NBA · resolved market
Will Keldon Johnson win the 2025–2026 NBA Sixth Man of the Year?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x052060aec2007cd5f09868dc248c878384ae28977287581dfefb1d9f154d344f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $126,289
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $123,727
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $126,289 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xacb2…b989backed No | 14c | 66,214$9,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,132.27 | 492 | 44.3%218 W · 274 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34f2…4899backed Yes | 80c | 12,374$9,899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,474.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked No | 14c | 6,824$946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$945.92 | 649 | 44.7%290 W · 359 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6a…7f5cbacked Yes | 80c | 6,250$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 75c | 1,898$1,424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,424.15 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc6…9092backed No | 24c | 1,868$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 11c | 1,481$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.85 | 1,132 | 17%192 W · 940 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 60c | 1,411$842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.98 | 221 | 40.3%89 W · 132 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32d0…6070backed No | 44c | 1,297$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.69 | 124 | 58.1%72 W · 52 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d90…fc9ebacked Yes | 80c | 1,249$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a82…4a0ebacked Yes | 24c | 1,053$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.11 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa253…7630backed Yes | 79c | 1,010$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.08 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00c8…b05ebacked No | 15c | 999.99$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 19cpaid | +131.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6956…dd15backed Yes | 12c | 965$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$845.34 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes | 16c | 903.08$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760.42 | 394 | 49.2%194 W · 200 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d22…e2bbbacked Yes | 26c | 859.14$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635.79 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.14per pick | 34cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7754…8726backed Yes | 79c | 825.11$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.43 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +104.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbec…8dccbacked Yes | 15c | 804$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680.18 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +66.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61d7…9addbacked Yes | 64c | 643.99$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.77 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed No | 32c | 583.37$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.38 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03ed…c077backed No | 42c | 518.26$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.47 | 203 | 56.7%115 W · 88 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf802…d91dbacked No | 13c | 495$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.35 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x834f…8b6ebacked No | 20c | 491.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked No | 9c | 484.23$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.38 | 59 | 13.6%8 W · 51 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46ce…c842backed Yes | 20c | 418.04$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.22 | 57 | 15.8%9 W · 48 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6af9…d3b8backed Yes | 80c | 416$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.2 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71d2…e109backed Yes | 15c | 359$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.71 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2e…7c01backed Yes | 15c | 357$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.02 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed No | 17c | 349.48$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.48 | 208 | 38%79 W · 129 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46fe…747ebacked Yes | 80c | 341.31$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.27 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +102.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2abd…74ebbacked Yes | 16c | 321$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.25 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -3.3wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -36%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed No | 17c | 312.95$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.29 | 150 | 10%15 W · 135 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 22c | 279.2$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.27 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | +7.3wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x59fd…832bbacked Yes | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0bc…5601backed Yes | 73c | 231$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.6 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked No | 10c | 222.22$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.09 | 258 | 45%116 W · 142 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad17…5ca6backed Yes | 71c | 218.77$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.77 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbe72…900fbacked No | 11c | 199.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8525…bdbabacked Yes | 18c | 196$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.66 | 129 | 41.1%53 W · 76 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5358…5243backed No | 10c | 186.12$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.05 | 56 | 28.6%16 W · 40 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1460…d60bbacked No | 17c | 183.6$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.55 | 133 | 33.8%45 W · 88 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf841…b2ebbacked No | 14c | 181.46$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.92 | 140 | 49.3%69 W · 71 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f85…b41fbacked No | 23c | 176.21$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1063…1d3fbacked Yes | 15c | 175$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.05 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3101…a186backed Yes | 25c | 160.3$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.3 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +76.