NFL · resolved market
Will Klint Kubiak be the next Giants Head Coach?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd96b90d229c3df8cf28b1c15905bc419fa5cb960eac6364a0c78099f109e80ae
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,918
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,913
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,918 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 0c | 4,655$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.64 | 567 | 9.9%56 W · 511 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b74…93f7backed Yes | 15c | 513$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.95 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.21per pick | 37cpaid | +64.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84d6…bca9backed Yes | 15c | 384$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2db4…410fbacked Yes | 6c | 376.74$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.33 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefd0…7e95backed Yes | 14c | 246.31$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80f7…0d6fbacked Yes | 17c | 203.41$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.86 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.3wins | -0.30per pick | 49cpaid | -75%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcb88…6b99backed Yes | 12c | 198$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.76 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86c5…4c23backed Yes | 12c | 194$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.28 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +103.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed7…b0a5backed Yes | 11c | 160$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab88…e0a4backed Yes | 14c | 146$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.44 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34fc…d14dbacked Yes | 15c | 146$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 44cpaid | -78.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked Yes | 8c | 140.66$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 30 | 0%0 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa71…9767backed Yes | 14c | 128$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.92 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +16%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39be…5e7bbacked Yes | 14c | 118$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.52 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a3a…ca4cbacked Yes | 12c | 108$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 15c | 100.49$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 68 | 32.4%22 W · 46 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46f5…b461backed Yes | 15c | 67$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x914a…f3afbacked Yes | 23c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 73c | 30.67$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 77c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.45 | 488 | 47.5%232 W · 256 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Klint Kubiak be the next Giants Head Coach?this page
- Will Bill Belichick be the next Giants Head Coach?No won
- Will Brian Flores be the next Giants Head Coach?No won
- Will Chris Shula be the next Giants Head Coach?No won
- Will Jeff Hafley be the next Giants Head Coach?No won
- Will Jesse Minter be the next Giants Head Coach?No won
- Will Joe Brady be the next Giants Head Coach?No won
- Will John Harbaugh be the next Giants Head Coach?Yes won
- Will Kevin Stefanski be the next Giants Head Coach?No won
- Will Kliff Kingsbury be the next Giants Head Coach?No won
- Will Lane Kiffin be the next Giants Head Coach?No won
- Will Mike Kafka be the next Giants Head Coach?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.