TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Will Reed Sheppard win the 2025–2026 NBA Sixth Man of the Year?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$24,858
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$21,658

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,858 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa815…9cbebacked Yes4c1,002$43 inLost-$43.41894.5%4 W · 85 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick5cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes19c664$127 inLost-$126.8539449.2%194 W · 200 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b3d…8db7backed Yes5c653.38$32 inLost-$31.599618.8%18 W · 78 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick16cpaid+13.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2a8…2a44backed Yes12c614$71 inLost-$70.611457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+24.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x814d…b842backed Yes10c601$58 inLost-$58.324429.5%13 W · 31 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-14.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0042…e62fbacked Yes12c524$61 inLost-$60.781526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.14per pick41cpaid-22.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa71f…dfabbacked Yes7c439.62$31 inLost-$30.7910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad90…9090backed Yes10c407$39 inLost-$39.383234.4%11 W · 21 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-0.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes11c393.83$44 inLost-$43.861,13217%192 W · 940 L+2.5wins0.00per pick17cpaid-25.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe71…38d2backed Yes12c335$39 inLost-$38.8650%0 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa8da…d488backed Yes13c331.78$42 inLost-$41.9710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0781…c4ffbacked Yes10c316.23$32 inLost-$31.727337%27 W · 46 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-22.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1bc0…4429backed Yes11c288.25$32 inLost-$3248343.7%211 W · 272 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa5bc…2ad5backed Yes12c285$33 inLost-$33.061050%5 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa938…a1ffbacked Yes11c281.1$32 inLost-$31.852450%12 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+34.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x66a1…80d9backed Yes7c280.96$18 inLost-$18.287915.2%12 W · 67 L+5.5wins+0.07per pick8cpaid+0.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xafea…230bbacked Yes12c254$29 inLost-$29.46425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-66.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa0b…9672backed Yes12c250.6$30 inLost-$30.39828.6%28 W · 70 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-15.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14d5…1f63backed Yes12c245$28 inLost-$28.42922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.16per pick39cpaid-65%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9474…5091backed Yes10c228.73$23 inLost-$22.5215010%15 W · 135 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick12cpaid-33.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea25…d3aabacked Yes12c210$24 inLost-$24.152951.7%15 W · 14 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+10%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes12c199.16$23 inLost-$23.091,55437.3%579 W · 975 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e55…59d2backed Yes12c173$20 inLost-$20.411553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+20%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b71…f1d9backed Yes13c159$20 inLost-$19.882646.2%12 W · 14 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+13.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x451a…a0c9backed Yes8c157$13 inLost-$12.872657.7%15 W · 11 L+2.3wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8624…b484backed Yes11c151$17 inLost-$17.213256.3%18 W · 14 L+5.5wins+0.17per pick39cpaid+68.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x128e…001dbacked Yes12c136$16 inLost-$15.641353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.14per pick40cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x66b6…159dbacked Yes24c100$24 inLost-$24.36357.1%36 W · 27 L+0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4959…a6f5backed No39c54.06$21 inWon+$32.928853.4%47 W · 41 L+7.3wins+0.08per pick45cpaid-1.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x976e…ecf3backed No76c23.16$18 inWon+$5.632339.1%9 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-28.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked No73c18$13 inWon+$4.891,11341.6%463 W · 650 L-10.0wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.