Tweets · resolved market
Will Elon Musk post 920-959 tweets in November 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4dcf23804e0ae23abfe7e9189ab1f17f47be0e7e4a8c07c565d0e8c8c5d5773a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $63,983
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $61,753
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,983 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 114 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4a19…81b9backed Yes | 42c | 1,721$716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,004.99 | 42 | 19%8 W · 34 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e60…9e3fbacked Yes | 55c | 1,625$899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725.61 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf46…8c1dbacked Yes | 23c | 1,543$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,180.71 | 627 | 13.2%83 W · 544 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fc…49d7backed Yes | 61c | 1,445$879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.69 | 92 | 41.3%38 W · 54 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1db9…a43bbacked Yes | 69c | 1,152$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.96 | 238 | 19.3%46 W · 192 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -25%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 2c | 1,121$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.1 | 79 | 30.4%24 W · 55 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…e4e1backed Yes | 5c | 1,103$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,044.57 | 98 | 16.3%16 W · 82 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6aca…c734backed Yes | 62c | 939.67$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.31 | 63 | 22.2%14 W · 49 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1018…7264backed No | 63c | 768.43$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.85 | 89 | 24.7%22 W · 67 L | -8.0wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x67ff…721fbacked Yes | 35c | 766.28$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.13 | 79 | 12.7%10 W · 69 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22b7…1e4abacked Yes | 20c | 698.84$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.37 | 44 | 13.6%6 W · 38 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e0c…6b3cbacked Yes | 50c | 608.64$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.54 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +3.7wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5369…aac5backed Yes | 14c | 478.03$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.68 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +72.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a0…5cc4backed No | 67c | 471.79$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.02 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.37per pick | 71cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x70be…2c90backed Yes | 54c | 443.72$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.14 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 42c | 434.22$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.91 | 315 | 65.1%205 W · 110 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b9d…68dbbacked Yes | 21c | 378.3$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.54 | 122 | 13.9%17 W · 105 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe372…e651backed Yes | 79c | 376.75$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.08 | 34 | 20.6%7 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -27%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6499…05d2backed No | 71c | 360$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x793c…e8dabacked Yes | 51c | 346.14$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.56 | 93 | 55.9%52 W · 41 L | -5.6wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed1…a7fbbacked Yes | 57c | 328.41$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.62 | 159 | 11.9%19 W · 140 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ce…83d5backed Yes | 43c | 326.88$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.62 | 55 | 20%11 W · 44 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Yes | 46c | 315.17$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.45 | 130 | 14.6%19 W · 111 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e6…b538backed Yes | 58c | 301.9$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.55 | 90 | 22.2%20 W · 70 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67ef…990abacked Yes | 19c | 300$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244 | 732 | 15.2%111 W · 621 L | +11.7wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a18…7a20backed Yes | 69c | 287.77$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.77 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82cf…0998backed Yes | 14c | 284.02$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.61 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +3.9wins | +0.21per pick | 27cpaid | +81.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfa…73acbacked Yes | 11c | 266.87$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.59 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 9cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f85…e5a3backed No | 70c | 260$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…2c0abacked Yes | 50c | 257.16$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.14 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee4…fa88backed No | 53c | 247.55$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.9 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45dd…5632backed No | 6c | 246.72$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8f…75e6backed Yes | 23c | 217.41$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.41 | 43 | 20.9%9 W · 34 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd83a…3609backed Yes | 58c | 215.1$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.98 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac2d…09bcbacked Yes | 60c | 214.89$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.72 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3b1…9ca4backed Yes | 10c | 210.91$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.91 | 326 | 7.1%23 W · 303 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2911…fed6backed No | 77c | 209.33$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9322…01e3backed Yes | 29c | 201$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.11 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8936…d010backed Yes | 11c | 200.94$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.04 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 20cpaid | +76%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x23cc…4f5abacked Yes | 19c | 200$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.49 | 827 | 11%91 W · 736 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd362…9bc4backed No | 73c | 195.43$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.98 | 108 | 57.4%62 W · 46 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb6b…943abacked Yes | 38c | 195.24$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.44 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcc1…d40bbacked No | 71c | 190$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd502…4974backed No | 69c | 182$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.82 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -74.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93fd…7e2fbacked Yes | 22c | 180.7$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.13 | 572 | 22%126 W · 446 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -42%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1606…0ba6backed Yes | 41c | 179.66$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.83 | 100 | 21%21 W · 79 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb132…6943backed Yes | 30c | 176$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +230%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee29…d1f4backed No | 78c | 169.75$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ae…73ddbacked Yes | 23c | 169.4$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.47 | 23 | 8.7%2 W · 21 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -62.