NBA · resolved market

Will the San Antonio Spurs win more than 44.5 regular season games in 2025–26?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfa0d92d9048aa2ac0c61cad731fb39b8861b366aaea3899068feb2c932e2c642

Rebuilt 13 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: Mar 6, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $96,106

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $96,106 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 165 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x4ffe…9f71backed No	0c	5,921$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.13	1,132	17%192 W · 940 L	+2.5wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-25.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Yes	57c	1,539$877 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$661.79	199	51.8%103 W · 96 L	-3.8wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x22e7…9bc7backed No	15c	1,533$230 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$229.95	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x22b6…3f65backed No	43c	1,280$550 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$550	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.28per pick	28cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaef9…0acbbacked No	13c	1,146$152 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$151.83	17	41.2%7 W · 10 L	+1.6wins	+0.09per pick	32cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9264…3734backed No	15c	998$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149.7	20	50%10 W · 10 L	+1.7wins	+0.08per pick	42cpaid	+40.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe1b7…d913backed No	15c	974$145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$145.16	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-1.4wins	-0.16per pick	38cpaid	-57.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5516…2263backed No	15c	969$145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$145.35	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-0.5wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-37.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb767…9b51backed No	14c	955$137 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$136.83	16	31.3%5 W · 11 L	-1.4wins	-0.09per pick	40cpaid	-39.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x53ec…df91backed Yes	58c	913.24$528 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$385.69	227	50.2%114 W · 113 L	+24.8wins	+0.11per pick	39cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xc187…bdf1backed No	14c	913$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$127.76	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x88f1…8e46backed No	14c	891$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$124.74	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	+0.6wins	+0.05per pick	42cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x65ae…e13abacked No	15c	869$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130.35	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.6wins	-0.12per pick	32cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd41…3796backed No	15c	798$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119.7	21	42.9%9 W · 12 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	+15.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9774…6d3cbacked No	15c	793$119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118.95	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	+0.5wins	+0.03per pick	32cpaid	+15.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d17…0e2bbacked No	14c	779$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.06	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-2.2wins	-0.20per pick	48cpaid	-32.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x02f7…395ebacked No	15c	772$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115.8	11	63.6%7 W · 4 L	+2.5wins	+0.23per pick	41cpaid	+79.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7fae…6853backed Yes	53c	767$405 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$362.35	29	48.3%14 W · 15 L	+3.3wins	+0.11per pick	37cpaid	+28.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7635…9ae0backed No	13c	722$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.55	11	9.1%1 W · 10 L	-2.3wins	-0.21per pick	30cpaid	-77.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0acc…debabacked No	14c	714$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.96	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.6wins	-0.09per pick	52cpaid	-31.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa488…f562backed No	14c	701$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.14	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	+1.8wins	+0.14per pick	40cpaid	+68.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf351…6284backed No	15c	697$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104.55	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-0.9wins	-0.12per pick	49cpaid	+28.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xce16…b18ebacked No	13c	692$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.96	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+1.7wins	+0.18per pick	37cpaid	+55.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x14d5…1f63backed No	15c	515$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.25	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-1.5wins	-0.16per pick	39cpaid	-65%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed No	42c	500$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210	1,602	11.8%189 W · 1,413 L	-4.8wins	0.00per pick	12cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked No	38c	489.99$187 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$186.6	350	49.4%173 W · 177 L	+17.0wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd0af…7ec6backed No	15c	486$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.9	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e08…d84cbacked Yes	62c	479.98$299 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$180.79	26	38.5%10 W · 16 L	+1.3wins	+0.05per pick	33cpaid	+36.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd98f…5afdbacked No	15c	418$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.7	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	-1.4wins	-0.10per pick	49cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x98ed…7a3fbacked No	15c	410$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.5	8	50%4 W · 4 L	+0.6wins	+0.08per pick	42cpaid	+61.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2bb…4569backed No	15c	403$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.45	12	25%3 W · 9 L	-0.9wins	-0.07per pick	32cpaid	-44.