Tweets · resolved market
Will Elon Musk post 960-999 tweets in November 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaa9869001e9c5b104072bbd32dca460c3b4619e4e40f6cbc22b437a419194108
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $74,373
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,801
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,373 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaf46…8c1dbacked Yes | 6c | 4,840$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.32 | 627 | 13.2%83 W · 544 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x093c…11cabacked Yes | 1c | 3,885$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e1…1728backed Yes | 1c | 3,868$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7189…a1adbacked Yes | 1c | 3,699$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb0…4c27backed Yes | 1c | 3,397$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 504 | 5.2%26 W · 478 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 3cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 3c | 3,320$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.47 | 2,163 | 3.9%85 W · 2,078 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e60…9e3fbacked Yes | 13c | 2,041$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.8 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…e4e1backed Yes | 1c | 1,187$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.93 | 98 | 16.3%16 W · 82 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa976…5c43backed Yes | 3c | 1,162$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.86 | 380 | 10%38 W · 342 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 1c | 1,083$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.03 | 996 | 19.8%197 W · 799 L | -15.9wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85bc…c23fbacked Yes | 4c | 1,030$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 9cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7147…9a01backed Yes | 11c | 1,023$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.21 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5369…aac5backed Yes | 22c | 937.18$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.75 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +72.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6beb…6ea2backed Yes | 4c | 926.86$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.81 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22b7…1e4abacked Yes | 7c | 756.38$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.31 | 44 | 13.6%6 W · 38 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef8b…8f82backed Yes | 21c | 559.59$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcdb…9362backed Yes | 7c | 530.88$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.2 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3506…4815backed Yes | 18c | 471$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bbb…5c80backed Yes | 7c | 391$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8949…5e21backed No | 75c | 232.3$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.3 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b9d…68dbbacked Yes | 7c | 224$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.66 | 122 | 13.9%17 W · 105 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfa…73acbacked Yes | 8c | 213.86$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.21 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 9cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8936…d010backed Yes | 14c | 206.48$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.23 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 20cpaid | +76%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82aa…2393backed Yes | 17c | 176.01$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7534…d51bbacked Yes | 17c | 170$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 20c | 165.64$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.48 | 526 | 19.8%104 W · 422 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e6…b538backed Yes | 12c | 163.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 90 | 22.2%20 W · 70 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ae…73ddbacked Yes | 9c | 158.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.68 | 23 | 8.7%2 W · 21 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -62.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed1…a7fbbacked Yes | 31c | 146.5$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.71 | 159 | 11.9%19 W · 140 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7740…cbcdbacked No | 78c | 141.44$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.61 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked Yes | 15c | 115.36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.86 | 592 | 25.3%150 W · 442 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63a8…8f00backed Yes | 20c | 98.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee9e…efb7backed Yes | 18c | 85$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7db5…cf18backed Yes | 15c | 79.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.94 | 886 | 10.3%91 W · 795 L | -4.2wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 77c | 71.58$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.17 | 315 | 65.1%205 W · 110 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd502…4974backed Yes | 18c | 61$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.68 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -74.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe8a…1d35backed Yes | 17c | 59.14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0629…b513backed No | 73c | 49.99$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.45 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed No | 80c | 30.42$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.09 | 2,552 | 13.1%335 W · 2,217 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x594e…5aa6backed No | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1401…0707backed No | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.12 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Elon Musk post 960-999 tweets in November 2025?this page
- Will Elon Musk post 1000-1039 tweets in November 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 1040-1079 tweets in November 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 1080-1119 tweets in November 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 1160-1199 tweets in November 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 1240-1279 tweets in November 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 1280-1319 tweets in November 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 1360-1399 tweets in November 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 1400+ tweets in November 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets in November 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets in November 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets in November 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 580-599 tweets in November 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 600-639 tweets in November 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 640-679 tweets in November 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 680-719 tweets in November 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 720-759 tweets in November 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 760-799 tweets in November 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in November 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 840-879 tweets in November 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in November 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 920-959 tweets in November 2025?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.