Music · resolved market
D4vd arrested by December 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbeefb5fe85847e19986284222ebd2e3d5c04d66338dd04183cb91b4944b546cd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,099
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,358
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,099 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Music | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5207…686bbacked Yes | 11c | 4,741$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.46 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 9c | 2,919$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.73 | 30 | 0%0 W · 30 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Yes | 1c | 1,683$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.46 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c8…e7acbacked No | 77c | 1,618$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.93 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9690…f2d5backed Yes | 11c | 1,581$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57aa…04c5backed Yes | 7c | 1,056$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb1…bf68backed Yes | 11c | 744.25$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 7c | 643.64$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.8 | 462 | 9.7%45 W · 417 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked Yes | 5c | 632.11$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.95 | 37 | 8.1%3 W · 34 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde2b…73a0backed Yes | 20c | 418$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x367b…48dabacked No | 79c | 414$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.94 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 58cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x061b…1cf6backed Yes | 5c | 379.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes | 4c | 375$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 43 | 2.3%1 W · 42 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -84.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c7…f199backed Yes | 23c | 364$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.72 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd950…ad1bbacked Yes | 28c | 349.8$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.22 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf416…6ec9backed Yes | 12c | 345.81$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.69 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbc…5196backed Yes | 3c | 325.94$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7534…d51bbacked Yes | 27c | 315$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.05 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbf…a827backed No | 69c | 302.84$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a8…9b29backed No | 80c | 290$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x848d…76c1backed Yes | 9c | 287$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.83 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 14c | 258.91$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.62 | 163 | 34.4%56 W · 107 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae0…4590backed No | 77c | 257$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.11 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39be…5e7bbacked No | 71c | 236$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.44 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96df…1f97backed Yes | 43c | 202.33$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd18d…fc51backed Yes | 31c | 200$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +33%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe52…32c5backed Yes | 44c | 199.54$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b74…93f7backed Yes | 21c | 198$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.58 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4c…44d8backed No | 79c | 198$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f46…01b1backed Yes | 21c | 198$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.58 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeac2…176dbacked No | 78c | 196.73$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5243…a73cbacked Yes | 17c | 196$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.32 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48ff…9f1cbacked Yes | 11c | 174.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 20c | 170.22$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.63 | 391 | 16.1%63 W · 328 L | -44.4wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1dfd…946bbacked Yes | 29c | 164$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.56 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bef…f04ebacked Yes | 8c | 152.96$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.81 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 8cpaid | +65%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e54…0dc0backed No | 78c | 150$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe513…b842backed No | 80c | 147$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd502…4974backed No | 77c | 146$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.58 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71b1…ac2cbacked Yes | 14c | 144.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.34 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bbb…5c80backed Yes | 21c | 142$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.82 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 19cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ab…d0a0backed Yes | 23c | 138$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.74 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cac…6f43backed Yes | 12c | 134$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3734…01a3backed Yes | 28c | 128$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.84 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a55…1272backed Yes | 20c | 126$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2363…0313backed Yes | 24c | 124.52$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca67…2648backed Yes | 21c | 123$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.83 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab38…77febacked No | 79c | 123$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.83 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…9c76backed No | 80c | 122$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.4 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bcd…e98bbacked No | 77c | 119$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.37 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb50c…8c30backed No | 79c | 116$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x159f…333fbacked No | 73c | 115$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.05 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d4…5735backed No | 71c | 114$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.06 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…9a60backed No | 77c | 107$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.61 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6587…4f63backed No | 73c | 106$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.62 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2356…2dbdbacked Yes | 24c | 105.83$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7d…5bc1backed Yes | 29c | 103$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.87 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x63c2…ca53backed Yes | 21c | 101$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.28 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +76.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd493…7f04backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb1…c4e8backed Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa80e…dfefbacked Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbff3…c49fbacked No | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbee7…7165backed No | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc2…0727backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 66 | 4.5%3 W · 63 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54d5…b5cebacked Yes | 18c | 90$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.89 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6951…cb02backed Yes | 23c | 89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.47 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f3…09e0backed No | 80c | 89$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbec…8dccbacked No | 72c | 86$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.08 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f404backed Yes | 21c | 74$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.54 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3024…0c79backed Yes | 29c | 68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -32%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf25d…8b1ebacked Yes | 29c | 68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33dc…a539backed No | 71c | 60$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.34per pick | 37cpaid | +224.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x993c…eae0backed No | 72c | 59$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.52 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Yes | 21c | 55.88$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 72 | 22.2%16 W · 56 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c4c…be9fbacked No | 71c | 55$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.95 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +82.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d87…190cbacked Yes | 41c | 54.65$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…f4b1backed No | 56c | 51.87$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.03 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +75.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa938…a1ffbacked No | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe43b…3497backed No | 72c | 42$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 66c | 41.28$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.21 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2953…2ed5backed No | 52c | 39.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…1a3ebacked No | 78c | 38.17$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.22 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0861…8aaebacked No | 56c | 35.81$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +79%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa990…84bebacked No | 79c | 35$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.35 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 73c | 32.93$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.89 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcce8…df43backed No | 79c | 26.03$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.49 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.