Middle East · resolved market
2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x90c9f679e2f272caf121b7f5ec4994525cbe5887531423110783308053a1fbd5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $158,496
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $149,870
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $158,496 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 243 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x66a1…80d9backed Yes | 3c | 5,989$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.01 | 197 | 6.6%13 W · 184 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b9…d0c7backed Yes | 17c | 1,966$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.17 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed No | 67c | 1,621$1,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.5 | 205 | 49.8%102 W · 103 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6499…05d2backed Yes | 16c | 1,464$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.24 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa44b…eb27backed Yes | 20c | 1,393$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.1 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3734…01a3backed Yes | 18c | 1,258$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.57 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 11c | 1,205$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.73 | 428 | 18.7%80 W · 348 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a88…513ebacked Yes | 16c | 1,187$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.92 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d0f…af26backed Yes | 17c | 1,179$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.26 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b92…f4c6backed Yes | 16c | 1,168$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.88 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82aa…2393backed Yes | 16c | 1,094$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.04 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82a7…afb5backed Yes | 16c | 1,088$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.08 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ea…ef6ebacked Yes | 9c | 1,077$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 10c | 1,051$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.12 | 288 | 27.8%80 W · 208 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe17a…c6fbbacked Yes | 16c | 1,008$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.28 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9778…1d7bbacked Yes | 16c | 963$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.08 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +4.6wins | +0.20per pick | 41cpaid | +70.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf1bf…a751backed Yes | 16c | 962$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.92 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +4.5wins | +0.23per pick | 45cpaid | +81.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x71d2…e109backed Yes | 22c | 952$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.44 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.22per pick | 45cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe590…87bfbacked Yes | 16c | 821$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.36 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b2…9ae2backed No | 77c | 819$631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.88 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1832…af9ebacked No | 78c | 816$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.21 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +108.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x354c…b301backed Yes | 16c | 792$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.72 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe102…71dfbacked Yes | 8c | 773.04$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.35 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4346…2241backed Yes | 16c | 738$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.08 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc32a…7c05backed Yes | 16c | 734$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9c…be4dbacked No | 42c | 708$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.16 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes | 3c | 707.63$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.9 | 476 | 9.9%47 W · 429 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +75.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7238…e52dbacked Yes | 16c | 680$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.8 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.18per pick | 37cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab88…e0a4backed No | 78c | 666$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.52 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8030…7b74backed No | 42c | 653.21$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.05 | 125 | 42.4%53 W · 72 L | +19.6wins | +0.16per pick | 27cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xba3d…cdfabacked Yes | 16c | 626$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.16 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.17per pick | 35cpaid | -72.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…ac22backed Yes | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd137…ceacbacked Yes | 16c | 619$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.04 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +60.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4744…e229backed Yes | 16c | 611$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.76 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0845…6b6fbacked Yes | 16c | 608.24$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.41 | 204 | 38.7%79 W · 125 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…1214backed No | 75c | 605$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.25 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26ad…990ebacked Yes | 22c | 597$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.46 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2604…13ccbacked Yes | 22c | 596$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.12 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e36…2479backed Yes | 16c | 584$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.44 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -3.2wins | -0.19per pick | 42cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c7…bd87backed No | 77c | 583.17$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0502…513bbacked Yes | 2c | 581.87$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d24…a2e9backed Yes | 16c | 568$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.88 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +5.0wins | +0.21per pick | 37cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x17be…7a33backed Yes | 16c | 563$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.08 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 4c | 560.95$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.46 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca3…9546backed Yes | 16c | 560$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.6 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb338…1ff0backed No | 78c | 558$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.76 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23c1…704bbacked Yes | 16c | 547$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.52 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x941a…90c4backed Yes | 22c | 544$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.68 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe36c…a6f0backed Yes | 16c | 541$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.56 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb8…ec8dbacked No | 75c | 522$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.79 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked Yes | 10c | 519.86$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.92 | 221 | 7.2%16 W · 205 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x696f…d8b9backed Yes | 9c | 500.59$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.05 | 22 | 4.5%1 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -81.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e8…ac57backed Yes | 16c | 497$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.52 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +3.2wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7948…9917backed Yes | 8c | 469.45$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.06 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -76.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6163…58ccbacked Yes | 16c | 469$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.04 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.16per pick | 31cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x28c9…99aabacked Yes | 16c | 460$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.6 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.29per pick | 43cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e96…c895backed Yes | 16c | 460$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.6 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe07c…1307backed Yes | 16c | 459$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.44 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x672b…68d2backed Yes | 25c | 449$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe43b…3497backed Yes | 19c | 448$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.76 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdce0…7260backed Yes | 16c | 447$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.52 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d05…305bbacked Yes | 23c | 444$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.65 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.21per pick | 42cpaid | -66%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2f68…21ecbacked Yes | 16c | 439$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.24 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc4…4a8ebacked Yes | 16c | 433$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.28 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bbb…5c80backed No | 77c | 427$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.37 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 43cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x636a…09aabacked Yes | 16c | 426$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.16 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed Yes | 16c | 425$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.1 | 141 | 29.8%42 W · 99 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d9…08d2backed Yes | 16c | 416$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.56 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a16…0c03backed No | 78c | 409$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.98 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf53c…00acbacked Yes | 16c | 401$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.16 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…4441backed No | 78c | 400$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02a5…c0edbacked No | 78c | 398$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.56 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.26per pick | 52cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4bcd…e98bbacked Yes | 22c | 398$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.56 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf085…a01fbacked No | 78c | 397$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.34 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2247…96e8backed Yes | 22c | 391$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.02 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce55…1796backed Yes | 16c | 390$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.4 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…9a60backed Yes | 25c | 389$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.25 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03a3…fdf4backed Yes | 16c | 388$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.08 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +107.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4559…f02bbacked Yes | 16c | 378$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.48 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -41%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf179…fd27backed Yes | 5c | 376$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.48 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.23per pick | 40cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb124…6cdabacked No | 40c | 375$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa457…1a93backed No | 78c | 372$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.84 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ecb…b5e3backed No | 75c | 370$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.5 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc771…e858backed Yes | 25c | 366$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.5 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc713…891fbacked No | 78c | 365$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.3 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6897…63b6backed Yes | 16c | 355$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c6…c2dfbacked Yes | 16c | 353$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.48 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5884…3191backed No | 77c | 350$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.8 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf501…8852backed No | 77c | 338.57$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.08 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 70cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3506…4815backed Yes | 22c | 338$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.36 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdb7…6cd5backed Yes | 22c | 330$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.6 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f6…595cbacked Yes | 27c | 325$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.75 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8151…3421backed No | 78c | 317$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.74 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x357e…2a0cbacked Yes | 27c | 300$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aca…cad6backed No | 77c | 281$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.87 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c55…8adebacked No | 78c | 281$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.82 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02b2…814cbacked Yes | 9c | 277.77$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x451a…a0c9backed Yes | 24c | 274$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.78 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -3.0wins | -0.33per pick | 55cpaid | -65.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8e57…6c04backed No | 75c | 271$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.75 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b32…c8a9backed No | 78c | 271$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.62 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.