NHL · resolved market
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the Metropolitan Division?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa998022efc89d60331ac15e78103dafd765e65eaea433405638c4e293d2b0fa6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,395
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,751
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,395 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 0c | 4,261$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.62 | 225 | 16.4%37 W · 188 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Yes | 74c | 1,962$1,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.64 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe394…289cbacked Yes | 70c | 1,566$1,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.93 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 2c | 1,255$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.17 | 99 | 35.4%35 W · 64 L | -7.7wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x193f…dd5dbacked No | 10c | 1,207$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5518…1211backed Yes | 65c | 959$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.65 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb85b…77dbbacked No | 35c | 786$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.1 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f68…2238backed No | 35c | 703$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 7c | 651.13$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.07 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe513…b842backed No | 35c | 646$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2247…96e8backed No | 34c | 588$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda7f…c93dbacked Yes | 65c | 573$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.55 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed No | 21c | 549.34$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.35 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbcac…f545backed Yes | 66c | 549$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9f…624cbacked No | 7c | 547.89$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.04 | 340 | 32.4%110 W · 230 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf49…6cfebacked No | 35c | 544$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc336…9f48backed Yes | 65c | 487$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b98…5cfabacked No | 33c | 468.57$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.14 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91ba…c705backed Yes | 65c | 467$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.45 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +88%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39be…5e7bbacked Yes | 65c | 443$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.05 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +88%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked No | 10c | 400$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 92 | 51.1%47 W · 45 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6163…58ccbacked No | 35c | 389$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x533d…e5ecbacked Yes | 65c | 389$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x721a…9295backed No | 36c | 384$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.24 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 10c | 283.76$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.61 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb547…a237backed No | 35c | 279$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.65 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +20%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x253f…e642backed Yes | 65c | 270$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed No | 10c | 234.51$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.38 | 68 | 11.8%8 W · 60 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe43…af79backed Yes | 65c | 216$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa647…d77dbacked No | 35c | 205$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed No | 18c | 180$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.7 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76f8…5145backed No | 35c | 156$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97c2…55d6backed No | 39c | 153.8$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.65 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdeac…95c6backed No | 34c | 149$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd97d…4d06backed No | 15c | 149$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 71c | 121.77$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.43 | 338 | 37.9%128 W · 210 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46f5…b461backed Yes | 65c | 117$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.95 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +96.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba6b…b341backed No | 34c | 116$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd72…6cc4backed No | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -29%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79c1…497dbacked No | 28c | 94$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.04 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked No | 37c | 91$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.67 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a4…aa57backed Yes | 66c | 91$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 15c | 90$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1056…5b18backed Yes | 66c | 75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5784…4018backed Yes | 64c | 73$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a94…7154backed No | 35c | 65$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81ba…b311backed Yes | 64c | 63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef54…d1eebacked Yes | 45c | 62.8$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.54 | 177 | 49.2%87 W · 90 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd45…c05ebacked No | 40c | 62.49$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.83 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6317…e864backed No | 35c | 59$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10d8…9f12backed No | 36c | 58$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -32%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47ba…a503backed No | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfa…3888backed Yes | 66c | 47$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54af…415ebacked No | 35c | 41$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x293b…09a9backed Yes | 65c | 41$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09be…76d5backed No | 35c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e4…b332backed Yes | 66c | 39$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe53d…8ab8backed No | 34c | 36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x787a…a54dbacked No | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71d2…e109backed Yes | 66c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +77.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x098f…47cdbacked No | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e26…cdf1backed Yes | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53cf…0479backed No | 80c | 16$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 60cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the Metropolitan Division?this page
- Will the Columbus Blue Jackets win the Metropolitan Division?No won
- Will the New Jersey Devils win the Metropolitan Division?No won
- Will the New York Islanders win the Metropolitan Division?No won
- Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the Metropolitan Division?No won
- Will the Washington Capitals win the Metropolitan Division?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.