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2103…e296backed No	15c	398$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.7	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.7wins	-0.11per pick	44cpaid	-43.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4883…ce56backed Yes	47c	389$183 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$206.17	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.8wins	-0.36per pick	56cpaid	-57.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbd9b…b6aabacked Yes	74c	385.92$286 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$99.94	31	48.4%15 W · 16 L	+1.9wins	+0.06per pick	42cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x54d5…b5cebacked No	46c	372$171 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$171.12	23	56.5%13 W · 10 L	+3.8wins	+0.17per pick	40cpaid	+82.1%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4d58…34e0backed Yes	47c	353$166 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$187.09	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.9wins	-0.13per pick	41cpaid	-38.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xef29…f7eabacked No	12c	352$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.24	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-30.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d91…89d8backed No	15c	348$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.2	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	-1.1wins	-0.07per pick	41cpaid	-29%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c2b…3ffcbacked No	43c	336.11$144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$143.97	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.43per pick	43cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d93…7f30backed No	15c	336$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.4	15	40%6 W · 9 L	+0.5wins	+0.03per pick	37cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507c…4166backed No	11c	333$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.63	21	38.1%8 W · 13 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	-35.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b98…5cfabacked No	11c	322.74$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.5	48	43.8%21 W · 27 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe43b…3497backed No	50c	320$161 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$161.19	28	53.6%15 W · 13 L	+1.8wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a94…7154backed No	15c	317$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.78	23	47.8%11 W · 12 L	+0.9wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xffff…35bebacked No	15c	316$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.4	18	27.8%5 W · 13 L	-2.0wins	-0.11per pick	39cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x81ba…b311backed No	14c	315$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.97	26	53.8%14 W · 12 L	+1.4wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf3bc…43e9backed No	53c	315$167 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$166.95	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+0.7wins	+0.08per pick	48cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf55…7d8abacked Yes	54c	310$167 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$142.6	19	57.9%11 W · 8 L	+2.4wins	+0.12per pick	45cpaid	+42.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6317…e864backed No	13c	308$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.93	21	38.1%8 W · 13 L	-1.0wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	+20.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd134…5558backed No	25c	287$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.75	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	35cpaid	-14%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2bbb…5c80backed No	45c	284$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$127.77	24	29.2%7 W · 17 L	-3.2wins	-0.13per pick	42cpaid	-54%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x365f…d215backed No	13c	274$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.94	16	50%8 W · 8 L	+2.1wins	+0.13per pick	37cpaid	+21.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4e25…d7a7backed No	42c	269.98$114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114.29	165	37%61 W · 104 L	-3.6wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7166…f815backed Yes	54c	265$143 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$121.9	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3734…01a3backed No	45c	253$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114.62	18	38.9%7 W · 11 L	-1.5wins	-0.08per pick	47cpaid	-33%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfdb7…6cd5backed No	14c	247$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.54	16	31.3%5 W · 11 L	-2.6wins	-0.16per pick	47cpaid	-39.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6956…dd15backed No	15c	242$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.3	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-0.5wins	-0.05per pick	38cpaid	+29.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x596a…7a0fbacked Yes	64c	230.86$147 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$83.75	80	20%16 W · 64 L	-2.7wins	-0.03per pick	23cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb47e…c824backed No	15c	229$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.35	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+1.2wins	+0.24per pick	36cpaid	+90.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd137…ceacbacked No	38c	225$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.5	18	61.1%11 W · 7 L	+0.5wins	+0.03per pick	58cpaid	+64.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x708a…68b9backed Yes	70c	220$153 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.7	14	64.3%9 W · 5 L	+2.7wins	+0.19per pick	45cpaid	+95.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x636c…ea28backed No	14c	218$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.52	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-2.7wins	-0.30per pick	41cpaid	-84.8%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xecb6…cfe8backed Yes	47c	218$102 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$115.54	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-31.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d05…305bbacked No	46c	217$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.82	18	61.1%11 W · 7 L	+1.0wins	+0.05per pick	56cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9720…f4d1backed No	40c	216$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.66	24	54.2%13 W · 11 L	+2.9wins	+0.12per pick	42cpaid	+50.