Us Midterms · resolved market
Will Andrew Cuomo get between 30% and 35% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa737c79e2d2d6271f0b45ee7a80ed52f16e21d4ee29f1e3a35926e58db1cb5dd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,675
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,583
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,675 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3cfc…9beebacked Yes | 16c | 3,783$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.02 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5af9…1f82backed Yes | 43c | 2,002$859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$859.19 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 29c | 1,695$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.31 | 314 | 34.1%107 W · 207 L | -11.5wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa56…f232backed Yes | 18c | 1,112$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 21cpaid | +89%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b9…de6dbacked Yes | 33c | 1,087$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.29 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab0…d34ebacked Yes | 44c | 906.55$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked No | 71c | 596$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.65 | 196 | 31.1%61 W · 135 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cf8…042fbacked Yes | 34c | 593.83$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +54%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac8…77cdbacked Yes | 17c | 500$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 196 | 43.4%85 W · 111 L | +15.5wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes | 15c | 476.91$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.54 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 12cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd45…c05ebacked Yes | 32c | 440.7$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.92 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb8…9231backed Yes | 35c | 412.91$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.71 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5567…aeedbacked No | 67c | 410$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.3 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a1…c98abacked Yes | 16c | 302$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.33 | 75 | 33.3%25 W · 50 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…adcabacked Yes | 16c | 300$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.18 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f8…0ff2backed Yes | 31c | 300$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +85.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 35c | 298.55$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.49 | 332 | 38.6%128 W · 204 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac8c…415cbacked No | 61c | 289$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.49 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked Yes | 26c | 252.08$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.44 | 81 | 14.8%12 W · 69 L | -6.6wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Yes | 15c | 250$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | +7.5wins | +0.17per pick | 17cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7678…e5f0backed Yes | 16c | 240$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.7wins | +0.28per pick | 49cpaid | +61%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4e96…2613backed Yes | 25c | 230.09$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.42 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6778…06b0backed Yes | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +103.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb747…b050backed Yes | 24c | 215.68$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.76 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x935d…08ffbacked Yes | 16c | 208.95$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.43 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe738…df65backed Yes | 32c | 200$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -50%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5927…672bbacked No | 65c | 200$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.22 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +103.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc77…c035backed No | 63c | 200$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 33c | 168.66$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.91 | 494 | 11.5%57 W · 437 L | -17.4wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7df6…ac3bbacked Yes | 32c | 150.69$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.22 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x430e…ed6dbacked No | 68c | 150$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.5 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x346d…828fbacked Yes | 32c | 147.29$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 62c | 140.96$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.56 | 124 | 40.3%50 W · 74 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3313…8355backed Yes | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83c1…9019backed Yes | 45c | 125$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdaf…e2e0backed Yes | 30c | 124.26$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.58 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf22a…5eaabacked Yes | 38c | 119.44$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.58 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd1…0c4fbacked Yes | 31c | 110$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.3 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 39cpaid | +7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9bb…1329backed Yes | 38c | 105.26$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57c5…28e5backed No | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x840f…41d2backed Yes | 37c | 99.93$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.97 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.19per pick | 23cpaid | +86.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x19c5…511dbacked Yes | 33c | 75.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb256…b6dfbacked Yes | 35c | 65.15$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.65 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0251…85cbbacked Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa859…ba1ebacked Yes | 32c | 62.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.87 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd121…99debacked Yes | 32c | 61.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 33cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 64c | 58$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.04 | 211 | 55.9%118 W · 93 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc3e…4413backed No | 65c | 53.29$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.65 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefb4…f90fbacked No | 65c | 51.83$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac9…0454backed Yes | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…649cbacked Yes | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -4.8wins | -0.28per pick | 34cpaid | -89.5%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x339f…79f0backed Yes | 44c | 45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3475…eea8backed No | 67c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +138%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…bb4abacked Yes | 33c | 35.78$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.81 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 63c | 34.25$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.65 | 449 | 35.2%158 W · 291 L | -37.6wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc441…fb83backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c14…08a5backed No | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.51 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9099…8491backed No | 64c | 16.54$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Andrew Cuomo get between 30% and 35% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?this page
- Will Andrew Cuomo get between 15% and 20% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?No won
- Will Andrew Cuomo get between 20% and 25% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?No won
- Will Andrew Cuomo get between 25% and 30% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?No won
- Will Andrew Cuomo get less than 15% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?No won
- Will Andrew Cuomo get more than 35% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.