Fifa International · resolved market
Senegal leading at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x384f5415ed1cd2a324050a945004f0860da56d76895fb2403300e5360bb79ec7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $422,545
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $469,045
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $422,545 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 199 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x85f0…3f67backed Yes | 22c | 95,000$20,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74,049.84 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 72c | 58,676$42,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,016.21 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 25c | 40,080$10,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,127.09 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked No | 79c | 13,785$10,941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,940.9 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 20c | 11,816$2,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,436.55 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 77c | 11,801$9,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,085.9 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x442f…e7a2backed Yes | 20c | 10,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,000 | 110 | 38.2%42 W · 68 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked No | 77c | 8,517$6,558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,558.09 | 702 | 44.6%313 W · 389 L | +13.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 78c | 8,086$6,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,285.9 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0852…655cbacked No | 15c | 7,488$1,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,133.5 | 536 | 29.9%160 W · 376 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…d56cbacked No | 0c | 7,041$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 825 | 37.1%306 W · 519 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 27c | 6,844$1,873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,970.83 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 23c | 6,589$1,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,090.06 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 78c | 6,144$4,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,777.27 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 78c | 5,161$4,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,045.72 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc289…ab37backed Yes | 20c | 5,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,000 | 169 | 47.3%80 W · 89 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 23c | 4,375$1,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,368.53 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 21c | 4,179$895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,283.57 | 462 | 23.2%107 W · 355 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67bf…f983backed No | 4c | 4,167$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 279 | 31.9%89 W · 190 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 41c | 3,636$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500.34 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf48…36c2backed No | 78c | 3,610$2,816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,815.8 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa700…102bbacked No | 2c | 3,548$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.32 | 515 | 14.2%73 W · 442 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 23c | 3,500$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,710 | 549 | 17.9%98 W · 451 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 79c | 3,455$2,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,720.35 | 597 | 52.1%311 W · 286 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed No | 7c | 3,104$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.27 | 413 | 31%128 W · 285 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03b8…b4aebacked Yes | 74c | 2,530$1,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670.17 | 233 | 53.2%124 W · 109 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes | 68c | 2,449$1,677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$772 | 319 | 45.5%145 W · 174 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d2…a1cdbacked Yes | 64c | 2,357$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$856.52 | 217 | 59%128 W · 89 L | +13.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e6…9b21backed No | 10c | 2,227$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.62 | 253 | 39.5%100 W · 153 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 19c | 2,091$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,688.73 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cfe…c83cbacked No | 14c | 2,033$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.6 | 362 | 34%123 W · 239 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ff…473dbacked No | 28c | 1,866$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.57 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 22c | 1,626$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.53 | 350 | 35.7%125 W · 225 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed No | 34c | 1,600$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.9 | 719 | 39.1%281 W · 438 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -33%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2a…d25cbacked Yes | 23c | 1,304$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,004.35 | 191 | 24.6%47 W · 144 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb70…be84backed Yes | 20c | 1,154$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$926.47 | 64 | 14.1%9 W · 55 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bc5…e563backed No | 1c | 1,131$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.31 | 421 | 26.4%111 W · 310 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 78c | 1,057$822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$822.23 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddbb…32afbacked Yes | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 127 | 26.8%34 W · 93 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64ef…befcbacked Yes | 21c | 999.99$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$789.99 | 303 | 45.2%137 W · 166 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked No | 77c | 999.98$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$769.98 | 465 | 46.7%217 W · 248 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3baf…7d44backed No | 8c | 977.34$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.27 | 270 | 32.2%87 W · 183 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 6c | 928$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 361 | 39.1%141 W · 220 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5deb…ccddbacked No | 79c | 882.85$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695.86 | 350 | 34.3%120 W · 230 L | -24.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e2…bd11backed Yes | 23c | 869.57$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.57 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | +5.9wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a5…534cbacked Yes | 23c | 869.57$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.57 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa9…09fabacked No | 7c | 863.29$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.36 | 229 | 32.8%75 W · 154 L | +9.3wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f6…0e74backed No | 73c | 811$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.74 | 127 | 52%66 W · 61 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Yes | 24c | 794$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.3 | 1,601 | 47.8%765 W · 836 L | +51.