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed No	26c	213.48$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.92	181	40.3%73 W · 108 L	+24.4wins	+0.13per pick	27cpaid	+60.6%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0x0bfa…4578backed No	14c	207$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.98	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	+1.6wins	+0.15per pick	40cpaid	+21.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcceb…f030backed Yes	78c	206.11$161 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.53	69	34.8%24 W · 45 L	-5.9wins	-0.09per pick	43cpaid	-31.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x451a…a0c9backed No	45c	203$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.25	26	57.7%15 W · 11 L	+2.3wins	+0.09per pick	49cpaid	+10.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x97ed…28e1backed No	46c	202$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.92	12	50%6 W · 6 L	+1.9wins	+0.16per pick	34cpaid	+42.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcf5c…3912backed Yes	72c	198.48$143 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55.67	21	71.4%15 W · 6 L	+4.0wins	+0.19per pick	52cpaid	+19.3%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb132…6943backed Yes	54c	194$105 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$89.24	17	41.2%7 W · 10 L	-1.3wins	-0.07per pick	49cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8697…4165backed No	12c	194$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.28	11	72.7%8 W · 3 L	+2.3wins	+0.21per pick	52cpaid	+68.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xae18…1132backed No	53c	191$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.23	28	42.9%12 W · 16 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb890…a592backed No	12c	188$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.56	15	53.3%8 W · 7 L	+1.4wins	+0.10per pick	44cpaid	+65.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1056…5b18backed No	13c	187$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.31	30	50%15 W · 15 L	+1.9wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+18.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaefa…f98ebacked Yes	62c	185$115 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70.3	21	52.4%11 W · 10 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	-2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde23…62e9backed No	15c	183$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.45	15	53.3%8 W · 7 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03a3…fdf4backed No	45c	178$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.39	17	58.8%10 W · 7 L	+1.0wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	-11%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x755e…7b04backed No	15c	176$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.4	15	40%6 W · 9 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d2b…fd2cbacked Yes	54c	173$93 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$79.58	21	47.6%10 W · 11 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe1d4…8cf7backed No	14c	172$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.08	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	-0.5wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf40f…7fc6backed No	15c	168$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.2	19	47.4%9 W · 10 L	-2.2wins	-0.11per pick	59cpaid	-32.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa55b…857bbacked No	13c	165$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.45	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	31cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcfda…5709backed Yes	55c	164$90 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$74.08	19	57.9%11 W · 8 L	+1.9wins	+0.10per pick	48cpaid	+16.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa8b7…ee3cbacked No	42c	163.82$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.35	105	42.9%45 W · 60 L	+6.1wins	+0.06per pick	37cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed No	15c	161$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.74	2,902	38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L	-51.9wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x787a…a54dbacked No	15c	161$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.15	23	56.5%13 W · 10 L	+1.4wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+32.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ed7…b0a5backed Yes	54c	159$86 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73.14	18	61.1%11 W · 7 L	+1.6wins	+0.09per pick	52cpaid	+34.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xda77…8085backed Yes	55c	150$83 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$67.5	20	55%11 W · 9 L	+0.5wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdfec…09a7backed No	36c	149$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.28	32	40.6%13 W · 19 L	-1.7wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	+12.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd40d…b2fabacked Yes	54c	148$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$68.08	32	46.9%15 W · 17 L	+1.5wins	+0.05per pick	42cpaid	+52.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd70b…a152backed No	53c	147$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.91	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-26.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe53d…8ab8backed No	12c	138$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.56	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	-0.8wins	-0.05per pick	40cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7feb…6bc2backed No	14c	136$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.04	22	36.4%8 W · 14 L	-0.8wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-19%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe4d9…2a4ebacked Yes	61c	132$81 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.48	12	50%6 W · 6 L	+0.9wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	-7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd320…81a5backed No	53c	130$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.9	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a97…cf3abacked Yes	56c	130$73 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.55	12	50%6 W · 6 L	+2.0wins	+0.17per pick	33cpaid	+124.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4657…00d6backed Yes	54c	130$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59.8	16	50%8 W · 8 L	+1.6wins	+0.10per pick	40cpaid	+55.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x293b…c83bbacked No	15c	126$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.9	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will the San Antonio Spurs win more than 44.5 regular season games in 2025–26?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event