Tweets · resolved market
Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in November 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb8bbb07b3767402f82b076e8f8cc872c1d0170c691aa362e9a690746637d5413
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $77,033
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $64,725
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $77,033 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 149 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xeb6b…943abacked Yes | 30c | 11,205$3,394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,393.98 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6845…c125backed Yes | 5c | 1,959$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.16 | 852 | 16.4%140 W · 712 L | +24.7wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6aca…c734backed Yes | 18c | 1,881$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.67 | 63 | 22.2%14 W · 49 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e6…b538backed No | 45c | 1,515$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$833.2 | 90 | 22.2%20 W · 70 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 5c | 1,412$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.92 | 2,181 | 3.9%85 W · 2,096 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf46…8c1dbacked Yes | 32c | 1,214$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.35 | 627 | 13.2%83 W · 544 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 30c | 1,094$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.22 | 2,576 | 13.2%339 W · 2,237 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Yes | 2c | 1,024$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 79 | 30.4%24 W · 55 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1af0…d21fbacked Yes | 15c | 900$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 285 | 9.1%26 W · 259 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e60…9e3fbacked Yes | 8c | 877.02$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.8 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 4c | 761.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.19 | 996 | 19.8%197 W · 799 L | -15.9wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67ff…721fbacked Yes | 15c | 758.83$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.99 | 79 | 12.7%10 W · 69 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba53…e794backed Yes | 54c | 730.6$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e0c…6b3cbacked Yes | 50c | 693.94$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.38 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +3.7wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a19…81b9backed Yes | 59c | 669.01$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.4 | 42 | 19%8 W · 34 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6964…ef53backed Yes | 10c | 627.17$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.64 | 662 | 22.2%147 W · 515 L | -34.7wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5369…aac5backed Yes | 13c | 600.37$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +72.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91d8…fbc5backed Yes | 26c | 523.4$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.7 | 90 | 12.2%11 W · 79 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 18cpaid | -42%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0899…2bc6backed No | 68c | 500.92$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.73 | 33 | 18.2%6 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b3c…c600backed Yes | 16c | 488.46$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22b7…1e4abacked Yes | 12c | 469.1$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.21 | 44 | 13.6%6 W · 38 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Yes | 18c | 468.67$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.82 | 130 | 14.6%19 W · 111 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8f…75e6backed Yes | 25c | 465.45$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.9 | 43 | 20.9%9 W · 34 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…e4e1backed Yes | 6c | 441.26$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.31 | 98 | 16.3%16 W · 82 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd362…9bc4backed No | 53c | 426.8$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.56 | 108 | 57.4%62 W · 46 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1420…8f14backed Yes | 52c | 400.25$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.69 | 66 | 27.3%18 W · 48 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64a3…450abacked Yes | 21c | 400$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 50 | 68%34 W · 16 L | +6.0wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x67ef…990abacked Yes | 21c | 399.97$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.99 | 736 | 15.2%112 W · 624 L | +12.2wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8eab…a56dbacked Yes | 6c | 398.31$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.85 | 281 | 5%14 W · 267 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -89.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea3…9067backed Yes | 6c | 380.16$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.18per pick | 39cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…f8a1backed Yes | 48c | 366$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.41 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c7…f199backed No | 54c | 360$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +84.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f46…01b1backed Yes | 5c | 357$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c10…ed7dbacked No | 79c | 346.22$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…a834backed Yes | 4c | 336.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.65 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b9d…68dbbacked Yes | 11c | 335.91$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.35 | 122 | 13.9%17 W · 105 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f404backed No | 33c | 332$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +203%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc426…69d5backed Yes | 63c | 315.73$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 20cpaid | -86.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d9…2a4ebacked No | 52c | 309$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.94 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +181.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86f7…6c8abacked Yes | 62c | 306.1$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c60…9d17backed Yes | 61c | 296.8$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.44 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +25%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb0…4c27backed Yes | 5c | 285.03$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.83 | 504 | 5.2%26 W · 478 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 3cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3b…3222backed Yes | 64c | 265.55$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f81…e93fbacked Yes | 73c | 263.84$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.13 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 73cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x793c…e8dabacked Yes | 64c | 259.24$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.12 | 93 | 55.9%52 W · 41 L | -5.6wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7321…1812backed Yes | 9c | 251$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae0…4590backed Yes | 36c | 241$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8936…d010backed Yes | 19c | 234.72$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.2 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 20cpaid | +76%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 68c | 223.64$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.41 | 315 | 65.1%205 W · 110 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe372…e651backed Yes | 7c | 223.2$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.34 | 34 | 20.6%7 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -27%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11c1…7912backed Yes | 14c | 221.79$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0184…23f6backed Yes | 67c | 221$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.07 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82aa…2393backed Yes | 67c | 220$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfa…73acbacked Yes | 8c | 216.18$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.32 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 9cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d88…b0c4backed No | 51c | 210.6$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23cc…4f5abacked Yes | 16c | 200$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.04 | 827 | 11%91 W · 736 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1db9…a43bbacked Yes | 21c | 199.