Us Midterms · resolved market
Will Andrew Cuomo get more than 35% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf67b616bc9fa2ea42ae111d5b4648e99cb50ebfdd1319341a0ee4d1196b2cb55
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $186,564
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $235,398
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $186,564 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 178 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4247…c6b0backed No | 27c | 8,532$2,264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,264.22 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed No | 60c | 7,201$4,356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,355.81 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1568…c958backed Yes | 40c | 6,261$2,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,760.24 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +76%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 65c | 5,669$3,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,008.57 | 314 | 34.1%107 W · 207 L | -11.5wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cfc…9beebacked No | 45c | 5,049$2,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,254.4 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac8…77cdbacked Yes | 64c | 4,452$2,871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,580.96 | 196 | 43.4%85 W · 111 L | +15.5wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…4710backed Yes | 48c | 3,269$1,582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,686.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +106.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4f…c44bbacked Yes | 25c | 3,160$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,360.37 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 20cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad87…6a86backed No | 58c | 3,142$1,816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,815.85 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2a…58afbacked Yes | 53c | 2,704$1,433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,271.23 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.23per pick | 31cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaa56…f232backed Yes | 30c | 2,593$783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,809.77 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 21cpaid | +89%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed No | 66c | 2,476$1,645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,644.91 | 83 | 31.3%26 W · 57 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x59db…c353backed Yes | 41c | 2,400$974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,426 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e38…a1dbbacked Yes | 42c | 2,376$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,376.14 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5af9…1f82backed Yes | 43c | 2,292$981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,310.98 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb256…b6dfbacked Yes | 45c | 2,207$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,217.39 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd039…2532backed No | 48c | 1,984$953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$952.54 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30e4…5102backed Yes | 43c | 1,966$841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,125.44 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x275f…e86dbacked No | 50c | 1,904$946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$945.94 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…eb64backed Yes | 52c | 1,827$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$876.92 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 39cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee17…6ea1backed No | 65c | 1,784$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,159.86 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +3.5wins | +0.27per pick | 35cpaid | +90.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7840…b670backed Yes | 40c | 1,750$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 17cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bac…9c98backed Yes | 51c | 1,713$875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$838.37 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc254…3f73backed Yes | 67c | 1,700$1,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23d9…3a2ebacked Yes | 51c | 1,549$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$758.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3106…d672backed No | 70c | 1,451$1,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,011.95 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85b8…6b6abacked No | 75c | 1,236$924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$923.58 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +73.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7678…e5f0backed Yes | 30c | 1,230$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$859.5 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.7wins | +0.28per pick | 49cpaid | +61%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab0…d34ebacked Yes | 35c | 1,159$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5567…aeedbacked No | 50c | 1,157$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.24 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab4f…552fbacked No | 60c | 1,113$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b18…5facbacked Yes | 47c | 1,041$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c5…feb3backed Yes | 24c | 1,001$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 14cpaid | +108.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b9…de6dbacked No | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed No | 61c | 999.99$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.49 | 51 | 29.4%15 W · 36 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked No | 47c | 999.98$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.99 | 26 | 3.8%1 W · 25 L | -4.8wins | -0.19per pick | 22cpaid | -65%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4b7c…ef52backed Yes | 50c | 995$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.7 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…0f73backed No | 5c | 960.12$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.11 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4aae…d563backed Yes | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.4 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Yes | 44c | 843.61$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.47 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Yes | 46c | 818.51$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.17 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.38per pick | 37cpaid | +99.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…a262backed Yes | 49c | 790$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.86 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 14cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52f9…e1c7backed Yes | 41c | 731.71$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…dd84backed Yes | 53c | 726.24$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.63 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed No | 57c | 690$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8d4…8cb4backed No | 61c | 657.16$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.16 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 41c | 652.95$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.08 | 124 | 40.3%50 W · 74 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe66a…adb0backed No | 63c | 576.3$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.98 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x168b…b1d7backed Yes | 54c | 500$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb8…9231backed Yes | 54c | 496.28$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.91 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7df6…ac3bbacked No | 60c | 487.98$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.56 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked No | 21c | 468.82$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.64 | 81 | 14.8%12 W · 69 L | -6.6wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3389…f6f0backed Yes | 32c | 467.03$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae23…142ebacked Yes | 43c | 460$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc330…9794backed Yes | 49c | 420$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 76c | 406.61$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.8 | 168 | 33.3%56 W · 112 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x585b…753fbacked No | 60c | 400.77$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.45 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf107…b9babacked Yes | 50c | 387.39$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.96 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb558…6d3cbacked Yes | 41c | 386.6$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fef…5840backed Yes | 58c | 345.2$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb8…d906backed No | 18c | 344.54$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.64 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f79…01c2backed Yes | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc77…c035backed No | 72c | 299.99$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.99 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2900…5479backed Yes | 45c | 285$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39d0…4fe8backed No | 54c | 284$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…bb4abacked No | 53c | 280$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d37…a680backed Yes | 30c | 264.08$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.08 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9099…8491backed No | 48c | 258.98$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.21 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4da5…e32ebacked Yes | 37c | 255.11$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8866…a584backed Yes | 64c | 253.78$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.89 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f06…20b2backed Yes | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Yes | 25c | 250$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.5 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | +7.5wins | +0.17per pick | 17cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfa32…bd9abacked No | 16c | 250$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe52…32c5backed No | 60c | 250$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x935d…08ffbacked Yes | 35c | 240.78$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.23 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 59c | 238.55$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.62 | 449 | 35.2%158 W · 291 L | -37.6wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7557…2a24backed No | 60c | 232.57$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.9 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e96…2613backed Yes | 43c | 230$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.1 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a1…c98abacked Yes | 34c | 228$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.16 | 75 | 33.3%25 W · 50 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8593…c931backed No | 69c | 223.25$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.45 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb01b…e951backed Yes | 61c | 220.16$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24c1…54b0backed No | 55c | 211.58$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.04 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe709…9d39backed Yes | 62c | 211$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.44 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd416…004fbacked Yes | 53c | 206.68$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 54c | 205.19$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.4 | 211 | 55.9%118 W · 93 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e6…696bbacked Yes | 54c | 204.07$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.07 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.17per pick | 21cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…65fdbacked No | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80ad…f700backed Yes | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2144…94abbacked No | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 40cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26a9…f6b7backed No | 65c | 199.99$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1102…af36backed No | 61c | 199.98$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.99 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes | 20c | 196$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.8 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 12cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 61c | 190.25$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.88 | 332 | 38.6%128 W · 204 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x367b…7e9cbacked Yes | 53c | 189.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.39 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09d6…0fdabacked No | 60c | 189.26$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.56 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 30c | 185.21$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.98 | 494 | 11.5%57 W · 437 L | -17.4wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x087a…48c4backed Yes | 50c | 180$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2635…41aebacked Yes | 50c | 175.47$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.47 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 50c | 160.9$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.81 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe947…7a45backed Yes | 47c | 158.83$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.96 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Andrew Cuomo get more than 35% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?this page
- Will Andrew Cuomo get between 15% and 20% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?No won
- Will Andrew Cuomo get between 20% and 25% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?No won
- Will Andrew Cuomo get between 25% and 30% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?No won
- Will Andrew Cuomo get between 30% and 35% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?No won
- Will Andrew Cuomo get less than 15% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.