TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x3a32…10a1

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
137
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Valorant, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Valorant at 52 out of 100; worst NBA at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT9564.2%61 W · 34 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick68cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 95 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$13.33
Will JB Bickerstaff win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+34.8%+$104.53
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Pistons vs. Magic backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$32.83
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$15.71
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$8.82
Will Kon Knueppel win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$796Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$796.39
Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+48.2%+$48.22
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.54
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.46
Thunder vs. Sunsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$5.57
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$13.12
Will Keldon Johnson win the 2025–2026 NBA Sixth Man of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+37.9%+$18.94
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.57
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.46
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.57
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.8
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.6
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$13.85
Showing 25 of 95 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT2171.4%15 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick67cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs XLG Gaming (BO5) - VCT China Playoffsbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$12.26
Valorant: All Gamers vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Playoffsbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+68.6%+$13.72
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Playoffsbacked XLG Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+33.6%+$6.72
Valorant: Trace Esports vs Dragon Ranger Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Playoffsbacked Dragon Ranger Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+52.1%+$10.42
Valorant: All Gamers vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Ranking Matchesbacked XLG Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$8.82
Valorant: JD Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Ranking Matchesbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$13.23
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Group Omegabacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.46
Valorant: TEC Esports vs FunPlus Phoenix (BO3) - VCT China Group Alphabacked FunPlus Phoenix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.57
Valorant: Trace Esports vs Dragon Ranger Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Group Omegabacked Dragon Ranger Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$15.43
Valorant: TYLOO vs JD Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Group Alphabacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.57
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs Wolves Esports (BO3) - VCT China Group Omegabacked XLG Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+37%+$10.19
Valorant: JD Gaming vs TEC Esports (BO3) - VCT China Group Alphabacked TEC Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.56
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs Dragon Ranger Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Group Omegabacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$9.66
Valorant: FunPlus Phoenix vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Group Alphabacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$5.31
Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs Wolves Esports (BO3) - VCT China Group Omegabacked Dragon Ranger Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$13.23
Valorant: JD Gaming vs All Gamers (BO3) - VCT China Group Alphabacked All Gamers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$5.89
Valorant: FunPlus Phoenix vs All Gamers (BO3) - VCT China Group Alphabacked All Gamers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.78
Valorant: Bilibili Gaming vs TYLOO (BO3) - VCT China Group Alphabacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.48
Valorant: Wolves Esports vs Trace Esports (BO3) - VCT China Group Omegabacked Trace Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+87.5%+$10.21
Valorant: Nova Esports vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Group Omegabacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+29%+$11.48
Valorant: TEC Esports vs All Gamers (BO3) - VCT China Group Alphabacked All Gamers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+37%+$10.96
All 21 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT1973.7%14 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick69cpaid+10.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Switzerland vs. Algeria: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+49.8%+$7.47
Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advancebacked Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$10
Will England win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$5.97
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$8.44
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$10.86
South Africa vs. Canada: Team to Advancebacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$6.67
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+26.3%+$3.94
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$6.13
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Panama win on 2026-06-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$11.67
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$6.43
Will France win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$10.3
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$11.25
Will Türkiye win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$10.26
Will Switzerland win on 2026-03-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$10.21
All 19 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+37%+$7.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Guangdong Southern Tigers vs. Liaoning Flying Leopardsbacked Guangdong Southern Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.