W · 98 L	-7.3wins	-0.06per pick	31cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8812…c41abacked Under	54c	62.71$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.09	452	54.6%247 W · 205 L	+13.0wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaae4…0dadbacked Over	48c	62.5$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	154	54.5%84 W · 70 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7921…bbc3backed Over	51c	60$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.6	241	40.2%97 W · 144 L	-12.2wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-16%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xeda9…f624backed Under	56c	49.99$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22	1,151	58.5%673 W · 478 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	58cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5cc8…a0e4backed Under	56c	48.02$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.13	866	56.4%488 W · 378 L	-13.8wins	-0.02per pick	58cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x19e5…dd71backed Under	61c	47.77$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.86	295	56.6%167 W · 128 L	+19.9wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	+12%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4b7f…73a9backed Over	45c	44.44$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.45per pick	45cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd94…6b1ebacked Under	70c	42.99$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.9	114	31.6%36 W · 78 L	-9.2wins	-0.08per pick	40cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xedf8…5d40backed Over	42c	42.71$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.94	53	56.6%30 W · 23 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1506…e79ebacked Over	49c	40.82$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	200	49%98 W · 102 L	-4.0wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked Over	49c	40$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.6	1,306	44.7%584 W · 722 L	-9.6wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under	57c	40$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.2	2,796	56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L	-9.2wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Over	39c	38.09$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.04	2,576	46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L	+35.9wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2abe…6e2dbacked Under	63c	35.27$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.13	72	54.2%39 W · 33 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9bbf…49c1backed Under	57c	35$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.11	224	52.7%118 W · 106 L	+4.5wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x939d…3b3cbacked Under	52c	30$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.4	218	40.8%89 W · 129 L	-9.5wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6640…1685backed Over	48c	29.17$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	17	52.9%9 W · 8 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	56cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3de6…e560backed Over	43c	28.04$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.13	423	36.9%156 W · 267 L	-5.7wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x98fe…ffa7backed Over	44c	27.27$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	79	51.9%41 W · 38 L	+3.3wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+22.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbff7…554fbacked Under	46c	27.04$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.47	209	68.4%143 W · 66 L	+21.5wins	+0.10per pick	58cpaid	+14.6%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5663…f2e5backed Under	60c	23.3$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.31	187	61%114 W · 73 L	+18.3wins	+0.10per pick	51cpaid	+23.5%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe83a…8355backed Under	63c	22.08$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.18	318	53.1%169 W · 149 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4787…db20backed Under	61c	18.62$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.27	197	54.3%107 W · 90 L	+3.8wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x471c…9e94backed Under	78c	18.57$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.12	19	68.4%13 W · 6 L	+1.4wins	+0.07per pick	61cpaid	-1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Belgium vs. Senegal: Senegal O/U 4.5 Cornersthis page
Belgium vs. Senegal: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersUnder won
Belgium vs. Senegal: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
Belgium vs. Senegal: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
Belgium vs. Senegal: 2nd Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersUnder won
Belgium vs. Senegal: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
Belgium vs. Senegal: 2nd Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
Belgium vs. Senegal: Belgium O/U 3.5 CornersOver won
Belgium vs. Senegal: Belgium O/U 4.5 CornersUnder won
Belgium vs. Senegal: Belgium O/U 5.5 CornersUnder won
Belgium vs. Senegal: Belgium O/U 6.5 CornersUnder won
Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 10.5 Total CornersUnder won
Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 11.5 Total CornersUnder won
Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 12.5 Total CornersUnder won
Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 6.5 Total CornersUnder won
Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 7.5 Total CornersUnder won
Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 8.5 Total CornersUnder won
Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 9.5 Total CornersUnder won
Belgium vs. Senegal: Senegal O/U 2.5 CornersUnder won
Belgium vs. Senegal: Senegal O/U 3.5 CornersUnder won
Belgium vs. Senegal: Senegal O/U 5.5 CornersUnder won
Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Take First CornerSenegal won
Belgium vs. Senegal: Total Corners Odd or Even?Odd won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Belgium vs. Senegal: Senegal O/U 4.5 Corners

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event