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.4 | 238 | 19.3%46 W · 192 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -25%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd898…aaf1backed Yes | 14c | 199.39$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.92 | 43 | 9.3%4 W · 39 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dfd…946bbacked No | 69c | 192$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…c913backed No | 15c | 192$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.97 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +346.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5829…e46bbacked Yes | 32c | 183$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…d63bbacked Yes | 6c | 180.53$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1018…7264backed Yes | 39c | 179.47$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.79 | 89 | 24.7%22 W · 67 L | -8.0wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 18c | 177.21$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.03 | 510 | 18.2%93 W · 417 L | -89.7wins | -0.18per pick | 36cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xce31…19c4backed Yes | 16c | 170.22$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.92 | 83 | 12%10 W · 73 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 9cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3fc…1e14backed Yes | 62c | 161.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93fd…7e2fbacked Yes | 54c | 160.38$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.66 | 584 | 22.1%129 W · 455 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb179…8cf4backed Yes | 8c | 157.44$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 20 | 5%1 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 13cpaid | -86.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4657…00d6backed No | 64c | 154$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 35cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1606…0ba6backed Yes | 62c | 153$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.84 | 100 | 21%21 W · 79 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa37b…1b84backed Yes | 12c | 151.91$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.69 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 25cpaid | -73.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a10…fbe0backed No | 37c | 151$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +173.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b74…b58fbacked Yes | 57c | 150$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.73 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 74cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c6f…f078backed Yes | 21c | 146.19$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2ff…b38fbacked Yes | 40c | 146$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -33%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bfe…8d1dbacked Yes | 12c | 138.1$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d6d…1ba1backed Yes | 37c | 136.77$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 43 | 16.3%7 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea1…6487backed No | 60c | 134$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +67.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7aad…72b7backed Yes | 76c | 132.2$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3734…01a3backed Yes | 45c | 131$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f55…73b6backed Yes | 67c | 130.33$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.75 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 34cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde72…1c1bbacked Yes | 9c | 129.37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +149.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa11b…f663backed Yes | 67c | 123.32$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.44 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 64c | 123$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.51 | 261 | 67%175 W · 86 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce25…4e7dbacked Yes | 9c | 122$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 40c | 119.12$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.1 | 526 | 19.8%104 W · 422 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb6…ac6abacked Yes | 29c | 117.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.4 | 60 | 16.7%10 W · 50 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked Yes | 26c | 115.36$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.13 | 592 | 25.3%150 W · 442 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae18…1132backed Yes | 10c | 110$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5fc…d14ebacked Yes | 36c | 107.72$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fc…49d7backed Yes | 71c | 106.66$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.19 | 92 | 41.3%38 W · 54 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe349…7b7cbacked Yes | 16c | 103.64$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…0b03backed Yes | 63c | 97.3$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.3 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd091…e046backed No | 19c | 93$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.81per pick | 19cpaid | +413%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7db5…cf18backed Yes | 40c | 89$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.18 | 899 | 10.2%92 W · 807 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b74…93f7backed No | 64c | 88$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c9f…fd4dbacked Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a5a…779cbacked Yes | 14c | 72$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a8…9b29backed No | 55c | 71$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +82.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x293b…09a9backed No | 43c | 69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.04 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +62.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in November 2025?this page
- Will Elon Musk post 1000-1039 tweets in November 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 1040-1079 tweets in November 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 1080-1119 tweets in November 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 1160-1199 tweets in November 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 1240-1279 tweets in November 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 1280-1319 tweets in November 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 1360-1399 tweets in November 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 1400+ tweets in November 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets in November 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets in November 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets in November 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 580-599 tweets in November 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 600-639 tweets in November 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 640-679 tweets in November 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 680-719 tweets in November 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 720-759 tweets in November 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 760-799 tweets in November 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in November 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 840-879 tweets in November 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 920-959 tweets in November 2025?Yes won
- Will Elon Musk post 960-999 tweets in November 2025?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.