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc46e…c052backed Yes | 77c | 156.5$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.5 | 68 | 32.4%22 W · 46 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea45…e748backed Yes | 15c | 149.5$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.48 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cdd…3e97backed Yes | 61c | 147.59$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.65 | 67 | 64.2%43 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x098e…6fa2backed Yes | 75c | 135.87$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.65 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -23%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc18…0a2abacked No | 30c | 133.1$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee16…16a2backed Yes | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked Yes | 80c | 119.42$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.91 | 73 | 37%27 W · 46 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0603…8f62backed No | 15c | 115.07$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8156…07e4backed Yes | 17c | 110.45$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.63 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae0…9000backed Yes | 35c | 107.51$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.51 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3b…9f3abacked No | 14c | 97.12$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 16c | 93$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.59 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3f2…cc18backed Yes | 66c | 86.81$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.17 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9308…d337backed Yes | 39c | 81.57$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.57 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +152.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd691…24adbacked No | 55c | 77$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.31 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x086a…1435backed Yes | 19c | 71.35$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.58 | 63 | 19%12 W · 51 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a32…10a1backed Yes | 73c | 68.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.94 | 95 | 64.2%61 W · 34 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc190…1c59backed Yes | 75c | 66.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 87 | 54%47 W · 40 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4916…f56fbacked Yes | 47c | 58.07$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.55 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79ee…dae9backed Yes | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Yes | 55c | 48.5$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.7 | 910 | 50.9%463 W · 447 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9551…8c45backed No | 77c | 47.93$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85c4…dff6backed Yes | 75c | 46.73$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.73 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d5…7dcfbacked No | 76c | 44$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 68c | 41$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.16 | 619 | 39.6%245 W · 374 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes | 71c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.78 | 211 | 39.3%83 W · 128 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc89f…0df8backed Yes | 78c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.92 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 78c | 38.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 844 | 43%363 W · 481 L | -40.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d7…cf9abacked Yes | 53c | 37.38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +86.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7efb…68a1backed No | 34c | 35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c15…45a0backed No | 33c | 32.65$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.63 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -3.3wins | -0.24per pick | 60cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked No | 38c | 32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 385 | 40.3%155 W · 230 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 34c | 32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 1,113 | 41.6%463 W · 650 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed Yes | 41c | 29.46$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.24 | 69 | 34.8%24 W · 45 L | -5.9wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f99…a609backed Yes | 75c | 26.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3a…33a6backed Yes | 49c | 22.45$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed Yes | 67c | 21.53$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.1 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6643…0109backed Yes | 64c | 21.25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.71 | 280 | 42.5%119 W · 161 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04e2…10c2backed Yes | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked Yes | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.18 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d91…f592backed No | 76c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked No | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 760 | 54.6%415 W · 345 L | +56.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6747…a64fbacked Yes | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd40a…82e8backed No | 71c | 19.04$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.52 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.42per pick | 67cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 62c | 16.61$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.33 | 454 | 45.2%205 W · 249 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Keldon Johnson win the 2025–2026 NBA Sixth Man of the Year?this page
- Will Aaron Wiggins win the 2025–2026 NBA Sixth Man of the Year?No won
- Will Anfernee Simons win the 2025–2026 NBA Sixth Man of the Year?No won
- Will DeAndre Hunter win the 2025–2026 NBA Sixth Man of the Year?No won
- Will Donte DiVincenzo win the 2025–2026 NBA Sixth Man of the Year?No won
- Will Jared McCain win the 2025–2026 NBA Sixth Man of the Year?No won
- Will Jerami Grant win the 2025–2026 NBA Sixth Man of the Year?No won
- Will John Collins win the 2025–2026 NBA Sixth Man of the Year?No won
- Will Jordan Clarkson win the 2025–2026 NBA Sixth Man of the Year?No won
- Will Naz Reid win the 2025–2026 NBA Sixth Man of the Year?No won
- Will Norman Powell win the 2025–2026 NBA Sixth Man of the Year?No won
- Will Obi Toppin win the 2025–2026 NBA Sixth Man of the Year?No won
- Will Onyeka Okongwu win the 2025–2026 NBA Sixth Man of the Year?No won
- Will Reed Sheppard win the 2025–2026 NBA Sixth Man of the Year?No won
- Will Tari Eason win the 2025–2026 NBA Sixth Man of the Year?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.