Movies · resolved market
Will "Hamnet" win Best Film at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0368d29b0c83f5f51d8ccd104cf876b1a7e0ff843b9077bec6def335696e3690
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,249
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,917
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,249 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 114 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xadf3…504fbacked Yes | 30c | 4,824$1,457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,456.62 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 71c | 4,672$3,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,373.17 | 482 | 36.3%175 W · 307 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1970…398dbacked Yes | 24c | 3,537$857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$857.31 | 49 | 18.4%9 W · 40 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2375…691fbacked No | 76c | 1,240$941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.6 | 246 | 34.6%85 W · 161 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f5c…91bfbacked Yes | 24c | 1,153$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.72 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf294…7967backed Yes | 21c | 1,110$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.59 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Yes | 27c | 1,051$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.61 | 56 | 21.4%12 W · 44 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9733…f034backed Yes | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf8…c7afbacked No | 75c | 904$678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9941…7fd9backed No | 75c | 717$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0956…9aa4backed No | 76c | 644$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.56 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ece…35e8backed Yes | 24c | 601$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.24 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -57%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd44…1837backed Yes | 29c | 560$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.4 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ecb…b5e3backed No | 72c | 551$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.28 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b45…836ebacked Yes | 25c | 521$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.25 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38d6…d10abacked Yes | 24c | 504.69$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.13 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 35c | 499.01$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.96 | 1,218 | 17.8%217 W · 1,001 L | -124.0wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x39a5…87f2backed No | 74c | 475$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.5 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab38…77febacked Yes | 25c | 431$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.75 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd08…bd74backed No | 71c | 423$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.67 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcf8…0657backed No | 76c | 414$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.36 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d9…08d2backed No | 76c | 411$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.64 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked No | 61c | 405$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.85 | 266 | 41.7%111 W · 155 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf40b…7181backed Yes | 28c | 398$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.44 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked No | 73c | 393.94$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.86 | 133 | 37.6%50 W · 83 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d66…fc54backed Yes | 25c | 390$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.5 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf51b…bf74backed Yes | 24c | 369$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.56 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -3.3wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -38%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc771…e858backed Yes | 29c | 363$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.27 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe584…36b2backed No | 76c | 360$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.4 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +77.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5f…81c0backed Yes | 25c | 354$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.5 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34be…6797backed No | 75c | 354$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa938…a1ffbacked No | 71c | 348$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.92 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b23…0d60backed No | 75c | 339$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.75 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57ab…434bbacked Yes | 25c | 339$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.75 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ab…d0a0backed Yes | 29c | 329$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.41 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b79…360fbacked No | 76c | 328$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.72 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc7…5536backed No | 74c | 321$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.74 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +59.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 64c | 302.97$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.15 | 156 | 41.7%65 W · 91 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3e…0959backed No | 76c | 301$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.24 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.1wins | -0.24per pick | 47cpaid | -65.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x910a…91a9backed Yes | 24c | 301$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.24 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf13d…9896backed Yes | 25c | 294$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbc…d620backed No | 76c | 241$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.84 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9818…7cd3backed Yes | 24c | 227$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.48 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc362…7f4fbacked No | 76c | 226$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.24 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -35%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39b4…3258backed Yes | 24c | 226$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.24 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -4.2wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x146d…17c7backed Yes | 19c | 224.9$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.72 | 133 | 21.1%28 W · 105 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf62b…844abacked Yes | 46c | 217.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 73c | 209.42$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.41 | 167 | 41.9%70 W · 97 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed No | 70c | 202$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.82 | 130 | 40%52 W · 78 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2675…2374backed Yes | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.5 | 62 | 29%18 W · 44 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf17…97d1backed Yes | 21c | 199.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.22per pick | 35cpaid | +73.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3009…7180backed Yes | 32c | 196$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2b…0f57backed Yes | 26c | 195.88$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.93 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99ba…bb56backed Yes | 32c | 194$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d80…fe4abacked Yes | 32c | 194$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5661…48aebacked Yes | 32c | 189$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32bf…973cbacked Yes | 32c | 187$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x367b…48dabacked No | 75c | 179$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.75 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddfc…b2adbacked Yes | 32c | 176$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6587…4f63backed Yes | 25c | 158$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.5 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22f2…90d7backed No | 75c | 158$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.5 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc01…5cfabacked Yes | 32c | 156$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95cc…f215backed Yes | 28c | 153$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.84 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 27c | 152.65$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.7 | 484 | 14%68 W · 416 L | -39.3wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes | 19c | 149.7$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.43 | 208 | 41.8%87 W · 121 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed No | 61c | 146.57$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.94 | 346 | 51.2%177 W · 169 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 79c | 141.64$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.62 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1016…c866backed Yes | 26c | 141.11$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.52 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82ed…b788backed Yes | 38c | 126$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.54 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -75.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb8bf…48c5backed Yes | 29c | 110.34$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked No | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.08 | 79 | 31.6%25 W · 54 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa45c…1d10backed No | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 48 | 27.1%13 W · 35 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe91b…e09cbacked No | 68c | 95$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd040…8cb8backed No | 68c | 95$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d15…a3bfbacked No | 68c | 94$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb27f…759ebacked No | 68c | 93$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3580…3ce1backed No | 68c | 93$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa32d…9354backed No | 68c | 92$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb920…7922backed No | 76c | 92$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.25 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2215…fdebbacked No | 68c | 91$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0cb…ab6abacked Yes | 25c | 89$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.25 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0740…0b2abacked No | 68c | 88$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa56e…7c32backed No | 68c | 87$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbba7…f8d4backed No | 68c | 87$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bec…0b4cbacked No | 68c | 86$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3d…e32ebacked No | 68c | 84$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe527…46e3backed No | 68c | 84$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1178…c61bbacked No | 68c | 83$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2e…7c01backed Yes | 29c | 79$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.91 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7363…d406backed No | 70c | 78.57$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 70cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…7523backed Yes | 25c | 75$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…2c86backed Yes | 27c | 74.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17dc…aff8backed Yes | 37c | 68.94$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.3 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26b7…68a2backed No | 74c | 67.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.27 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 43c | 58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.84 | 1,394 | 8%111 W · 1,283 L | -47.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6660…c786backed Yes | 24c | 54.17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +128.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed No | 75c | 53$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 184 | 44%81 W · 103 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9936…f588backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb25…5b6bbacked Yes | 24c | 48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb2…590abacked Yes | 33c | 45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.32per pick | 43cpaid | +178.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "Hamnet" win Best Film at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?this page
- Will "Marty Supreme" win Best Film at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?No won
- Will "One Battle After Another" win Best Film at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?Yes won
- Will "Sentimental Value" win Best Film at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?No won
- Will "Sinners" win Best Film at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.