TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tweets · resolved market

Will Andrew Tate post 0-99 posts from February 27 to March 6, 2026?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$47,988

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,988 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 161 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tweets
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd7a8…7efabacked Yes13c1,105$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.6510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes28c1,103$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.512,54513.2%335 W · 2,210 L+4.9wins0.00per pick13cpaid-30.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd509…d6b7backed Yes66c601$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396.66250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+78.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9892…0a7bbacked No34c601$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$396.66250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+47.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb97…b54dbacked Yes29c466$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.14250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x367b…48dabacked No71c466$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.14366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+48%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked Yes13c375.58$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.829711.3%11 W · 86 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-63%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6fab…72f4backed Yes56c315$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-24.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5cf7…7f92backed No44c315$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1751100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+125%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14ea…998bbacked Yes17c299.98$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52234.3%1 W · 22 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick9cpaid-70.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9006…dfb2backed Yes55c250$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.6366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x34dc…f4b3backed Yes55c250$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.6250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-24.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba40…6377backed Yes55c250$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.6250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-23.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0265…ef24backed Yes55c250$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.6250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-24.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf50e…b89cbacked No45c250$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+124.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0e2…3c9abacked No45c250$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+124.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf8be…d7d5backed No45c250$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+124.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f66…0542backed No45c250$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+124.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb72d…8562backed Yes55c210$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x72c9…b869backed Yes55c210$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x334c…c4f0backed Yes55c210$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8138…f693backed Yes54c210$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cae…8d06backed Yes54c210$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe660…df68backed Yes54c210$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb065…7434backed Yes54c210$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7852…089ebacked Yes54c210$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbefa…1530backed Yes54c210$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf91…82eebacked Yes54c210$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0473…a58dbacked Yes54c210$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd301…2765backed Yes54c210$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0162…7785backed Yes54c210$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x513c…45ffbacked Yes54c210$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcfcf…8f82backed Yes54c210$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x27bd…8a3bbacked Yes54c210$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe046…0892backed Yes54c210$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x13c1…f71fbacked Yes55c210$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.5250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-30.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5041…12a0backed Yes55c210$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.5250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-28.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d8b…3819backed No45c210$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+120.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b5e…89c1backed No46c210$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ffc…93bcbacked No46c210$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x509f…61adbacked No46c210$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c16…ce10backed No46c210$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+115.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4edd…b3aabacked No46c210$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+115.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d86…b8aabacked No46c210$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+115.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbcf3…676abacked No46c210$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+115.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf22c…47acbacked No46c210$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+119%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x74a2…d520backed No46c210$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+119%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd32…898abacked No46c210$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+119%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x23c0…125cbacked No46c210$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+115.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1483…35b2backed No46c210$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+115.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd726…1157backed No46c210$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+115.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ac2…f7a0backed No46c210$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+115.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b77…e38abacked No45c210$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e31…9144backed No45c210$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa7…808dbacked No45c210$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc404…843fbacked No45c210$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbde6…606bbacked Yes55c210$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x367b…517cbacked Yes55c210$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8491…dd21backed Yes54c210$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x17fa…843cbacked Yes54c210$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c86…d0f9backed Yes54c210$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ed2…4925backed Yes54c210$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93d5…5a9bbacked Yes54c210$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e13…59dcbacked Yes54c210$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5501…aa16backed Yes54c210$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd08…59ddbacked Yes54c210$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0a7…01ccbacked Yes54c210$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf735…9afebacked Yes54c210$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4792…02a1backed Yes54c210$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x08f1…2108backed Yes55c210$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.5250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-28.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdfc7…6155backed Yes55c210$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.5250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-28.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5ed…99d0backed Yes55c210$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.5250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-30.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3faa…1e37backed No45c210$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+120.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x41a4…f96ebacked No45c210$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+120.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c2f…b41cbacked No45c210$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+120.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec53…5d55backed No45c210$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+120.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6c1…7dddbacked No46c210$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b23…62d4backed No46c210$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x934e…d90dbacked No46c210$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+115.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x753a…0e86backed No46c210$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+115.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf803…00f6backed No46c210$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+115.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb84…40c0backed No46c210$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+115.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f5b…0ee3backed No46c210$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+115.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7de5…5c9bbacked No46c210$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+115.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbac9…82b4backed No46c210$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+119%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x821e…022dbacked No46c210$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+119%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd083…af95backed No46c210$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+115.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda59…0703backed No45c210$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1bd9…433abacked Yes54c205$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.6510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67a9…df25backed Yes54c205$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.6510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4267…13ddbacked Yes54c205$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.6510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x775c…9894backed Yes54c205$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.6510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5931…fe88backed No46c205$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.651100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6f3…9964backed No46c205$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.651100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x07d2…ddc5backed Yes54c205$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.6510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x766a…33adbacked No46c205$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.651100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e4a…4d7cbacked No46c205$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.651100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x225a…102fbacked No46c205$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.651100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b3d…cbedbacked Yes54c200$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfadc…4875backed Yes54c200$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.