Fifa International · resolved market
Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 12.5 Total Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaabfcb785bff2e73ce18eabf4d83d46670887702d0638775119232ecb079ac9f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,535
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,449
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,535 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0c05…fabfbacked Under | 76c | 699.96$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.99 | 70 | 78.6%55 W · 15 L | +8.6wins | +0.12per pick | 66cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x061f…aa02backed Over | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 94 | 38.3%36 W · 58 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee0e…38bbbacked Over | 22c | 480.56$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 235 | 29.8%70 W · 165 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Under | 79c | 327.32$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.74 | 1,224 | 43.4%531 W · 693 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf438…9559backed Over | 19c | 320.65$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.92 | 144 | 49.3%71 W · 73 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 23c | 315$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.45 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…e21bbacked Over | 20c | 300$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 268 | 36.9%99 W · 169 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f0e…d3b2backed Under | 80c | 285$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa022…d9b3backed Over | 24c | 277.58$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98bd…781ebacked Under | 77c | 267.49$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.52 | 99 | 55.6%55 W · 44 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 76c | 234.54$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.23 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Under | 78c | 219.5$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.04 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x786d…b89bbacked Over | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 522 | 17.4%91 W · 431 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 21c | 196.2$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.97 | 451 | 20.6%93 W · 358 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd31a…28f5backed Over | 19c | 190.58$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.21 | 47 | 25.5%12 W · 35 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 24c | 177.93$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.64 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x402c…e2e7backed Over | 15c | 136.39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a51…f305backed Over | 24c | 125$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 188 | 27.7%52 W · 136 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6511…5f44backed Over | 10c | 106.69$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.43 | 55 | 34.5%19 W · 36 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 76c | 104.94$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.19 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Over | 24c | 104.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 215 | 25.1%54 W · 161 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1115…a3edbacked Over | 24c | 104.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe3…ef99backed Over | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b40…cf5fbacked Under | 76c | 99.99$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 65 | 73.8%48 W · 17 L | +7.7wins | +0.12per pick | 62cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc165…61a9backed Under | 80c | 97$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.4 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -5.8wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -10%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cd…8e7dbacked Over | 16c | 92.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdea0…632dbacked Over | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 77 | 48.1%37 W · 40 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cef…2c8dbacked Under | 76c | 78.95$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.94 | 434 | 60.4%262 W · 172 L | +33.5wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Under | 78c | 74$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.28 | 657 | 37.4%246 W · 411 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa278…3369backed Over | 18c | 61$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 1,111 | 24.3%270 W · 841 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd37…e117backed Over | 24c | 59.75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.34 | 124 | 37.1%46 W · 78 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a5…8e27backed Under | 80c | 58$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 73cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b5f…7750backed Over | 24c | 54.17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 143 | 25.9%37 W · 106 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75cc…3e04backed Over | 24c | 54.17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 78c | 50.26$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8d…35bfbacked Over | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 228 | 25.4%58 W · 170 L | -13.0wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e75…a4dbbacked Under | 78c | 19.67$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.33 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x126e…c360backed Under | 77c | 18.18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.18 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e6b…3713backed Under | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 12.5 Total Cornersthis page
- Belgium vs. Senegal: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: 2nd Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: 2nd Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: Belgium O/U 3.5 CornersOver won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: Belgium O/U 4.5 CornersUnder won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: Belgium O/U 5.5 CornersUnder won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: Belgium O/U 6.5 CornersUnder won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 10.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 11.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 6.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 7.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 8.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 9.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: Senegal O/U 2.5 CornersUnder won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: Senegal O/U 3.5 CornersUnder won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: Senegal O/U 4.5 CornersUnder won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: Senegal O/U 5.5 CornersUnder won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Take First CornerSenegal won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: Total Corners Odd or Even?Odd won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.