NFL · resolved market
Will Chris Shula be the next Giants Head Coach?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x13984cbd870a259c325848840c73edad6d19e97f42d24a1109173bc1bf0b7da6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,521
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,786
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,521 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe539…5345backed Yes | 10c | 554$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.82 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c7…2371backed Yes | 19c | 470$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x993c…eae0backed Yes | 29c | 406$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce25…4e7dbacked Yes | 29c | 388$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.6 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.32per pick | 39cpaid | +97.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9a5a…779cbacked Yes | 21c | 358$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.18 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee9e…efb7backed Yes | 22c | 351$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.22 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcb…f59bbacked No | 57c | 308$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.44 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba6f…8cc1backed Yes | 22c | 285$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc886…696fbacked Yes | 7c | 241$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.87 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +100.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5cf…90e6backed Yes | 15c | 222$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.3 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b02…a23bbacked Yes | 15c | 186$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…1214backed No | 78c | 182$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.04 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12c2…aa71backed Yes | 13c | 181$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.53 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39dd…1bb5backed Yes | 12c | 179$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.48 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23c1…704bbacked No | 58c | 164$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.88 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c55…8adebacked Yes | 7c | 156$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa8…2bcdbacked Yes | 22c | 147$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.34 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 36cpaid | +71.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d6…bca9backed Yes | 12c | 132$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad90…9090backed No | 79c | 125$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.25 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde2b…73a0backed No | 78c | 124$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.28 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd70b…a152backed No | 79c | 124$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.04 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ea…a152backed Yes | 15c | 124$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bbb…5c80backed No | 78c | 123$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.06 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 27c | 119.54$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.09 | 68 | 32.4%22 W · 46 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf666…8842backed Yes | 13c | 110$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf23e…aec3backed No | 79c | 109$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.89 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ec…62aabacked Yes | 13c | 108$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa938…a1ffbacked No | 73c | 106$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.28 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6470…aac7backed Yes | 14c | 101.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -4.4wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x91ba…c705backed No | 78c | 101$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.22 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +131.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 528 | 28.6%151 W · 377 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x367b…48dabacked Yes | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.84 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6163…58ccbacked Yes | 37c | 81$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.97 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.32per pick | 46cpaid | -75%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…8085backed Yes | 13c | 77$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd11f…2d2cbacked No | 58c | 70$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5fa…f3f8backed Yes | 22c | 67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.74 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -3.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1cae…c0eebacked No | 78c | 66$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.52 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 56cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d24…a2e9backed Yes | 35c | 64$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 41cpaid | -81.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x91be…2641backed No | 78c | 63$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.86 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03ed…c077backed No | 71c | 59.05$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.06 | 145 | 50.3%73 W · 72 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Chris Shula be the next Giants Head Coach?this page
- Will Bill Belichick be the next Giants Head Coach?No won
- Will Brian Flores be the next Giants Head Coach?No won
- Will Jeff Hafley be the next Giants Head Coach?No won
- Will Jesse Minter be the next Giants Head Coach?No won
- Will Joe Brady be the next Giants Head Coach?No won
- Will John Harbaugh be the next Giants Head Coach?Yes won
- Will Kevin Stefanski be the next Giants Head Coach?No won
- Will Kliff Kingsbury be the next Giants Head Coach?No won
- Will Klint Kubiak be the next Giants Head Coach?No won
- Will Lane Kiffin be the next Giants Head Coach?No won
- Will Mike Kafka be the next Giants Head Coach?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.