Fifa International · resolved market
Belgium vs. Senegal: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1e3b9209ead96d5f35cf4cf89038b37e9d8d913440d0d073aad59dcb14dee967
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,529
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,066
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,529 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0c05…fabfbacked Under | 50c | 2,163$1,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,081.91 | 70 | 78.6%55 W · 15 L | +8.6wins | +0.12per pick | 66cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0189…5861backed Over | 52c | 1,941$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 176 | 36.4%64 W · 112 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3cb…ac21backed Under | 49c | 1,792$878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$913.82 | 131 | 51.1%67 W · 64 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Over | 51c | 1,479$754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$754.08 | 227 | 52.4%119 W · 108 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Under | 47c | 1,236$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654.87 | 864 | 52.7%455 W · 409 L | +26.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd86e…45cebacked Over | 49c | 1,194$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.06 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Over | 53c | 1,132$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 894 | 43.4%388 W · 506 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 50c | 1,045$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.54 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Under | 49c | 999.99$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 470 | 32.8%154 W · 316 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…c850backed Over | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 301 | 40.5%122 W · 179 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 50c | 880.75$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.5 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Under | 50c | 860.42$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.83 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cea…03d4backed Under | 49c | 834$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422 | 192 | 50%96 W · 96 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf421…cff4backed Over | 46c | 673.91$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 108 | 49.1%53 W · 55 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed Under | 49c | 355.59$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.59 | 624 | 52.7%329 W · 295 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaffc…cddcbacked Over | 45c | 355.25$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.86 | 69 | 37.7%26 W · 43 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00ad…4fd1backed Under | 55c | 298$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.1 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.5wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +58.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Over | 53c | 283.02$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 358 | 48.6%174 W · 184 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 47c | 264.06$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.79 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9516…0bcbbacked Over | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 562 | 40.6%228 W · 334 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb6…a2cdbacked Over | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x760b…6dc8backed Over | 51c | 210.76$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.49 | 102 | 52.9%54 W · 48 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22a0…6702backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 47c | 189.14$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.25 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37d9…5442backed Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 314 | 35.7%112 W · 202 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…0308backed Under | 49c | 169.99$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.69 | 470 | 49.4%232 W · 238 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ce…5eb3backed Over | 49c | 166.84$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.75 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -33%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…9805backed Over | 47c | 153$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.91 | 96 | 38.5%37 W · 59 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdcd2…87c9backed Over | 20c | 101.15$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.03 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda49…b396backed Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 116 | 34.5%40 W · 76 L | -8.5wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a56…a644backed Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 140 | 43.6%61 W · 79 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb116…c4e1backed Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 149 | 53%79 W · 70 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a18…a0f3backed Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cfc…ab38backed Over | 32c | 89.44$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.62 | 96 | 44.8%43 W · 53 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Over | 18c | 77.55$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 233 | 63.5%148 W · 85 L | +19.8wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 50c | 67.26$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.95 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 47c | 65.99$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.98 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 54c | 65$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.9 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6926…152dbacked Over | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 270 | 51.9%140 W · 130 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x708e…d03fbacked Over | 53c | 54.72$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -4.7wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc221…1ed3backed Over | 26c | 52.95$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.57 | 110 | 53.6%59 W · 51 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa42d…4d66backed Under | 57c | 50.19$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.58 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 67cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a67…52edbacked Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 109 | 52.3%57 W · 52 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfff3…e2c5backed Under | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76b5…a423backed Under | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8352…4357backed Under | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 41 | 19.5%8 W · 33 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d83…c000backed Over | 50c | 48$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -22%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa146…6163backed Over | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 288 | 50.3%145 W · 143 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc730…c568backed Under | 49c | 43.42$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.95 | 660 | 56.8%375 W · 285 L | +34.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd07…a284backed Over | 53c | 43.4$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…d6a5backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Over | 53c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 1,306 | 44.7%584 W · 722 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1506…e79ebacked Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 200 | 49%98 W · 102 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf348…e543backed Under | 74c | 32.95$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 401 | 63.3%254 W · 147 L | +57.7wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x3b42…7056backed Under | 49c | 32.65$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.65 | 72 | 66.7%48 W · 24 L | +7.6wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdd09…3264backed Under | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.22per pick | 53cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfd17…3818backed Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 53 | 60.4%32 W · 21 L | +4.6wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc295…66c8backed Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 25 | 76%19 W · 6 L | +4.2wins | +0.17per pick | 59cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x080c…69f7backed Under | 57c | 25.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.18 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 67cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f46…9f54backed Under | 57c | 25.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.94 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 67cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed Under | 51c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.19 | 1,151 | 58.5%673 W · 478 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…3b70backed Under | 57c | 24.85$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.69 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 67cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c38…c255backed Under | 56c | 24.23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f6f…44e9backed Under | 57c | 23.46$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.09 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 67cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6111…3b98backed Under | 56c | 22.92$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 50c | 22.65$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.42 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…24a8backed Under | 57c | 22.4$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.63 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 67cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe947…b01fbacked Under | 50c | 21.98$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.99 | 144 | 63.2%91 W · 53 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2625…e320backed Under | 56c | 21.63$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x192d…b95abacked Under | 57c | 21.51$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 67cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff5e…04d8backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -3.8wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc622…e1a4backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc8…8179backed Under | 57c | 19.83$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.53 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 67cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x392c…fb30backed Under | 56c | 18.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Belgium vs. Senegal: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total Cornersthis page
- Belgium vs. Senegal: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: 2nd Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: 2nd Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: Belgium O/U 3.5 CornersOver won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: Belgium O/U 4.5 CornersUnder won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: Belgium O/U 5.5 CornersUnder won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: Belgium O/U 6.5 CornersUnder won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 10.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 11.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 12.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 6.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 7.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 8.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 9.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: Senegal O/U 2.5 CornersUnder won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: Senegal O/U 3.5 CornersUnder won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: Senegal O/U 4.5 CornersUnder won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: Senegal O/U 5.5 CornersUnder won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Take First CornerSenegal won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: Total Corners Odd or Even?Odd won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.