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 34c | 162.73$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.51 | 526 | 19.8%104 W · 422 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d6…bca9backed Yes | 29c | 159$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.21 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6845…c125backed Yes | 29c | 154.52$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.54 | 846 | 16.4%139 W · 707 L | +24.6wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x293b…09a9backed Yes | 39c | 150.89$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.34 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +62.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa976…5c43backed Yes | 42c | 150$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.2 | 380 | 10%38 W · 342 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad4…3d8cbacked No | 28c | 149.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.4 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -61%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1af0…d21fbacked Yes | 17c | 149.09$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.98 | 285 | 9.1%26 W · 259 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbda0…8992backed Yes | 72c | 138.46$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.46 | 166 | 21.7%36 W · 130 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d15…c59cbacked Yes | 22c | 136.65$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.65 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.19per pick | 15cpaid | +97.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8624…b484backed No | 61c | 128$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 12c | 127.57$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.53 | 797 | 35.9%286 W · 511 L | -34.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x098f…47cdbacked No | 71c | 125.94$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…d63bbacked Yes | 36c | 119.57$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.16 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03d0…d647backed Yes | 51c | 117.45$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.29 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked Yes | 56c | 115.36$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.26 | 592 | 25.3%150 W · 442 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5286…025cbacked Yes | 43c | 115.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.33 | 50 | 8%4 W · 46 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85bc…c23fbacked Yes | 44c | 114.19$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.19 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 9cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 43c | 112.82$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.87 | 2,552 | 13.1%335 W · 2,217 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b27…0b98backed Yes | 30c | 111.62$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.13 | 344 | 27%93 W · 251 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa11b…f663backed No | 79c | 104.54$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.11 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41f2…d8efbacked No | 61c | 104.23$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.75 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb292…5c5ebacked No | 79c | 102.22$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cfb…fac1backed Yes | 25c | 101.5$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.07 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | +33%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 69c | 101$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.96 | 261 | 67%175 W · 86 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6beb…6ea2backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…7afabacked Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +206.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d52…f88abacked No | 77c | 100$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63a8…8f00backed Yes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.24 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e35…384fbacked Yes | 29c | 93.88$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +247.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x848d…76c1backed Yes | 30c | 84$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.55 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb76d…08d1backed No | 64c | 81.03$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 24c | 78.79$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.91 | 510 | 18.2%93 W · 417 L | -89.7wins | -0.18per pick | 36cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xf25d…8b1ebacked Yes | 31c | 76$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +218.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb3…9adebacked No | 69c | 72.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc2…40d7backed Yes | 35c | 71.59$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc747…becfbacked Yes | 73c | 68.4$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…df56backed No | 77c | 65.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 412 | 30.8%127 W · 285 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c9f…fd4dbacked Yes | 24c | 63.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9081…0b1ebacked No | 61c | 61$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5497…8ac9backed Yes | 54c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfcbd…261bbacked Yes | 42c | 59.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.64 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2635…41aebacked No | 28c | 57.24$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.88 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 18cpaid | -80%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39be…5e7bbacked Yes | 31c | 57$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 36cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a00…d9f7backed Yes | 55c | 56.59$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.6 | 52 | 23.1%12 W · 40 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22ec…4477backed Yes | 35c | 56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4be…58f2backed Yes | 52c | 54.09$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.88 | 53 | 17%9 W · 44 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3481…6b3cbacked Yes | 62c | 54$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.75 | 89 | 15.7%14 W · 75 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x979f…4e13backed Yes | 67c | 51.98$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.98 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x451a…a0c9backed No | 61c | 51$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb7d…d6d6backed No | 70c | 50.11$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e1…d9c1backed Yes | 31c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +218.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Elon Musk post 920-959 tweets in November 2025?this page
- Will Elon Musk post 1000-1039 tweets in November 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 1040-1079 tweets in November 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 1080-1119 tweets in November 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 1160-1199 tweets in November 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 1240-1279 tweets in November 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 1280-1319 tweets in November 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 1360-1399 tweets in November 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 1400+ tweets in November 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets in November 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets in November 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets in November 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 580-599 tweets in November 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 600-639 tweets in November 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 640-679 tweets in November 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 680-719 tweets in November 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 720-759 tweets in November 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 760-799 tweets in November 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in November 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 840-879 tweets in November 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in November 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 960-999 tweets in November 2025?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.