Fifa International · resolved market
Belgium vs. Senegal: Senegal O/U 3.5 Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x43ac846cad57645659241da87cbff73b0cd4d77721551d83049a6ae5c9e34222
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,872
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,658
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,872 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7ddd…c933backed Under | 33c | 3,485$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,334.85 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +3.3wins | +0.16per pick | 60cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7e…6d00backed Over | 67c | 2,985$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 316 | 44.9%142 W · 174 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf1a…ba1ebacked Under | 33c | 1,873$618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,254.89 | 343 | 57.7%198 W · 145 L | +26.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b6…e0a0backed Over | 58c | 1,713$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa5…4f56backed Under | 33c | 1,508$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008.13 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | +6.8wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +23%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf1…3018backed Over | 57c | 999.91$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.95 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04d7…b035backed Over | 57c | 500$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…44e9backed Over | 57c | 500$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 399 | 51.6%206 W · 193 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 65c | 400.43$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.26 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Under | 36c | 356.23$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.34 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Under | 42c | 349.99$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203 | 706 | 48.2%340 W · 366 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x786c…dd20backed Over | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 108 | 43.5%47 W · 61 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Under | 34c | 136.23$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.91 | 149 | 49.7%74 W · 75 L | +10.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 41c | 112.99$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.26 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3e…f1a1backed Over | 58c | 101$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.58 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -3.1wins | -0.28per pick | 64cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfb4d…bb58backed Over | 68c | 91$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.88 | 347 | 51%177 W · 170 L | +19.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd5…28f2backed Under | 32c | 91$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.88 | 95 | 52.6%50 W · 45 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dff…7fecbacked Under | 34c | 90.88$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.98 | 139 | 56.8%79 W · 60 L | +9.8wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1594…a834backed Over | 66c | 76.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.41 | 94 | 54.3%51 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 42c | 65$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.7 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Under | 42c | 60$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.8 | 559 | 42.4%237 W · 322 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under | 61c | 55$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.57 | 637 | 45.4%289 W · 348 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f9…9faebacked Over | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 144 | 66%95 W · 49 L | +10.1wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 56c | 45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.98 | 1,492 | 41%612 W · 880 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1617…d790backed Under | 34c | 43.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.85 | 248 | 43.1%107 W · 141 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c31…5380backed Over | 66c | 42$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.72 | 277 | 44.8%124 W · 153 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…e560backed Over | 49c | 41.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.39 | 423 | 36.9%156 W · 267 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f5…3047backed Over | 67c | 37.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 96 | 69.8%67 W · 29 L | +10.3wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa089…02a1backed Over | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -5.9wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Under | 51c | 35.22$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.32 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…f9babacked Under | 34c | 34.71$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.91 | 377 | 47.7%180 W · 197 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f8…ae2ebacked Under | 30c | 34.7$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.35 | 518 | 59.8%310 W · 208 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67a5…3516backed Under | 44c | 33.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.78 | 224 | 41.5%93 W · 131 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51dd…8294backed Over | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda8a…2dbabacked Over | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 148 | 41.2%61 W · 87 L | -13.1wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbecf…0f51backed Over | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 128 | 60.2%77 W · 51 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7921…bbc3backed Over | 65c | 28.31$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 241 | 40.2%97 W · 144 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed Under | 40c | 25.01$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.01 | 866 | 56.4%488 W · 378 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedab…8926backed Over | 64c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 131 | 56.5%74 W · 57 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4acc…a48abacked Over | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -2.0wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Belgium vs. Senegal: Senegal O/U 3.5 Cornersthis page
- Belgium vs. Senegal: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: 2nd Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: 2nd Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: Belgium O/U 3.5 CornersOver won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: Belgium O/U 4.5 CornersUnder won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: Belgium O/U 5.5 CornersUnder won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: Belgium O/U 6.5 CornersUnder won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 10.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 11.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 12.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 6.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 7.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 8.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 9.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: Senegal O/U 2.5 CornersUnder won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: Senegal O/U 4.5 CornersUnder won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: Senegal O/U 5.5 CornersUnder won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Take First CornerSenegal won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: Total Corners Odd or Even?Odd won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.