TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Will Anfernee Simons win the 2025–2026 NBA Sixth Man of the Year?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$16,236
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$15,360

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,236 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfa0b…9672backed Yes16c931.22$148 inLost-$147.999828.6%28 W · 70 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-15.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x66a1…80d9backed Yes2c715.56$13 inLost-$13.347915.2%12 W · 67 L+5.5wins+0.07per pick8cpaid+0.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7cf0…fd3abacked Yes6c700.63$44 inLost-$43.85127.5%14 W · 37 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick27cpaid+49.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa815…9cbebacked Yes6c642.61$37 inLost-$36.62894.5%4 W · 85 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick5cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54d5…b5cebacked Yes9c531$48 inLost-$47.792356.5%13 W · 10 L+3.8wins+0.17per pick40cpaid+82.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8401…a498backed Yes10c508$51 inLost-$50.82040%8 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8996…9c76backed Yes9c459$41 inLost-$41.312025%5 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-31.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf55…7d8abacked Yes17c386$65 inLost-$65.421957.9%11 W · 8 L+2.4wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+42.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7233…f0eabacked Yes5c343$17 inLost-$17.151216.7%2 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick21cpaid-46.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ecb…b5e3backed Yes10c280$28 inLost-$282236.4%8 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcfb8…ec8dbacked Yes8c173$14 inLost-$13.842548%12 W · 13 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+62.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes17c170$29 inLost-$28.95913.6%8 W · 51 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick14cpaid-40.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe1f6…595cbacked Yes19c94$18 inLost-$17.861233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-48.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes20c55$11 inLost-$111,13217%192 W · 940 L+2.5wins0.00per pick17cpaid-25.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa7ee…421bbacked Yes62c50$31 inLost-$311315.4%2 W · 11 L-4.4wins-0.34per pick49cpaid-69.6%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.