TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Will Naz Reid win the 2025–2026 NBA Sixth Man of the Year?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$28,671
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$25,399

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,671 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb9ff…5e00backed Yes35c1,415$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5006259.7%37 W · 25 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2f1…2d22backed No65c1,366$882 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$483.548350.6%42 W · 41 L+6.4wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+4.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes22c1,252$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.8839449.2%194 W · 200 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x46ce…c842backed Yes13c953.73$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.385715.8%9 W · 48 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick14cpaid-36.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x95e2…c2ccbacked Yes28c871.16$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.130%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x636a…09aabacked Yes11c772$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.62045%9 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde23…62e9backed No79c692$547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.631553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid+4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8737…2bffbacked No79c599$473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.792955.2%16 W · 13 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+23.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes16c577.76$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.131,13217%192 W · 940 L+2.5wins0.00per pick17cpaid-25.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf40b…7181backed Yes11c553$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.173138.7%12 W · 19 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x81ba…b311backed Yes11c513$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.432653.8%14 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x46f5…b461backed Yes21c480$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.323135.5%11 W · 20 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-33.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed No68c476.36$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.831,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa815…9cbebacked Yes5c471.09$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.54894.5%4 W · 85 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick5cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe309…44c2backed Yes19c437$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.351752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7fae…6853backed Yes11c392$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.942948.3%14 W · 15 L+3.3wins+0.11per pick37cpaid+28.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd40d…b2fabacked Yes11c379$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.933246.9%15 W · 17 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+52.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x36b0…f5bebacked No79c365$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.652556%14 W · 11 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5aca…cad6backed Yes21c356$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.762356.5%13 W · 10 L+2.7wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+19.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7546…2d93backed No79c356$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.761450%7 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x596a…7a0fbacked Yes11c351.19$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.728020%16 W · 64 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-32.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b64…bd0ebacked Yes21c305$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.053339.4%13 W · 20 L-0.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid+6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8213…8c05backed Yes37c301.29$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.31per pick43cpaid-76%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4328…11d2backed Yes45c300$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.438740.3%156 W · 231 L+0.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9720…f4d1backed Yes21c294$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.742454.2%13 W · 11 L+2.9wins+0.12per pick42cpaid+50.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9f6a…53e0backed Yes10c290$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.582025%5 W · 15 L-3.2wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-57.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1fb5…cabdbacked Yes72c279.57$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x71d2…e109backed Yes10c267$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.233435.3%12 W · 22 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-2.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8765…ed81backed Yes11c251.78$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.877622.4%17 W · 59 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick14cpaid+132.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2630…e941backed Yes15c235$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.2542845.1%193 W · 235 L-15.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c15…45a0backed No72c221.63$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.111435.7%5 W · 9 L-3.3wins-0.24per pick60cpaid-51.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9474…5091backed Yes15c215.3$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.1715010%15 W · 135 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick12cpaid-33.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x48f5…9dd3backed Yes21c212$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.311330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.14per pick45cpaid-46.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8525…bdbabacked No59c200.73$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.8812941.1%53 W · 76 L-6.8wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-22.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x45b2…cbc1backed Yes13c190.24$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.162213.6%3 W · 19 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick15cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed No59c183.72$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.8235352.4%185 W · 168 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x63c2…ca53backed Yes11c168$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.482356.5%13 W · 10 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+38.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7175…9f90backed Yes41c163.09$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.62250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-14.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa647…d77dbacked Yes11c147$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.734334.9%15 W · 28 L-3.9wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-12.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x66a1…80d9backed Yes7c144.99$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.357915.2%12 W · 67 L+5.5wins+0.07per pick8cpaid+0.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x79eb…9c72backed Yes43c135$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.051145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid+10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x814d…b842backed No70c127.61$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.024429.5%13 W · 31 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-14.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9551…8c45backed No59c103.18$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.61346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-29.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xab30…379fbacked Yes13c100$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.830224.8%75 W · 227 L+15.5wins+0.05per pick20cpaid+43.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x562b…dc09backed No59c100$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.55158.8%30 W · 21 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked No80c100$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.535049.4%173 W · 177 L+17.0wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x613f…b804backed Yes36c97.48$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.4960%0 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4959…a6f5backed No42c93.69$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.28853.4%47 W · 41 L+7.3wins+0.08per pick45cpaid-1.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3c1e…aef1backed Yes40c92.4$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.24977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.22per pick56cpaid+34.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes35c87$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.531,11341.6%463 W · 650 L-10.0wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fe5…8b99backed Yes26c79.65$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.969543.2%41 W · 54 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x77b5…9170backed No46c73.33$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.636762.7%42 W · 25 L+5.1wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+0.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x525f…5274backed No72c70.7$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.851100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa706…42f0backed Yes30c63.96$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.44250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-35%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6335…ca2bbacked No46c58.9$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.97875%6 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+39.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe7d2…d5f5backed Yes35c52.27$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.07714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick17cpaid-55.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e6e…99eabacked No77c50$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.42850%14 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x852f…3aaebacked Yes39c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.538348.2%40 W · 43 L+6.6wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+16.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x03ed…c077backed No58c48.45$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.1620356.7%115 W · 88 L-0.3wins0.00per pick57cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6cd…f008backed Yes30c48.08$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3633.3%2 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf95…7865backed Yes29c47.2$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.8311723.9%28 W · 89 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-35.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe93…8d0ebacked Yes42c30.84$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9332866.5%218 W · 110 L+15.4wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+6.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe8af…11f4backed No61c30$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.73771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick66cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43a9…faebbacked No75c26.44$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.681172.7%8 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick67cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6149…8a58backed No60c25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104746.8%22 W · 25 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcbcc…edc9backed Yes40c25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1046348.4%224 W · 239 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2afd…deb4backed No73c22.42$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.125740.4%23 W · 34 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-14.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa7f1…d867backed No73c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.444045%18 W · 22 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-16.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4169…98e9backed No70c15$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.532665.4%17 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.