Token Launches · resolved market
Will Solstice launch a token by March 31 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8d6b81fa5cbc3eb8217808c05c39ee26ca4ac6762bf978b02bad6719f1211276
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $99,252
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $94,975
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $99,252 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe79c…c715backed No | 10c | 8,303$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,463.15 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 25cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf572…7458backed Yes | 22c | 5,587$1,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,239.21 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd043…9ce2backed Yes | 38c | 3,703$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,399.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6a…be7ebacked No | 73c | 3,444$2,517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$926.82 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafce…c2f6backed No | 60c | 3,196$1,905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,290.8 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbee6…a965backed No | 60c | 2,330$1,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$929.69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d1…05eebacked No | 5c | 2,270$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,157.4 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 19cpaid | +108.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x841f…806bbacked Yes | 57c | 2,268$1,298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,297.52 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -38%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba0d…9a6ebacked No | 75c | 2,000$1,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.15 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.28per pick | 62cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf907…e7dbbacked Yes | 14c | 1,351$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa86…daccbacked No | 12c | 1,327$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,169.09 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 8cpaid | +110.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Yes | 19c | 1,233$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.11 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | +166%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf494…10a8backed Yes | 13c | 1,179$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.86 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x628e…4580backed Yes | 16c | 1,089$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e6…3218backed No | 3c | 1,001$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$971 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +5.6wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +268.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa924…0decbacked No | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x243c…2240backed No | 8c | 1,000$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920 | 69 | 37.7%26 W · 43 L | +8.0wins | +0.12per pick | 26cpaid | +87.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x95b3…9989backed No | 3c | 936.39$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$912.93 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 3cpaid | +698.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…ea74backed No | 12c | 923$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$813.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 7cpaid | +320.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9db…d937backed No | 21c | 894.48$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$703.44 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3290…f4bdbacked No | 11c | 703.12$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.12 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 14cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59d7…0217backed Yes | 16c | 700$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac8…c41dbacked No | 31c | 577.81$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.24 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -3.3wins | -0.27per pick | 44cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…c686backed No | 71c | 561.34$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.34 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82aa…2393backed No | 39c | 512$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.32 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab1…5ae4backed No | 12c | 469.58$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.28 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | +3.4wins | +0.12per pick | 16cpaid | +62.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fd…fb44backed No | 50c | 456.3$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.19 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca67…703cbacked No | 3c | 409$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.09 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | +390.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf977…aff0backed No | 5c | 369$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.55 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 20cpaid | +342.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fae…6853backed No | 20c | 314$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.2 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +101.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d17…1e5ebacked No | 5c | 308$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.24 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +349%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbf…6c43backed No | 6c | 300$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.45 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +93.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f68…21ecbacked No | 18c | 283$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.06 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d24…a2e9backed No | 17c | 278$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.74 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedea…a94dbacked No | 9c | 275$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 9cpaid | +449.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66a1…80d9backed No | 6c | 271$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.52 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | +98.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b9…d0c7backed No | 5c | 246$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.7 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +107.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa83…537bbacked No | 45c | 233.04$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.17 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x433f…1accbacked No | 54c | 230.74$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.22 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +5.0wins | +0.36per pick | 50cpaid | +111.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xecb6…cfe8backed No | 5c | 214$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +566.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ec…a3adbacked No | 11c | 204.03$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.18 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 13cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1084…d520backed Yes | 10c | 200$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e35…384fbacked No | 7c | 196$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.3 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 30cpaid | +296.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c0…c4c9backed Yes | 61c | 177$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.97 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5da…61a4backed Yes | 61c | 174.37$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.8 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05a7…2ef6backed No | 9c | 170.76$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.03 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +223.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb132…6943backed Yes | 65c | 167$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.55 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b74…e8d7backed No | 68c | 166.58$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.67 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.20per pick | 51cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa938…a1ffbacked Yes | 80c | 166$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.8 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb88…6b99backed No | 19c | 157$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.17 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +181%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39be…5e7bbacked No | 18c | 152$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.64 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.38per pick | 42cpaid | +109.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde2b…73a0backed No | 20c | 146$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.8 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +90.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x874b…5bdfbacked No | 25c | 136.32$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.87 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +88.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 37c | 134.85$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.92 | 463 | 20.5%95 W · 368 L | -68.1wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x3bde…a29fbacked Yes | 35c | 130$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c7…f199backed Yes | 80c | 128$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.4 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc5cf…90e6backed Yes | 61c | 127$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.47 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…259dbacked No | 12c | 125$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb73e…975ebacked Yes | 16c | 118$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce25…4e7dbacked Yes | 16c | 115$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.94 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -78.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7534…d51bbacked No | 32c | 109$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.12 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1a…4221backed Yes | 34c | 105.81$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.27 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe539…5345backed No | 35c | 105$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +82.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa33c…1b33backed No | 15c | 100$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25dc…e33bbacked No | 10c | 100$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 145 | 48.3%70 W · 75 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x975d…01bebacked Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +220.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x616f…b241backed Yes | 60c | 99.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 67cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe551…2e76backed No | 43c | 95.73$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +130.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c57…c2e0backed No | 19c | 94$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.14 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 44cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked Yes | 22c | 92.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbaf…2833backed No | 15c | 90$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 25 | 12%3 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc101…e6d1backed Yes | 57c | 90$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.7 | 181 | 44.8%81 W · 100 L | +23.4wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9551…8c45backed Yes | 70c | 90$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.23 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -3.2wins | -0.40per pick | 65cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc474…bc75backed Yes | 12c | 89.23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7321…1812backed Yes | 80c | 89$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.2 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -39%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25b9…3058backed No | 18c | 80$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +37%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x714f…66d5backed No | 40c | 80$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.15 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -60%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 22c | 79.98$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.18 | 212 | 40.6%86 W · 126 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 57c | 77.97$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.31 | 179 | 48%86 W · 93 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4faa…fecfbacked No | 18c | 68$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.76 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +74.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc336…9f48backed Yes | 65c | 64$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa05d…3e96backed No | 35c | 64$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.6 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8af…11f4backed Yes | 57c | 60$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.14 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a39…2d00backed Yes | 61c | 60$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f4…0430backed Yes | 65c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa457…1a93backed No | 35c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x305c…1d82backed Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…55c4backed Yes | 33c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1093…9a10backed Yes | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.72 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6d…9596backed Yes | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…ae52backed Yes | 72c | 48.13$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.65 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee9e…efb7backed Yes | 65c | 46$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3e…f9d4backed Yes | 61c | 44$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.84 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd54a…f2c3backed No | 47c | 42.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +113.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a02…ddaabacked No | 50c | 42.24$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed No | 67c | 41.73$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.86 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.22per pick | 60cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcb…f59bbacked No | 35c | 41$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.65 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe17a…c6fbbacked Yes | 65c | 41$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.65 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -73.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa5…888fbacked Yes | 62c | 40$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbd…9d9ebacked No | 36c | 39.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.59 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Solstice launch a token by March 31 2026?this page
- Will Solstice launch a token by December 31 2025?No won
- Will Solstice launch a token by December 31 2026?Yes won
- Will Solstice launch a token by June 30 2026?Yes won
- Will Solstice launch a token by September 30 2026?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.