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 17c | 776$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.44 | 335 | 38.8%130 W · 205 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yes | 75c | 753.63$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.69 | 1,141 | 46.2%527 W · 614 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed No | 73c | 715.95$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.95 | 847 | 38.8%329 W · 518 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed No | 77c | 683.93$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.28 | 1,390 | 46.3%644 W · 746 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed No | 77c | 681.88$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.69 | 1,313 | 48.9%642 W · 671 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b6…022cbacked Yes | 74c | 675.68$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.68 | 146 | 52.1%76 W · 70 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8105…3287backed Yes | 74c | 656.45$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.68 | 210 | 48.6%102 W · 108 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 36c | 653.45$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.31 | 332 | 37.3%124 W · 208 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 36c | 651$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.53 | 342 | 38.6%132 W · 210 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 78c | 636$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.08 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 78c | 636$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.08 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed No | 79c | 600$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471 | 977 | 42%410 W · 567 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 24c | 585.84$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.85 | 333 | 37.8%126 W · 207 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 8c | 573$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.33 | 363 | 35.8%130 W · 233 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa856…43f9backed Yes | 22c | 541.45$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.33 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 77c | 528.39$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.34 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742e…99b2backed Yes | 20c | 525$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 230 | 22.6%52 W · 178 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked No | 77c | 519.48$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 674 | 47.6%321 W · 353 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked No | 77c | 512$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.24 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 40c | 500$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7069…325bbacked Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb124…7380backed Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 345 | 37.1%128 W · 217 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1633…1e55backed Yes | 23c | 500$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385 | 81 | 24.7%20 W · 61 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…ff0fbacked Yes | 21c | 500$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395 | 289 | 45.3%131 W · 158 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b98…5beabacked Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 47 | 19.1%9 W · 38 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60f6…a196backed No | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 460 | 12.4%57 W · 403 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef06…8e3cbacked Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf310…9f74backed Yes | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.19 | 89 | 33.7%30 W · 59 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f20…186bbacked Yes | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.19 | 124 | 17.7%22 W · 102 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed No | 79c | 471.55$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.25 | 166 | 41%68 W · 98 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…17c5backed No | 72c | 467.54$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.82 | 334 | 38.6%129 W · 205 L | -17.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcbeb…2ba4backed Yes | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.78 | 127 | 15%19 W · 108 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | +14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8473…8f23backed Yes | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.78 | 109 | 37.6%41 W · 68 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x980a…1db9backed Yes | 76c | 434.21$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.21 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 36c | 417$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.93 | 357 | 34.5%123 W · 234 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ac…c5d1backed Yes | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 245 | 39.6%97 W · 148 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e34…63f7backed Yes | 71c | 400$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 281 | 64.1%180 W · 101 L | +16.0wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef6…20dcbacked Yes | 23c | 380.57$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.04 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 16c | 368$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.22 | 351 | 36.8%129 W · 222 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61d4…3593backed No | 5c | 366.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 357 | 19.6%70 W · 287 L | -13.8wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 31c | 359.97$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.67 | 420 | 43.1%181 W · 239 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed No | 15c | 356.03$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.66 | 173 | 56.6%98 W · 75 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb8…d90abacked Yes | 20c | 355.51$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.51 | 104 | 35.6%37 W · 67 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x613a…2185backed Yes | 20c | 352$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.6 | 462 | 30.1%139 W · 323 L | -13.8wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 17c | 350.84$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.74 | 460 | 47.2%217 W · 243 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b5…f95bbacked Yes | 22c | 349.99$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.99 | 60 | 31.7%19 W · 41 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1c…8408backed No | 80c | 326.25$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261 | 151 | 56.3%85 W · 66 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Yes | 20c | 309.62$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.7 | 560 | 22.7%127 W · 433 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Yes | 22c | 300.43$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.33 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa23f…7f29backed Yes | 20c | 294$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.2 | 157 | 45.9%72 W · 85 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Yes | 20c | 280$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224 | 238 | 20.6%49 W · 189 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Senegal leading at halftime?this page
- Belgium leading at halftime?No won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: Draw at halftime?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.