Movies · resolved market
Will "One Battle After Another" win Best Film at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x968f1e100ea282b1b76825663781da679a09962fd669399789deea86e5a47182
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,974
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,403
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,974 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe06…d5d5backed No | 35c | 1,670$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.17 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39a5…87f2backed Yes | 70c | 1,434$1,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.2 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200e…49c9backed Yes | 71c | 1,410$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.1 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83e8…7b89backed Yes | 68c | 1,291$876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.47 | 79 | 36.7%29 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Yes | 74c | 1,245$917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.72 | 184 | 44%81 W · 103 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce55…c888backed No | 33c | 1,023$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.59 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9733…f034backed No | 21c | 999.94$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.99 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e77…3273backed No | 40c | 841$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.4 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 69c | 835.76$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.66 | 482 | 36.3%175 W · 307 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Yes | 76c | 825.91$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.25 | 71 | 35.2%25 W · 46 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked No | 31c | 784.82$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.98 | 133 | 37.6%50 W · 83 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked No | 29c | 758.37$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.06 | 56 | 21.4%12 W · 44 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Yes | 48c | 747.97$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.81 | 129 | 38.8%50 W · 79 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2375…691fbacked Yes | 71c | 744$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.08 | 246 | 34.6%85 W · 161 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c19…77cdbacked Yes | 60c | 738$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb920…7922backed Yes | 69c | 690.22$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.48 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…5d19backed Yes | 65c | 683$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.05 | 194 | 40.2%78 W · 116 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcf8…0657backed Yes | 67c | 669$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.77 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa44b…eb27backed Yes | 69c | 657$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.67 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef37…f2bcbacked Yes | 58c | 649.23$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.68 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf40b…7181backed No | 42c | 640$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.47 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03ed…c077backed No | 31c | 578.35$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.33 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5f…81c0backed No | 31c | 522$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.82 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe309…44c2backed No | 27c | 496$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.92 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked Yes | 64c | 400$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.43 | 266 | 41.7%111 W · 155 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 34c | 394.09$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.86 | 156 | 41.7%65 W · 91 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad46…0918backed Yes | 60c | 389$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.6 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +90.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1b63…bb9cbacked No | 40c | 389$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.6 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ecc…53a9backed Yes | 72c | 367.36$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.64 | 237 | 41.4%98 W · 139 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03a3…fdf4backed Yes | 73c | 351$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.77 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34fc…d14dbacked Yes | 72c | 329$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.12 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2eb…5751backed No | 28c | 329$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.12 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54a7…ae55backed Yes | 75c | 266.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2756…42efbacked Yes | 73c | 245$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.15 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8594…7eedbacked Yes | 67c | 222.85$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.85 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed No | 35c | 210$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.5 | 130 | 40%52 W · 78 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05ad…dda9backed Yes | 72c | 208.33$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.33 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 30c | 203.88$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.5 | 208 | 41.8%87 W · 121 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6f…06c4backed No | 32c | 196$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.72 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb555…83e5backed Yes | 67c | 181$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.73 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa5…8f79backed Yes | 79c | 174.68$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.68 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf92a…9134backed Yes | 67c | 173$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.09 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +4.6wins | +0.33per pick | 38cpaid | +133.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…2112backed No | 50c | 172.12$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.12 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98e7…9e18backed No | 41c | 154$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ed7…767ebacked Yes | 66c | 152.18$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.18 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10a9…b80dbacked No | 41c | 150$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf6…be59backed No | 41c | 145$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 39c | 139.99$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.18 | 1,218 | 17.8%217 W · 1,001 L | -124.0wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5f3c…0427backed No | 31c | 139.41$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d75…78b9backed Yes | 56c | 135.28$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.09 | 29 | 79.3%23 W · 6 L | +5.9wins | +0.20per pick | 59cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5b74…93f7backed No | 31c | 135$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.85 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507a…be1fbacked No | 27c | 131.85$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.34 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…be1ebacked Yes | 68c | 131.5$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.01 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x146d…17c7backed Yes | 77c | 128.23$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.47 | 133 | 21.1%28 W · 105 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 33c | 127.66$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.71 | 1,394 | 8%111 W · 1,283 L | -47.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb8…68d4backed Yes | 79c | 125.32$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 34c | 124$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.21 | 167 | 41.9%70 W · 97 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 58c | 118.9$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.51 | 346 | 51.2%177 W · 169 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6cc8…05b5backed Yes | 68c | 118.34$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.34 | 34 | 73.5%25 W · 9 L | +4.4wins | +0.13per pick | 61cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdda2…830abacked Yes | 71c | 118$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 75cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefe8…e0f2backed No | 20c | 109.69$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.94 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf76…bf24backed No | 21c | 105.03$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b63…9238backed Yes | 59c | 105$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e2d…e4ecbacked Yes | 59c | 104$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6368…d45ebacked No | 53c | 103.77$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf294…7967backed Yes | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked No | 26c | 96.74$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.63 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39a3…61a2backed Yes | 59c | 95$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0813…049abacked Yes | 59c | 94$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 31c | 92.72$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcba…2398backed Yes | 70c | 88.22$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.53 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +18%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed No | 29c | 85$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.85 | 69 | 17.4%12 W · 57 L | -7.5wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Yes | 78c | 84.67$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.54 | 79 | 31.6%25 W · 54 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 31c | 81.81$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.12 | 484 | 14%68 W · 416 L | -39.3wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x094a…e4a9backed No | 28c | 79.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb165…d9ffbacked No | 35c | 79.35$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.71 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf936…59afbacked No | 34c | 75.93$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.9 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa60d…2204backed Yes | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76c4…470bbacked Yes | 72c | 69.86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.86 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 32c | 66.67$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.01 | 138 | 51.4%71 W · 67 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…cf43backed No | 33c | 64.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.55 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a0…4230backed Yes | 79c | 63.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 75cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff7…a220backed Yes | 60c | 63$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc53e…fbedbacked Yes | 78c | 60$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe93…8d0ebacked No | 19c | 60$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc853…9d37backed No | 32c | 56.6$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.91 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb9d…d78ebacked No | 23c | 55.87$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.93 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f67…fb5cbacked Yes | 61c | 51$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29cc…a609backed Yes | 71c | 49.25$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x430f…5c08backed Yes | 55c | 48.5$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed No | 31c | 48.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.97 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4346…2241backed No | 42c | 42$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42ee…d049backed Yes | 66c | 40.9$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d9…2a4ebacked Yes | 60c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed21…aa05backed Yes | 74c | 32.77$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf484…bf13backed Yes | 73c | 31.28$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.59 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 76cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x216e…9ac8backed Yes | 52c | 30.89$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.81 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc79…f792backed Yes | 62c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8975…ffe6backed Yes | 55c | 29.98$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.49 | 206 | 68.9%142 W · 64 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb518…333fbacked Yes | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "One Battle After Another" win Best Film at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?this page
- Will "Hamnet" win Best Film at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?No won
- Will "Marty Supreme" win Best Film at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?No won
- Will "Sentimental Value" win Best Film at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?No won
- Will "Sinners" win Best Film at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.