NHL · resolved market
Will the Washington Capitals win the Metropolitan Division?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdf1147a549b46d2cc079eceffcf653739c6d9f3a49999991376be28131549a59
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $53,040
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,083
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,040 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe7fd…a3e1backed Yes | 11c | 1,280$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf386…988abacked Yes | 29c | 1,190$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19cd…f7ffbacked Yes | 11c | 953$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.83 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb547…a237backed Yes | 11c | 948$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.28 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +20%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f3…be1dbacked Yes | 11c | 923$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.53 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad90…9090backed Yes | 11c | 813$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.43 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b98…5cfabacked Yes | 16c | 787.66$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.09 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x605c…83dcbacked Yes | 11c | 769$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.59 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53de…b486backed Yes | 13c | 753$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.89 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24e4…09dcbacked Yes | 12c | 745$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6576…f0abbacked Yes | 11c | 725$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf40b…7181backed Yes | 11c | 672$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.92 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed45…929dbacked Yes | 11c | 669$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.59 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf8…c7afbacked Yes | 11c | 622$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d0f…af26backed Yes | 11c | 614$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.54 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 29cpaid | +78.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6951…cb02backed Yes | 14c | 596$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ef…095ebacked Yes | 11c | 558$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f5c…91bfbacked Yes | 11c | 514$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.54 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 33cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x451a…a0c9backed Yes | 11c | 512$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b69…6622backed Yes | 11c | 492$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…b00abacked No | 71c | 455$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e96…c895backed Yes | 11c | 420$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6163…58ccbacked Yes | 11c | 419$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.09 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…f8a1backed Yes | 11c | 393$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64c2…c527backed Yes | 11c | 351$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae0…4590backed Yes | 11c | 339$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe394…289cbacked No | 80c | 336$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.2 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x557a…9f70backed Yes | 11c | 315$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x245c…75e7backed Yes | 11c | 251$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.61 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8737…2bffbacked Yes | 13c | 239$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.07 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -49%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2653…3c92backed No | 71c | 230$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x533d…e5ecbacked Yes | 11c | 224$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.64 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2247…96e8backed Yes | 11c | 202$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0cb…ab6abacked Yes | 12c | 201.6$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad4…6209backed No | 71c | 200$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d6…bca9backed Yes | 11c | 196$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d2b…fd2cbacked Yes | 11c | 193$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.23 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f68…21ecbacked Yes | 11c | 187$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6558…e485backed Yes | 11c | 178$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d17…1e5ebacked Yes | 11c | 170$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef29…f7eabacked Yes | 11c | 165$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x787a…a54dbacked Yes | 11c | 156$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4ad…5fbebacked No | 71c | 155$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a37…0ab3backed No | 71c | 150$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 439 | 44.6%196 W · 243 L | +16.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed Yes | 19c | 120$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.6 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 20c | 114$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe061…93f9backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a94…7154backed Yes | 13c | 90$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 13c | 89.4$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.74 | 607 | 41%249 W · 358 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8f2…96cfbacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Washington Capitals win the Metropolitan Division?this page
- Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the Metropolitan Division?Yes won
- Will the Columbus Blue Jackets win the Metropolitan Division?No won
- Will the New Jersey Devils win the Metropolitan Division?No won
- Will the New York Islanders win the Metropolitan Division?No won
- Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the Metropolitan Division?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.